NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Bulls
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7081f3b9fbedb1407c552e47adc2b0dce24a58d46dacd2aee2ec3742655b0432
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Pacers, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $206,034
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $215,550
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $206,034 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 389 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe2db…1856backed Bulls | 44c | 40,226$17,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,500 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Pacers | 61c | 19,716$11,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,754.34 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Bulls | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Pacers | 60c | 11,636$6,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,687.3 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Bulls | 14c | 5,525$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f59…a01abacked Pacers | 58c | 4,249$2,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785.16 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Bulls | 42c | 3,992$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.45 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Pacers | 57c | 3,351$1,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.37 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Pacers | 59c | 2,542$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.37 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Pacers | 58c | 2,200$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c8…6675backed Pacers | 50c | 1,980$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a7…5a88backed Bulls | 50c | 1,970$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Pacers | 59c | 1,947$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.4 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Pacers | 60c | 1,868$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.1 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…d18cbacked Bulls | 41c | 1,868$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.56 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Bulls | 41c | 1,845$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.82 | 404 | 48.3%195 W · 209 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e12…141ebacked Bulls | 4c | 1,784$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.51 | 109 | 21.1%23 W · 86 L | -10.5wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bulls | 31c | 1,701$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.11 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3de1…6286backed Bulls | 42c | 1,429$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1e…2f01backed Pacers | 60c | 1,403$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…e082backed Bulls | 4c | 1,400$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…246abacked Pacers | 58c | 1,299$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.58 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Bulls | 40c | 1,136$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.43 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…a3e2backed Bulls | 43c | 1,113$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.49 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Bulls | 40c | 1,103$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.39 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97b…388dbacked Bulls | 41c | 1,060$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.6 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c6…b9adbacked Pacers | 58c | 1,060$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.19 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Bulls | 19c | 1,042$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.84 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d53…0644backed Bulls | 43c | 1,024$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.84 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Pacers | 74c | 1,015$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.05 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa492…d264backed Pacers | 59c | 1,007$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Pacers | 58c | 1,004$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.96 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Pacers | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.31 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bulls | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…2da4backed Pacers | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73b7…9360backed Pacers | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b8…3bfcbacked Bulls | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31e4…1f69backed Bulls | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x624f…2fa6backed Bulls | 15c | 999.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce54…90bcbacked Pacers | 59c | 981.53$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.43 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40dc…563dbacked Bulls | 42c | 981.52$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.24 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +5.0wins | +0.36per pick | 50cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7551…a8e9backed Pacers | 61c | 970.22$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.28 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Pacers | 57c | 929.77$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.93 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…a7cfbacked Pacers | 58c | 863.56$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.7 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Pacers | 57c | 856.99$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.5 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f2…fdbabacked Bulls | 41c | 854.6$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33be…c239backed Pacers | 59c | 826.58$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.9 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Bulls | 42c | 805.01$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.1 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Pacers | 58c | 789.93$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.64 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…0b03backed Bulls | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pacers | 58c | 699.59$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.83 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea86…4d92backed Pacers | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Pacers | 63c | 661.9$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.1 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Bulls | 3c | 653.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5d…7e9ebacked Pacers | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 65cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Bulls | 37c | 580.08$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.46 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed Bulls | 42c | 568.29$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.68 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Bulls | 17c | 542.63$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.81 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pacers | 52c | 515.63$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d1…6f56backed Bulls | 29c | 501.89$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.5 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -9.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Pacers | 58c | 500.75$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.41 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…59abbacked Bulls | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +15.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Bulls | 42c | 499.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1b…cd6bbacked Bulls | 40c | 498.33$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Pacers | 56c | 496.41$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.42 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Pacers | 67c | 483.35$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.87 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcdd…a15abacked Bulls | 42c | 476.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.04 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Bulls | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Bulls | 42c | 475$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Pacers | 58c | 471.72$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.56 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Bulls | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc0…4da8backed Bulls | 40c | 453.62$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.45 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Bulls | 42c | 452.93$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.23 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23ea…3ab2backed Pacers | 60c | 444.5$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.8 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…5b4dbacked Bulls | 44c | 433.08$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.15 | 125 | 63.2%79 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5361…fac8backed Pacers | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Pacers | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…61b3backed Bulls | 5c | 399.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a4…cb7ebacked Bulls | 42c | 399.97$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10c…6f3cbacked Bulls | 59c | 384.28$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.02 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…dde3backed Pacers | 62c | 384.18$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Bulls | 41c | 384.15$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -14.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d05…ba37backed Pacers | 59c | 350.86$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Pacers | 41c | 350.85$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd349…d521backed Bulls | 42c | 350.77$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.32 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Pacers | 58c | 350.1$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.1 | 286 | 57.3%164 W · 122 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Pacers | 77c | 336.64$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.27 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3483…cdabbacked Pacers | 61c | 328.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.16 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Pacers | 58c | 323$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.59 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bb…38d0backed Bulls | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0299…8a59backed Pacers | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 45cpaid | +220.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…35b1backed Pacers | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…c302backed Bulls | 11c | 299.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bf…d806backed Bulls | 13c | 286.53$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x542e…e88ebacked Bulls | 30c | 270.5$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.17 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Pacers | 48c | 259.99$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.33 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d54…2386backed Pacers | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…2758backed Pacers | 59c | 252.97$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.72 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Bulls | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 152 | 34.9%53 W · 99 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Bulls | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.