Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will PAOK win on 2025-08-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9ad6329c24fbc4c38bf77ba8f449f25e69ba5c6315d07d218e94abc593fe1c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,842
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,144
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,842 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 61c | 6,830$4,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,643.45 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 41c | 4,300$1,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,763 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked No | 59c | 2,424$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.16 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…1742backed Yes | 42c | 1,890$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 58c | 1,330$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.12 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76cc…5e4ebacked Yes | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 58c | 750$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.5 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 36c | 655.54$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x847d…ea0fbacked Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 45c | 221.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 103 | 32%33 W · 70 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…c622backed Yes | 42c | 103.81$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d9…b00bbacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…d3c6backed No | 56c | 47.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…5d8ebacked Yes | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4db0…e467backed Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 60c | 23.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 122 | 69.7%85 W · 37 L | +14.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PAOK win on 2025-08-21?this page
- Will HNK Rijeka vs. PAOK end in a draw?No won
- Will HNK Rijeka win on 2025-08-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.