MLB · resolved market
Rangers vs. Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a2197be8c498aadfb9e59303363bb8fc3b76ca53ca3d3b6febac481b036abea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Diamondbacksof Rangers, Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $478,808
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $466,742
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $478,808 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Diamondbacks | 50c | 299,763$149,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149,881.5 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Rangers | 50c | 246,117$123,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123,058.49 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Rangers | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Rangers | 50c | 33,500$16,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,750 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 25,555$12,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,777.5 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Diamondbacks | 50c | 24,537$12,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,268.56 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Rangers | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Rangers | 9c | 13,631$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.15 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rangers | 15c | 13,258$1,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,971 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Rangers | 50c | 12,427$6,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,213.56 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Rangers | 32c | 10,140$3,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,203.34 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rangers | 6c | 9,728$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.49 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Diamondbacks | 35c | 4,709$1,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,058.04 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rangers | 49c | 4,108$1,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,993.71 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 2,190$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.32 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Rangers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Diamondbacks | 68c | 1,706$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.82 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Rangers | 25c | 1,587$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.76 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Rangers | 60c | 1,468$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.33 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Diamondbacks | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce3…4aa8backed Rangers | 46c | 1,111$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.06 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x681f…e1f3backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 1,109$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.14 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0238…208ebacked Diamondbacks | 54c | 1,091$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.86 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc87c…667abacked Rangers | 46c | 1,089$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.94 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Rangers | 50c | 1,040$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.68 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Diamondbacks | 50c | 999.99$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Rangers | 49c | 946.08$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.08 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Rangers | 4c | 898.33$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.93 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Rangers | 49c | 720$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.8 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Diamondbacks | 54c | 714.54$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.56 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Rangers | 2c | 637.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x394b…0cecbacked Rangers | 60c | 631.83$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.59 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Rangers | 50c | 627.93$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.5 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Rangers | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 576$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.48 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 575$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 545.2$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.76 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdba1…410cbacked Rangers | 7c | 505.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Rangers | 50c | 505$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.5 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Rangers | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed Rangers | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed Rangers | 43c | 490$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.98 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 481$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.4 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Rangers | 60c | 471.28$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.3 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rangers | 71c | 461.52$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.89 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfa…b7b1backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 443.3$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.13 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -11.5wins | -0.31per pick | 58cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Diamondbacks | 48c | 409$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.81 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Rangers | 42c | 391.51$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.22 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 378$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.44 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Rangers | 11c | 352.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68d…9b4abacked Rangers | 50c | 340.83$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.75 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 38cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Rangers | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Diamondbacks | 29c | 294.17$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.96 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 269.66$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.66 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Diamondbacks | 71c | 269.57$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.97 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Rangers | 75c | 265.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Rangers | 38c | 258.48$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.48 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 249.96$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.47 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Diamondbacks | 48c | 206.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.89 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Rangers | 30c | 206.02$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.65 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…76ffbacked Rangers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Rangers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1888…e1cbbacked Rangers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rangers | 50c | 198.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b6…97b7backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Rangers | 53c | 187.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…57b6backed Rangers | 38c | 166.92$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.2 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -39%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Rangers | 49c | 161.63$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d49…9601backed Diamondbacks | 60c | 160.68$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.27 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 150.57$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.78 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Diamondbacks | 34c | 146.62$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.47 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Rangers | 56c | 135.35$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.96 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Rangers | 23c | 134$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255e…4979backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d9…b00bbacked Diamondbacks | 27c | 118.78$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.71 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Diamondbacks | 50c | 118.18$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.13 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33b9…ed3abacked Rangers | 26c | 114.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 109.26$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.27 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Diamondbacks | 50c | 103.84$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.92 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Diamondbacks | 27c | 99.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.99 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 98.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.92 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4b…94d4backed Rangers | 48c | 97.01$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.21 | 251 | 55.4%139 W · 112 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Rangers | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…f95abacked Rangers | 73c | 75.38$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.03 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Rangers | 57c | 66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.82 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Rangers | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…1cadbacked Rangers | 64c | 56.64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 81 | 67.9%55 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Rangers | 47c | 55.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 47.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea0e…f1b1backed Rangers | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…5b12backed Rangers | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed Diamondbacks | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…c0edbacked Rangers | 48c | 39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 337 | 50.4%170 W · 167 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf913…5543backed Diamondbacks | 38c | 38.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c3…766cbacked Diamondbacks | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…143cbacked Rangers | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 217 | 53.9%117 W · 100 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rangers vs. Diamondbacksthis page
- Rangers vs. Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Diamondbacks (-1.5)Diamondbacks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.