NHL · resolved market
Senators vs. Oilers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90143ea8b567caeff7163731ede3332b238452fa2042dedf49c90a4c9ec4c28d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oilersof Senators, Oilers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,770
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,096
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,770 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Oilers | 68c | 3,386$2,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.11 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Senators | 32c | 3,181$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.76 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Senators | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.93 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Senators | 1c | 1,780$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Senators | 24c | 1,205$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.17 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1048…f83abacked Oilers | 63c | 1,055$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.67 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e8…32b3backed Senators | 38c | 1,053$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.14 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.32per pick | 47cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03e3…08e0backed Oilers | 63c | 1,025$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.83 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Senators | 1c | 1,010$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Senators | 17c | 999.98$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Oilers | 63c | 999.98$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.99 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa986…2c8ebacked Senators | 22c | 914.91$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb84…f704backed Senators | 39c | 695.52$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Oilers | 60c | 678.62$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.57 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Senators | 34c | 596.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.36 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Senators | 2c | 566.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Oilers | 63c | 500$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Oilers | 63c | 500$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.47 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Oilers | 66c | 460$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.4 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…9bfcbacked Oilers | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24cc…d737backed Senators | 27c | 371.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Senators | 44c | 318.32$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 203 | 45.3%92 W · 111 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked Senators | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 340 | 32.4%110 W · 230 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…f7d7backed Senators | 36c | 270.27$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd445…abf3backed Oilers | 63c | 265.27$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.15 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Senators | 34c | 260$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Senators | 36c | 250.02$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.53 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Oilers | 63c | 245.11$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.69 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…94bcbacked Senators | 44c | 229.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Senators | 42c | 212.03$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc26f…7055backed Oilers | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Oilers | 65c | 185.58$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.52 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Senators | 39c | 179.49$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 380 | 40.5%154 W · 226 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Oilers | 65c | 172.54$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.39 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee3…157cbacked Senators | 37c | 157.89$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Senators | 22c | 157.27$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Senators | 29c | 153.22$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.86 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x964b…167abacked Oilers | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Oilers | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x525a…ebe8backed Oilers | 62c | 145.16$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93d9…0136backed Oilers | 62c | 133.69$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1382…794abacked Oilers | 79c | 126.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Senators | 36c | 119.14$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.72 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadbb…3da1backed Senators | 37c | 118.42$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b0…9da7backed Senators | 38c | 100.11$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.04 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +8.5wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…018abacked Senators | 37c | 99.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Senators | 36c | 99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Senators | 36c | 97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 231 | 44.6%103 W · 128 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3c…1b88backed Senators | 39c | 77.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -49%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x083b…3decbacked Oilers | 65c | 77.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.43 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe9…e00ebacked Oilers | 65c | 77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Senators | 36c | 73.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f6…1cedbacked Oilers | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c5…25cfbacked Senators | 22c | 70.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2b…62d2backed Oilers | 64c | 69.93$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.17 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1625…dfc0backed Senators | 43c | 68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…1655backed Oilers | 63c | 67.51$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…b899backed Senators | 37c | 67.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 39cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Oilers | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 486 | 54.1%263 W · 223 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb11d…78cdbacked Senators | 36c | 62.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf58…0c47backed Senators | 36c | 61.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x893d…6b68backed Senators | 25c | 61.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4f…dde5backed Senators | 37c | 60.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc71…323fbacked Senators | 36c | 57.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x517b…cf0ebacked Oilers | 64c | 54.26$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb51d…885abacked Oilers | 64c | 51.73$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…d18bbacked Senators | 37c | 51.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4901…55dabacked Senators | 36c | 51.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…71b6backed Senators | 36c | 48.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x725b…a01dbacked Oilers | 63c | 47.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…e02bbacked Oilers | 62c | 47.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc414…f1e8backed Oilers | 73c | 46.81$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa913…f3c6backed Senators | 36c | 45.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb071…a76ebacked Senators | 37c | 44.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa08e…6ad2backed Senators | 36c | 40.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Senators | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479f…bb7dbacked Oilers | 65c | 38.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Senators | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a68…581cbacked Senators | 38c | 37.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2f…ea48backed Oilers | 64c | 37.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d1…8253backed Senators | 36c | 36.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7d…4948backed Oilers | 64c | 36.83$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…e9f4backed Senators | 36c | 36.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf518…b058backed Oilers | 63c | 36.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab1…507cbacked Senators | 36c | 36.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…a794backed Oilers | 64c | 36.69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96fb…714abacked Senators | 38c | 36.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d3…6a98backed Oilers | 62c | 36.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50f1…5d00backed Senators | 36c | 35.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f26…adacbacked Senators | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc4…aabbbacked Oilers | 64c | 35.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1d…b57fbacked Senators | 38c | 35.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…db84backed Senators | 36c | 35.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8023…a1f6backed Oilers | 64c | 35.09$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x455c…adfdbacked Senators | 36c | 34.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…a605backed Oilers | 68c | 34.56$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72e2…4499backed Oilers | 64c | 34.45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6950…2fa4backed Oilers | 62c | 34.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a74…0008backed Senators | 36c | 34.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc972…f06fbacked Senators | 36c | 34.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.