MLB · resolved market
Astros vs. Rangers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x825008880b7d0345e42d0c4f240d9c108ae182a787d70e3dd96ffb3c96e60421
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astrosof Astros, Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,249
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,139
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,249 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Rangers | 46c | 8,827$4,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,067.95 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Astros | 55c | 8,156$4,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,644.21 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Rangers | 52c | 5,500$2,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,859.99 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Rangers | 39c | 4,594$1,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,813.56 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Astros | 54c | 3,201$1,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.44 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Astros | 48c | 2,131$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.12 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Astros | 47c | 1,518$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.71 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Rangers | 53c | 1,415$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.93 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Astros | 48c | 1,143$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.52 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Astros | 50c | 964.63$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.63 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Rangers | 45c | 939.13$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.81 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Rangers | 50c | 861.92$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.96 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Rangers | 51c | 820.21$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.31 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Astros | 48c | 800$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.3 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…c811backed Astros | 50c | 796.46$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.23 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Rangers | 50c | 785.46$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.73 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Rangers | 52c | 750.96$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.5 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Astros | 50c | 700.62$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.25 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Astros | 79c | 575.23$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.87 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Rangers | 51c | 510.2$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.2 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rangers | 37c | 456$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.72 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Rangers | 51c | 438$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.38 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Astros | 48c | 415.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.53 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Astros | 49c | 405.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.62 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Astros | 47c | 399.98$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Rangers | 8c | 396.17$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Rangers | 25c | 370.81$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.7 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Astros | 47c | 359$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.27 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1148…dc44backed Astros | 49c | 348.2$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.2 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1451…2915backed Rangers | 53c | 347.17$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Astros | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb39e…5182backed Rangers | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rangers | 50c | 241.62$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.81 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Astros | 48c | 225.66$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.34 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Astros | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ac…4a3cbacked Astros | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Astros | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Astros | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Rangers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Astros | 45c | 172.79$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.54 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…a021backed Rangers | 55c | 172.62$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.06 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Astros | 49c | 163$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.13 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Rangers | 13c | 146$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Rangers | 51c | 128.57$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.57 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ea…f31cbacked Astros | 49c | 126.53$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.53 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Rangers | 51c | 126$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.26 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Astros | 48c | 119.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Astros | 49c | 109.74$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.97 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Astros | 45c | 81.92$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.06 | 307 | 40.4%124 W · 183 L | -11.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Astros | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1b…7d60backed Rangers | 53c | 81.13$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Astros | 48c | 70.54$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.68 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d9…b00bbacked Rangers | 26c | 67.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2efa…6a09backed Rangers | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.3wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Rangers | 51c | 63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Rangers | 51c | 62.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb07…3245backed Rangers | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cb…0f0cbacked Rangers | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdad3…7044backed Rangers | 53c | 52.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…5f0fbacked Rangers | 51c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 342 | 57.6%197 W · 145 L | +25.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…ee5cbacked Astros | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…5be4backed Rangers | 53c | 39.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf92…d080backed Rangers | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe88c…2f53backed Rangers | 51c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 258 | 57%147 W · 111 L | +14.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6360…c981backed Rangers | 51c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 252 | 55.6%140 W · 112 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x960e…8b43backed Rangers | 53c | 32.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1be…5409backed Astros | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Rangers | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Rangers | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rangers | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dde…8a88backed Astros | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Astros | 47c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71b6…4dd3backed Rangers | 53c | 26.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61b9…f46abacked Rangers | 53c | 25.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Astros | 47c | 24.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…c8c3backed Astros | 48c | 23.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa6…7721backed Rangers | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4c…3bb8backed Astros | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Astros | 48c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Astros vs. Rangersthis page
- Astros vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5Over won
- NRFI: Astros vs. RangersYes won
- Spread: Rangers (-1.5)Astros won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.