TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9108…479e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
85
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NFL, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 60 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Aug 16, 2025, EDT4180.5%33 W · 8 L+6.2wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+20.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NFL — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Texans backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.35
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+53.8%+$11.31
Commanders vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST-100%-$151.93
Packers vs. Eaglesbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Vikings vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+69.5%+$13.9
49ers vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Jaguars vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+51.5%+$5.82
Commanders vs. Cowboysbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+37%+$7.4
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Lions vs. 49ersbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST+51.5%+$12.88
Falcons vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST+56.3%+$8.66
Chiefs vs. Steelersbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST+69.5%+$27.79
Buccaneers vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST+48.3%+$15.56
Jaguars vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Vikings vs. Seahawksbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Cardinals vs. Panthersbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$60
Eagles vs. Commandersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$40
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+31.6%+$23.68
Titans vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+53.8%+$21.54
Rams vs. Jetsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+66.7%+$26.67
Packers vs. Seahawksbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2024, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Colts vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+49.3%+$14.78
Steelers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+40.8%+$10.21
Patriots vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+37%+$13.32
Commanders vs. Saintsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+28.2%+$11.28
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2025, EST2777.8%21 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick65cpaid+20.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Timberwolves vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST-100%-$40
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST+29.9%+$7.17
Suns vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Clippers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Hawksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Spurs vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Rockets vs. Hornetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST+44.9%+$8.99
Mavericks vs. Warriorsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2024, EST+43.3%+$23.81
Mavericks vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST+56.6%+$11.33
Magic vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST+37%+$18.49
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST+44.9%+$6.74
Grizzlies vs. Celticsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+98.9%+$24.72
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+56.3%+$14.06
Lakers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Pacers vs. Bullsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST+69.5%+$10.42
Bucks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST+33.3%+$20
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2024, EST+69.5%+$17.37
Hawks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2024, EST+66.7%+$16.67
Pacers vs. Netsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2024, EST-100%-$15
Trail Blazers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+28.2%+$4.23
Grizzlies vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+58.7%+$8.81
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+51.5%+$7.73
Pacers vs. Raptorsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2024, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Notre Dame vs. Georgiabacked Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST+96.2%+$28.85
Ohio State vs. Oregonbacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+78.6%+$11.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 12, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wings vs Feverbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Sun vs Valkyriesbacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$5
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 16, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Orioles vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.35
Pirates vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win on 2025-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST+49.3%+$7.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump deportation executive order on Day 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.