TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x960e…8b43

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
173
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Premier League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 52 out of 100; worst MLB at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT13441%55 W · 79 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 134 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Mavericks vs. Pelicansbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Magic vs. Heatbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$17.21
Pelicans vs. Rocketsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Celtics vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$14.33
Grizzlies vs. Netsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Bulls vs. Kingsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Knicks vs. Lakersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Raptors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolvesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Grizzlies vs. Pacersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+96.1%+$14.41
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Kings vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Warriors vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Wizards vs. Hawksbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+108.3%+$13
Raptors vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Grizzlies vs. Heatbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Jazz vs. Grizzliesbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Nets vs. Cavaliersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+47.1%+$8.94
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+47.1%+$17.88
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+455.6%+$54.67
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Showing 25 of 134 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 7, 2025, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-31.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$12
Orioles vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$6.4
Twins vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
Pirates vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Athletics vs. Piratesbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Diamondbacks vs. Twinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Tigers vs. Marlinsbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
Astros vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Nationals vs. Cubsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Marlins vs. Nationalsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Blue Jays vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Rays vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$17.23
Nationals vs. Philliesbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.41
Astros vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$17.33
Padres vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Phillies vs. Rangersbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$11.45
Astros vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Angels vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$10.87
All 19 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Utahbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Golden Knights vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Bruins vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$12.92
Kings vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST+75.4%+$12.07
Wild vs. Blackhawksbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST+58.7%+$12.33
Lightning vs. Blackhawksbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST+47.1%+$11.29
Capitals vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Rangers vs. Utahbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST+96.1%+$44.1
Kings vs. Flamesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Bruins vs. Panthersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+177.8%+$21.33
Devils vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2025, EST+138.1%+$19.33
Jets vs. Ducksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST-100%-$13
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST-100%-$13
Predators vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST-100%-$19
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-18%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fulham wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Spain win the 2024 Euros?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2024, EDT+63.9%+$44.19
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will another team win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Seahawksbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
South Florida vs. North Texasbacked North Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.