TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe7d9…b00b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Champions League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 53 out of 100; worst MLB at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT2231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cubs vs. Redsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$133.42
Astros vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.51
Rangers vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$86.71
Diamondbacks vs. Dodgersbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$176.29
Yankees vs. White Soxbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.08
Orioles vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$85.83
Braves vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$39.98
Rangers vs. Royalsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$38.57
Mets vs. Nationalsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Blue Jays vs. Piratesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Rangers vs. Royalsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.62
Guardians vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Cardinals vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.12
Angels vs. Athleticsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$30.65
Rays vs. Giantsbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Padres vs. Diamondbacksbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+100%+$45
White Sox vs. Marinersbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Guardians vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Cardinals vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$14.01
Dodgers vs. Raysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+100%+$12.46
Brewers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.99
Tigers vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.35
All 22 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 31, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+55.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fever vs. Valkyriesbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$559Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$558.75
Liberty vs. Mercurybacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+127.5%+$93.39
Wings vs Sparksbacked Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$20.71
All 3 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Aug 16, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Packers vs. Colts backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$40.56
Panthers vs. Texans backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Giants vs. Bills backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$129.99
All 3 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 17, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 319: Will Chimaev win by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.85
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirierbacked Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$13.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Sep 5, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jackets vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$265.22
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 21, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aberdeen win on 2025-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will PAOK win on 2025-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Aug 30, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Real Oviedo vs. Real Sociedad end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 19, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+218.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Qarabag win on 2025-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+218.1%+$43.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Aug 17, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-08-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$42.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bruno Mars be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$22.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mahmoud Abbas attend the UN General Assembly?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Switzerland win on 2025-10-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$728Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$728.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 4, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open: Felix Auger Aliassime vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$94.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.