NFL · resolved market
Panthers vs. Texans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcdfd66b2548e53ce6e03b170cea9e0c17146e5ad9e7b4dd29c05f29f54fb92ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texans of Panthers , Texans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Texans | 56c | 5,432$3,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,395.55 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Panthers | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Panthers | 24c | 4,841$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.68 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Texans | 56c | 4,379$2,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,946.97 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Panthers | 46c | 3,700$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.45 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Texans | 62c | 2,939$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.7 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Panthers | 1c | 1,327$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Panthers | 42c | 1,183$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.48 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Panthers | 45c | 1,069$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.66 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed Texans | 60c | 827.87$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.87 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d04…7102backed Texans | 58c | 762.14$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.89 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Texans | 55c | 700$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +12.4wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +141.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…8253backed Panthers | 47c | 609.56$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.1 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Texans | 55c | 563.93$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.62 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Panthers | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Panthers | 30c | 462.29$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.62 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Panthers | 42c | 448$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.64 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Texans | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +5.4wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…2305backed Texans | 57c | 442.88$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.42 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Panthers | 42c | 392.76$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.72 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Texans | 54c | 358$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.09 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed Panthers | 15c | 324.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 233 | 51.9%121 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Texans | 58c | 292.63$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.03 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Texans | 57c | 285$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.55 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Panthers | 43c | 233$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.19 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Panthers | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Panthers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Panthers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Panthers | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 96 | 33.3%32 W · 64 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…392cbacked Panthers | 28c | 189.29$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Texans | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Panthers | 17c | 144.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Panthers | 22c | 129.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 85 | 27.1%23 W · 62 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Panthers | 47c | 127.46$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Texans | 56c | 120$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2885…486cbacked Panthers | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +522.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Panthers | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Panthers | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 263 | 31.6%83 W · 180 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Panthers | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 315 | 40.6%128 W · 187 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Texans | 55c | 98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9d…9de8backed Texans | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.29per pick | 33cpaid | +108.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Texans | 58c | 87.87$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.01 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb683…61b1backed Texans | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Panthers | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfef0…1282backed Texans | 54c | 85$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Panthers | 14c | 78.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d9…b00bbacked Panthers | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Texans | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Panthers | 43c | 47.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Panthers | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…7b6ebacked Panthers | 42c | 39.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 170 | 60.6%103 W · 67 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9108…479ebacked Panthers | 46c | 37.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 41 | 80.5%33 W · 8 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Panthers | 43c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 368 | 26.9%99 W · 269 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bff…e03abacked Texans | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Texans | 73c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Panthers | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed Texans | 55c | 21.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…8f4fbacked Texans | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.