MLB · resolved market
Diamondbacks vs. Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x013441f1ed2aedbc34b5d609a2b2b173e02a1b074e0fc1eccf501dd3d58915b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Diamondbacksof Diamondbacks, Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $198,992
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $194,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $198,992 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 68,734$30,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,957.9 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Twins | 55c | 55,272$30,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,347.05 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Twins | 55c | 28,108$15,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,459.6 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Twins | 49c | 20,938$10,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,199.11 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Twins | 40c | 12,906$5,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,186.53 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 6,536$3,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,146.52 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 6,000$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,240 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 4,216$1,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,496.86 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…f91cbacked Twins | 62c | 3,229$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Twins | 56c | 3,030$1,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696.92 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 2,802$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.91 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 2,545$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.75 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 2,501$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.82 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.94 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Twins | 31c | 2,213$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.34 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Diamondbacks | 37c | 1,658$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.81 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Diamondbacks | 38c | 1,645$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.73 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Twins | 21c | 1,361$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.37 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfc…b032backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 1,109$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.04 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 1,088$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.19 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Diamondbacks | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.37 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 982$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.92 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 922.76$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.03 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Twins | 56c | 715$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.4 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Twins | 56c | 714$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.84 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Diamondbacks | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Twins | 56c | 615.14$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.48 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Twins | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 499.97$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.48 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Twins | 57c | 431.58$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Diamondbacks | 59c | 427.96$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.69 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 387.69$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.95 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Twins | 41c | 363.37$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.78 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Diamondbacks | 36c | 342.46$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.45 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 259.98$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.19 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 255.87$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.19 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Twins | 55c | 251.75$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.62 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…c835backed Diamondbacks | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 80cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Twins | 56c | 249.98$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Twins | 57c | 228.07$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 226.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.58 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Twins | 57c | 224.56$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Twins | 38c | 218$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.33 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 215.91$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.59 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Twins | 64c | 210.08$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Twins | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Twins | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Twins | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…1730backed Twins | 57c | 196.49$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…9133backed Twins | 57c | 192.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Twins | 46c | 180.17$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.12 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63dd…c279backed Twins | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Twins | 8c | 159.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Twins | 35c | 138.61$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.86 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd57e…95f3backed Diamondbacks | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Twins | 56c | 133.51$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…9bbabacked Diamondbacks | 60c | 120.43$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 137 | 40.1%55 W · 82 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Twins | 55c | 118.19$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.01 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Twins | 56c | 114.58$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.66 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 110$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcae1…5fb0backed Twins | 56c | 108.93$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Twins | 57c | 105$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Diamondbacks | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Diamondbacks | 70c | 101.02$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.31 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0166…c1aebacked Diamondbacks | 42c | 101.02$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.59 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Diamondbacks | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf78e…0956backed Twins | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Diamondbacks | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 150 | 80%120 W · 30 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…b3e8backed Twins | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 291 | 45.4%132 W · 159 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff52…e92dbacked Twins | 73c | 97$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.81 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8994…5826backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 91.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5d…0774backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffbc…b889backed Twins | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0958…78fdbacked Twins | 56c | 82.14$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -5.0wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Twins | 54c | 81.92$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x670f…3f29backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Diamondbacks | 50c | 75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.85 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ca…c7f5backed Diamondbacks | 49c | 69.84$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.62 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Twins | 18c | 66.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Twins | 37c | 59.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b2…4d4bbacked Diamondbacks | 54c | 56.66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Diamondbacks | 36c | 56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…b86ebacked Diamondbacks | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…a688backed Twins | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7118…1021backed Twins | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8e…4e23backed Twins | 57c | 50.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e4…85d0backed Twins | 57c | 50.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…0c8fbacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…5f0fbacked Twins | 55c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 342 | 57.6%197 W · 145 L | +25.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x799f…c6b6backed Twins | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…aa92backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 356 | 52.5%187 W · 169 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Twins | 25c | 43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Diamondbacks vs. Twinsthis page
- Diamondbacks vs. Twins: O/U 8.5Under won
- NRFI: Diamondbacks vs. TwinsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.