NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ade29110e8369c3494846eb05ba73eea6164c9a186fbc37d95e8338d1b8e7d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Mavericks, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $376,244
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $430,095
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $376,244 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 393 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Mavericks | 0c | 48,703$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Trail Blazers | 68c | 39,623$27,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,544.98 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…dd00backed Mavericks | 65c | 38,530$25,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,193.72 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Trail Blazers | 40c | 20,399$8,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,253.86 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Mavericks | 2c | 15,531$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.14 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75c1…5a05backed Mavericks | 30c | 14,779$4,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,433.6 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Trail Blazers | 68c | 14,271$9,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,525.8 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Trail Blazers | 43c | 10,634$4,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,087.07 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Mavericks | 31c | 9,434$2,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,957 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x874e…52d7backed Trail Blazers | 73c | 8,044$5,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,204.02 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Trail Blazers | 38c | 6,817$2,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,209.04 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f3…135cbacked Mavericks | 18c | 5,574$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Mavericks | 10c | 5,174$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.28 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mavericks | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7896…3e00backed Mavericks | 29c | 3,029$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.93 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Trail Blazers | 37c | 2,641$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,676.08 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Mavericks | 5c | 2,493$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6109…8a3ebacked Mavericks | 24c | 2,291$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.95 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 27cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae0…b9c9backed Mavericks | 24c | 2,073$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.59 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…d18bbacked Mavericks | 63c | 2,006$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.93 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed Mavericks | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.99 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -15.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Trail Blazers | 67c | 1,952$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.9 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Trail Blazers | 37c | 1,870$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.68 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Trail Blazers | 36c | 1,770$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.42 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Mavericks | 14c | 1,732$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.47 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Trail Blazers | 42c | 1,702$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.06 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Trail Blazers | 37c | 1,534$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.24 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Mavericks | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…c3d6backed Mavericks | 58c | 1,300$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Mavericks | 1c | 1,227$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Trail Blazers | 65c | 1,180$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.12 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea27…8a0bbacked Mavericks | 33c | 1,173$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.02 | 106 | 56.6%60 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2317…c891backed Mavericks | 37c | 1,111$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.07 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Mavericks | 1c | 1,100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Trail Blazers | 66c | 1,009$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.27 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Mavericks | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Mavericks | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Mavericks | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Mavericks | 63c | 999.99$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.99 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Trail Blazers | 68c | 986.13$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.58 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Trail Blazers | 63c | 969.31$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.75 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Trail Blazers | 37c | 932.65$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.12 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…97b3backed Mavericks | 35c | 857.46$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.97 | 213 | 38%81 W · 132 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Mavericks | 58c | 848$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.4 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Mavericks | 12c | 820$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf74…c136backed Mavericks | 12c | 815.54$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Trail Blazers | 40c | 815.15$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.65 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Mavericks | 65c | 769.46$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.6 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…821cbacked Mavericks | 65c | 766$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…e936backed Trail Blazers | 59c | 763.4$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.35 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mavericks | 54c | 750$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.67 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ae…4876backed Mavericks | 34c | 743.9$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x487b…eccbbacked Mavericks | 58c | 719.44$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.42 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Mavericks | 27c | 712.77$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Trail Blazers | 72c | 679.82$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.05 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…2da4backed Mavericks | 62c | 650$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Trail Blazers | 36c | 587.83$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.84 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Mavericks | 26c | 545.34$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.39 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…2a10backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 532.41$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.04 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Trail Blazers | 69c | 527.82$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.03 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mavericks | 63c | 500$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.55 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d08…0080backed Mavericks | 43c | 500$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad6…aa82backed Mavericks | 45c | 478.34$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 40cpaid | -84.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Mavericks | 34c | 477.28$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.45 | 378 | 31.2%118 W · 260 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Mavericks | 63c | 477.26$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.5 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Mavericks | 47c | 472.34$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Mavericks | 3c | 450$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Trail Blazers | 40c | 449.93$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.07 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…61b3backed Mavericks | 36c | 446.13$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.61 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Trail Blazers | 36c | 446.02$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.38 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Mavericks | 33c | 444.48$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.15 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Trail Blazers | 36c | 443.51$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.36 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc1…06edbacked Mavericks | 29c | 433.3$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.55 | 883 | 35.3%312 W · 571 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Mavericks | 63c | 400$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Trail Blazers | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Trail Blazers | 36c | 330.94$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.8 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb48d…9f73backed Mavericks | 63c | 315.02$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6153…0e04backed Mavericks | 63c | 307.94$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Mavericks | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Trail Blazers | 36c | 303.69$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.4 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76c6…5a68backed Mavericks | 63c | 301.59$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x51c2…2b13backed Trail Blazers | 38c | 301.58$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.98 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa9…39a1backed Mavericks | 19c | 300$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 487 | 41.9%204 W · 283 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…018abacked Mavericks | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Mavericks | 27c | 293.75$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 298 | 44%131 W · 167 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x068b…9301backed Mavericks | 17c | 275.47$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.83 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Mavericks | 65c | 274.62$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fd…7ae6backed Mavericks | 63c | 270$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.1 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Trail Blazers | 35c | 265.37$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.49 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Trail Blazers | 40c | 254$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.08 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Trail Blazers | 40c | 254$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.08 | 366 | 51.4%188 W · 178 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Trail Blazers | 38c | 250$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.71 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Mavericks | 63c | 245.23$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa51b…7c06backed Mavericks | 66c | 227.27$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 118 | 63.6%75 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db6…527abacked Mavericks | 13c | 227.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ed…7aeabacked Mavericks | 62c | 225.4$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3772…e3f7backed Mavericks | 11c | 223.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa1…637bbacked Mavericks | 18c | 222.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe06…d5d5backed Trail Blazers | 36c | 222.22$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.22 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2b…aa1fbacked Mavericks | 66c | 216.67$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 120 | 65%78 W · 42 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.