TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Pistons

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jazzof Jazz, Pistons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$252,231
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$246,710

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $252,231 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 492 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x977a…f2cabacked Pistons1c11,350$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.11,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf911…0596backed Pistons0c11,101$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.422634.6%9 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-49%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb90e…5794backed Pistons64c11,093$7,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,141.997263.9%46 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Pistons20c8,923$1,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,752.2261532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe35a…d709backed Jazz37c7,919$2,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,988.972100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+131.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Jazz35c7,250$2,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,712.6921649.1%106 W · 110 L+18.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3b88…d628backed Jazz67c6,063$4,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,007.232437.5%9 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+48.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Jazz35c5,989$2,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,894.5277745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2317…c891backed Pistons22c5,038$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12511842.4%50 W · 68 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc28c…b2bdbacked Pistons63c4,687$2,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,953.01911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.35per pick46cpaid-84.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7f59…a01abacked Pistons62c4,648$2,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,881.768561.2%52 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Jazz37c4,512$1,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,837.3565642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0166…c1aebacked Pistons65c3,927$2,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,552.511546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Jazz76c3,180$2,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.672241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf095…65c5backed Pistons63c3,163$1,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,992.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c16…6bd1backed Jazz75c3,064$2,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.673568.6%24 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7418…59e2backed Jazz36c3,000$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,929.863839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfda5…9bdabacked Pistons35c2,800$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9892540%10 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-37.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Pistons67c2,552$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,72019137.7%72 W · 119 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6aab…9c4cbacked Pistons40c2,400$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96629661.5%182 W · 114 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Jazz36c2,388$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,528.031,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca03…9e20backed Pistons1c2,100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21520%1 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick8cpaid-23.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Jazz30c2,030$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,420.841,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1295…fec3backed Pistons1c2,015$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked Jazz36c2,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,279.987354.8%40 W · 33 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Jazz33c2,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,339.8737954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a5e…c869backed Jazz36c1,956$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,249.936167.2%41 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Jazz36c1,864$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.6173051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9542…4295backed Pistons61c1,858$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1305947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda4d…c8eebacked Pistons1c1,822$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.343318.2%6 W · 27 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick10cpaid-13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf25b…2584backed Pistons67c1,604$1,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,076.56837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+164.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pistons64c1,531$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.281,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Pistons64c1,500$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9607953.2%42 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe8d…46babacked Jazz78c1,500$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.271070%7 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cb5…98f8backed Jazz36c1,500$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.99955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+25.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Pistons63c1,500$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.9829148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Jazz53c1,467$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.970951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Pistons31c1,247$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.3223835.7%85 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Pistons4c1,191$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.081,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d5b…73c9backed Jazz76c1,146$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.022100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+63.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Jazz36c1,129$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.3633752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbdb4…0081backed Jazz35c1,080$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7027100%7 W · 0 L+3.9wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+144%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xdbb5…b6b6backed Pistons65c1,080$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7021216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-40.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ceb…0c87backed Pistons15c1,079$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.817251.4%37 W · 35 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fdc…42f9backed Pistons65c1,071$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.334858.3%28 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x34da…a7efbacked Pistons65c1,069$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.851540%6 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+28.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4911…1eaabacked Jazz35c1,069$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.85933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Pistons21c1,063$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.6248137.2%179 W · 302 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47ce…e250backed Pistons66c1,031$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.621233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-37.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12f5…1c1abacked Jazz34c1,030$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.8742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+72.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d53…0644backed Pistons64c1,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64012154.5%66 W · 55 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Pistons64c1,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6401,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Pistons15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15036057.5%207 W · 153 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Pistons65c999.99$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.9916242%68 W · 94 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4ae…4876backed Jazz35c999.9$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.933537.1%13 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3232…b62ebacked Pistons59c981.25$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+61.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec74…05f6backed Pistons64c966$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.241323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-56%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4be3…abcdbacked Jazz36c966$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.24771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+65.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf74…0fcabacked Pistons34c923.88$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.311822.2%4 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+72.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5272…f0afbacked Jazz80c851.89$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.121650%8 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Pistons2c820$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.713611.8%16 W · 120 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+41.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Pistons27c791.37$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.6770147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Pistons26c775.4$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Jazz34c768.24$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.5472341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb775…2205backed Pistons28c726.18$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.0230%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Jazz35c661.52$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.9996447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Jazz36c661$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.2445251.1%231 W · 221 L+20.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed Jazz36c660.99$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.3411150.5%56 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+41.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Jazz36c624.99$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.991,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc203…74f3backed Jazz70c617.85$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.7925957.5%149 W · 110 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a46…f5e6backed Jazz32c600$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4081100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7624…03b7backed Jazz35c600$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x560c…22ecbacked Pistons68c600$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick22cpaid-85.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x397c…49e3backed Jazz53c565.64$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.853138.7%12 W · 19 L-5.1wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-18.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x85cc…2b10backed Pistons65c555.88$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.32875%6 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e0e…eda8backed Pistons66c555$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.3650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+103.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7238…8c4abacked Jazz34c555$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.3520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-41.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea6f…6bfcbacked Pistons64c550$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa155…9517backed Jazz36c550$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid+69.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef63…96cbbacked Pistons11c547.06$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7137831.2%118 W · 260 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8e0…ebcfbacked Jazz75c533.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.337363%46 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Jazz35c530.25$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.1785347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18f6…b00bbacked Pistons64c513.06$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.3612752.8%67 W · 60 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd3f0…0fe3backed Jazz34c500$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908e…3844backed Pistons66c500$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-42.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Jazz30c494.33$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.0375347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc612…7e7cbacked Pistons10c478.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.991040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe77f…4374backed Pistons65c477.12$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.1313140.5%53 W · 78 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Jazz75c474.1$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.8349849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Jazz70c474.1$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.229043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb06d…77fdbacked Jazz34c456$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.96666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+160.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x586a…d51ebacked Pistons66c456$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.96616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2746…edc4backed Pistons66c455$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.3333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+203%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50dd…f342backed Jazz34c455$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+47.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5228…93eebacked Pistons64c430.63$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.620%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Pistons40c420$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.0625651.6%132 W · 124 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Pistons12c420$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.447535.8%170 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Pistons64c400$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2561,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Pistons40c400$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.121,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Pistons25c399.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011250%56 W · 56 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.