NFL · resolved market
Patriots vs. Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e0cefadce1614c50f3bf79ae5e8dc346268fb649229372b0c4732c2ebaae233
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cardinalsof Patriots, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $119,503
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $138,822
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,503 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Cardinals | 77c | 16,605$12,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,831.59 | 125 | 70.4%88 W · 37 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Patriots | 27c | 13,413$3,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,665.72 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Patriots | 9c | 10,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Patriots | 20c | 7,740$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.61 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed Patriots | 4c | 5,602$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Patriots | 23c | 4,626$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.25 | 106 | 24.5%26 W · 80 L | -12.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Cardinals | 71c | 3,500$2,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Patriots | 30c | 3,459$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed Patriots | 30c | 3,200$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9e…7928backed Cardinals | 72c | 2,807$2,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.09 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Patriots | 30c | 2,582$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.94 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2317…c891backed Cardinals | 72c | 2,310$1,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.72 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Patriots | 1c | 2,110$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Cardinals | 73c | 2,082$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.27 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…45dbbacked Cardinals | 73c | 2,003$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.04 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Cardinals | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.99 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd2…d60fbacked Cardinals | 72c | 1,873$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.38 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Patriots | 30c | 1,833$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.9 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Patriots | 28c | 1,279$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.55 | 140 | 22.9%32 W · 108 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…0825backed Patriots | 30c | 1,259$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.7 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Patriots | 29c | 1,132$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.39 | 247 | 38.1%94 W · 153 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Patriots | 7c | 1,130$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.8 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Cardinals | 72c | 1,126$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.14 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Cardinals | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 104 | 67.3%70 W · 34 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Patriots | 3c | 897.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Cardinals | 71c | 882.6$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.95 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Patriots | 30c | 833.51$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.57 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Patriots | 29c | 787.55$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.39 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x900d…2961backed Cardinals | 72c | 764$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.92 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…0c1abacked Patriots | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Cardinals | 72c | 714$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.92 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Patriots | 6c | 611.77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Patriots | 10c | 596.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.61 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…717cbacked Patriots | 7c | 549.37$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cardinals | 72c | 503.51$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.62 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x483e…2d6bbacked Cardinals | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d0…0c2ebacked Cardinals | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Cardinals | 70c | 499.98$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.99 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Cardinals | 69c | 488.51$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.44 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Patriots | 29c | 443.93$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.74 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd79c…a0e7backed Cardinals | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd95…99f2backed Cardinals | 70c | 398$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.4 | 157 | 22.3%35 W · 122 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…d15ebacked Cardinals | 72c | 344.89$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.89 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…94bcbacked Cardinals | 74c | 329.73$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.73 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +5.8wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Patriots | 28c | 324.5$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.86 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked Patriots | 11c | 309.09$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 284 | 33.1%94 W · 190 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Patriots | 29c | 307.73$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.24 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cardinals | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Patriots | 27c | 300$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf14b…a203backed Cardinals | 71c | 263.92$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.54 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Cardinals | 72c | 231.38$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.79 | 71 | 77.5%55 W · 16 L | +7.7wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Cardinals | 71c | 218.99$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.9 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Cardinals | 71c | 211.49$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.48 | 162 | 59.9%97 W · 65 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Cardinals | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf631…e20fbacked Cardinals | 72c | 207.79$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.79 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Cardinals | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 202 | 46%93 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Patriots | 24c | 180.83$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef6…eb68backed Patriots | 29c | 172.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…1de4backed Patriots | 12c | 159.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 114 | 7.9%9 W · 105 L | -10.2wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…902bbacked Patriots | 32c | 157.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…24dcbacked Patriots | 27c | 155$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 205 | 57.6%118 W · 87 L | +16.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x460b…1a81backed Patriots | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Patriots | 16c | 151.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Patriots | 28c | 149.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Cardinals | 73c | 142.47$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.47 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2088…9c55backed Cardinals | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 52 | 75%39 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa32b…e132backed Patriots | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -9.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -30%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Patriots | 36c | 126.26$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55fa…c97dbacked Patriots | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4202…9611backed Cardinals | 72c | 120.12$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.22 | 25 | 84%21 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f74…a238backed Cardinals | 71c | 105.63$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 35 | 77.1%27 W · 8 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Cardinals | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0187backed Cardinals | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 241 | 60.6%146 W · 95 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ae…3327backed Cardinals | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd7…c1f3backed Cardinals | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Cardinals | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 263 | 31.6%83 W · 180 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Patriots | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 7.7%3 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe973…7005backed Cardinals | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Patriots | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87c4…490ebacked Cardinals | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 116 | 73.3%85 W · 31 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Cardinals | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d4…83bbbacked Patriots | 21c | 99.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Cardinals | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97f2…a87fbacked Cardinals | 72c | 99.97$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Patriots | 31c | 99.37$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2921…eb0bbacked Cardinals | 78c | 98.7$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Patriots | 31c | 97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac29…fa88backed Cardinals | 73c | 95.89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Cardinals | 72c | 76.39$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 195 | 64.6%126 W · 69 L | +12.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Patriots | 14c | 76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe9…e00ebacked Cardinals | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 21 | 95.2%20 W · 1 L | +5.1wins | +0.24per pick | 71cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd829…3fc4backed Cardinals | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 25 | 88%22 W · 3 L | +6.1wins | +0.24per pick | 64cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc4…f39bbacked Cardinals | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf8…1fa4backed Cardinals | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefb4…9653backed Cardinals | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 22 | 90.9%20 W · 2 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 71cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad8e…776ebacked Cardinals | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc17a…1db3backed Patriots | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc77…efe0backed Patriots | 29c | 62.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…7b6ebacked Cardinals | 73c | 51.02$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 170 | 60.6%103 W · 67 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9108…479ebacked Cardinals | 73c | 49.34$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 41 | 80.5%33 W · 8 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.