NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Hawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0290c42a53c823991c97a4494911aa303102c3e4a0b1df1917fa43358e032a6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Timberwolves, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $171,540
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $187,486
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,540 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 284 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2317…c891backed Timberwolves | 35c | 50,975$17,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,822.02 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hawks | 62c | 33,348$20,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,658.07 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7062…dadfbacked Hawks | 39c | 10,032$3,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,119.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32c7…31e0backed Timberwolves | 61c | 10,009$6,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,105.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Hawks | 57c | 9,462$5,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,082.92 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Timberwolves | 54c | 4,668$2,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,534.17 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…3665backed Hawks | 64c | 3,428$2,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.22 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Timberwolves | 68c | 3,000$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,029.94 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Hawks | 41c | 2,838$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,674.05 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…e26cbacked Hawks | 76c | 2,174$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.08 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f59…a01abacked Timberwolves | 59c | 1,882$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.57 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Hawks | 40c | 1,760$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.07 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Hawks | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Timberwolves | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Hawks | 55c | 1,498$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.64 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65eb…e197backed Hawks | 43c | 1,336$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.64 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f46…5ba3backed Hawks | 39c | 1,300$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Hawks | 62c | 1,137$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.68 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Hawks | 47c | 1,071$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.85 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Timberwolves | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Timberwolves | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 234 | 38.9%91 W · 143 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Timberwolves | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Hawks | 54c | 928.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.93 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c6…5a68backed Hawks | 40c | 900$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d31…2cbfbacked Timberwolves | 61c | 900$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Hawks | 65c | 839.01$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.16 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Hawks | 40c | 767.74$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.64 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…defdbacked Hawks | 40c | 762.5$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51c2…2b13backed Timberwolves | 61c | 762.3$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Hawks | 47c | 759.13$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.23 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…9bfcbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 757.58$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Timberwolves | 60c | 752.33$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.4 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…821cbacked Hawks | 56c | 679.29$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.29 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Timberwolves | 60c | 669.39$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 473 | 57.9%274 W · 199 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Timberwolves | 60c | 658.69$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.22 | 404 | 48.3%195 W · 209 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2239…c9c0backed Timberwolves | 8c | 655.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Hawks | 50c | 576.11$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.41 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Hawks | 39c | 545.54$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.78 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Timberwolves | 65c | 544.06$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.95 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b3b5backed Timberwolves | 49c | 510.08$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.94 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Timberwolves | 26c | 507$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.7 | 378 | 31.2%118 W · 260 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa38…ffb3backed Timberwolves | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 109 | 25.7%28 W · 81 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb4…d00fbacked Timberwolves | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Hawks | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1edd…f21ebacked Hawks | 39c | 499.97$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.98 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…bb26backed Timberwolves | 53c | 492.41$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.94 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d54…2386backed Timberwolves | 62c | 484.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Timberwolves | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945c…9721backed Timberwolves | 62c | 475$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Hawks | 65c | 445.03$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.76 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6afa…8f06backed Hawks | 63c | 420$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.6 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Hawks | 64c | 419$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.67 | 192 | 31.3%60 W · 132 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f8…649fbacked Hawks | 40c | 418$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x624f…2fa6backed Timberwolves | 36c | 402.12$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.76 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a0…3d33backed Hawks | 40c | 402.05$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.23 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Timberwolves | 62c | 400$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c8…5c16backed Hawks | 41c | 400$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37cd…5b44backed Hawks | 51c | 399.99$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…2da4backed Hawks | 42c | 394.94$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.07 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Hawks | 40c | 374.75$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.85 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7742…03e9backed Hawks | 70c | 373.8$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.14 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -17.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 316.46$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.15 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb1…09c8backed Hawks | 40c | 311.8$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.62 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Timberwolves | 60c | 309$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.4 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Timberwolves | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd6…9bb8backed Hawks | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04d0…034abacked Timberwolves | 62c | 299.52$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf67…f83dbacked Timberwolves | 61c | 283.78$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…42f9backed Hawks | 63c | 274.63$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.61 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95ce…0527backed Timberwolves | 62c | 260$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Hawks | 39c | 255$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.42 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Hawks | 40c | 251.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.04 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Timberwolves | 61c | 250$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x589e…c63ebacked Hawks | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e3…83d2backed Hawks | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Timberwolves | 61c | 249.98$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.49 | 152 | 34.9%53 W · 99 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…a76ebacked Timberwolves | 61c | 244.37$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…26e5backed Timberwolves | 62c | 242.72$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Hawks | 42c | 239.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.32 | 298 | 44%131 W · 167 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Timberwolves | 38c | 222.18$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.03 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Hawks | 40c | 216.37$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.11 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Hawks | 39c | 213.63$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.01 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Timberwolves | 62c | 204.5$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.79 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…e446backed Timberwolves | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f0…4036backed Timberwolves | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd979…6f8abacked Hawks | 39c | 195.14$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.04 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +103.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…e936backed Hawks | 56c | 183.19$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.72 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Hawks | 50c | 181.45$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.45 | 303 | 31.4%95 W · 208 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08a8…adcebacked Hawks | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78da…9d47backed Hawks | 36c | 166.67$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.67 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x562d…db7dbacked Timberwolves | 61c | 164.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Timberwolves | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a3…7838backed Hawks | 40c | 154.83$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.83 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x542e…e88ebacked Hawks | 38c | 150$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Hawks | 42c | 143$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 194 | 52.1%101 W · 93 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…40d2backed Hawks | 42c | 130.95$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.95 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Hawks | 41c | 130$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.7 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeeef…d4fbbacked Timberwolves | 63c | 127.26$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee38…3777backed Hawks | 38c | 127$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.74 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c2…de66backed Timberwolves | 61c | 123$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.03 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.