NHL · resolved market

Predators vs. Stars

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e3a7972e865ea20bf0a886e43e3b63b5b85d9e00b7af50115ac6dd0001e3c35

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Predatorsof Predators, Stars
Resolved: Dec 13, 2024, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $35,616
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $35,340

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,616 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NHL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x371a…34b0backed Stars	0c	7,542$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.31	745	0.7%5 W · 740 L	-13.2wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-94.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Predators	33c	2,967$979 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,987.88	201	47.8%96 W · 105 L	-5.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Stars	4c	2,372$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.14	313	34.8%109 W · 204 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Predators	33c	1,985$655 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,330.01	728	47.9%349 W · 379 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Stars	67c	1,922$1,288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,287.74	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4851…16dbbacked Predators	32c	1,773$562 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,211.57	30	33.3%10 W · 20 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb33b…abe7backed Stars	69c	1,379$945 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$945	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.34per pick	67cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7aa7…05e2backed Stars	7c	1,011$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-10%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Predators	33c	1,000$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$670.24	46	45.7%21 W · 25 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Stars	66c	1,000$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660	17	76.5%13 W · 4 L	+4.2wins	+0.25per pick	52cpaid	+44.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Stars	67c	1,000$670 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$670	851	48.5%413 W · 438 L	-48.2wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Predators	34c	925.87$314 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$611.61	355	45.4%161 W · 194 L	+11.8wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecda…e488backed Stars	67c	843.47$565 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$565.12	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.35per pick	60cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c7a…dc19backed Predators	33c	842.33$278 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$564.36	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.6wins	+0.32per pick	48cpaid	+66.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc54…aad2backed Predators	32c	644.24$206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$438.08	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x65af…a2a7backed Stars	68c	644.24$438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$438.08	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Stars	67c	588.88$394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$394.18	61	37.7%23 W · 38 L	-5.2wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Stars	65c	519.57$338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$337.72	318	49.4%157 W · 161 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Predators	33c	500$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$335	44	52.3%23 W · 21 L	+3.4wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+24.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Predators	32c	500$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$340	543	49.5%269 W · 274 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Stars	11c	496.36$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	205	40.5%83 W · 122 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Stars	67c	447.76$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	135	62.2%84 W · 51 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed Predators	32c	402.46$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$273.67	114	45.6%52 W · 62 L	+3.7wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Stars	69c	400$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276	1,039	55.2%574 W · 465 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Predators	33c	343.7$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230.28	253	40.7%103 W · 150 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2a…2aaebacked Predators	32c	337.09$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$229.22	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.13per pick	42cpaid	-25%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Predators	32c	333.42$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$226.72	231	44.6%103 W · 128 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Stars	68c	300$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204	1,037	55%570 W · 467 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Predators	32c	255$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.94	724	44.6%323 W · 401 L	+7.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Stars	66c	227.27$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	1,079	54.3%586 W · 493 L	+4.6wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb48d…9f73backed Stars	67c	217.2$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.37	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	65cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe4e2…0187backed Stars	66c	200$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132	139	53.2%74 W · 65 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Stars	65c	199.99$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.99	500	49.4%247 W · 253 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Stars	67c	191.81$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.51	129	55.8%72 W · 57 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c91…0505backed Stars	68c	176.47$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	76	50%38 W · 38 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5961…d0d5backed Stars	67c	173.41$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.34	53	37.7%20 W · 33 L	-7.1wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5e4d…0f41backed Predators	32c	157.87$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.35	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+56.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64f0…5ba5backed Stars	68c	157.85$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.34	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.11per pick	64cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Predators	34c	150.74$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.49	51	49%25 W · 26 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x98b4…5d76backed Stars	44c	150.36$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.99	301	55.1%166 W · 135 L	+17.0wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Stars	25c	150$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.2	1,163	2.3%27 W · 1,136 L	-10.7wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-87.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfac8…7a9ebacked Stars	67c	149.25$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	51	43.1%22 W · 29 L	-2.8wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-25%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1875…eb5ebacked Predators	34c	147.06$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.06	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.4wins	+0.15per pick	40cpaid	+30.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f0a…e4eabacked Stars	67c	144.78$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97	41	58.5%24 W · 17 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	63cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2686…7a67backed Stars	66c	106.06$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	96	65.6%63 W · 33 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	63cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf16e…5220backed Predators	34c	100$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.18per pick	43cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfeee…c5c4backed Stars	67c	100$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2088…9c55backed Stars	66c	100$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	38	65.8%25 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	69cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Predators	34c	99$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.34	818	46%376 W · 442 L	+4.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Predators	32c	78.43$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.33	1,475	48.3%712 W · 763 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x60af…45bbbacked Stars	66c	76.06$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.2	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.24per pick	58cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Stars	68c	73.53$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	222	46.8%104 W · 118 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5c3…a32fbacked Stars	69c	72.46$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.6wins	-0.41per pick	66cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4dfd…0fcfbacked Stars	70c	64.29$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f2…1362backed Predators	35c	60$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf05…aa64backed Predators	34c	59.99$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.59	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf91d…3358backed Stars	66c	59.8$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.48	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	64cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x215b…bd73backed Stars	69c	55.72$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.24	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.26per pick	49cpaid	+121.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Predators	54c	55.6$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.7	448	48.9%219 W · 229 L	+12.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fce…9860backed Predators	34c	55.22$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.7	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.21per pick	45cpaid	+68.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Predators	29c	54.45$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.66	191	50.8%97 W · 94 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdca1…35b3backed Predators	34c	53.38$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.23	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8838…2991backed Predators	32c	53.29$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.24	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.20per pick	47cpaid	+60.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Stars	64c	52.5$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.5	372	54.3%202 W · 170 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9376…1655backed Stars	65c	51.18$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.27	99	57.6%57 W · 42 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	61cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Stars	66c	50$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	731	57.5%420 W · 311 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6144…2fffbacked Stars	67c	50$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.5	44	52.3%23 W · 21 L	-3.0wins	-0.07per pick	59cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x177e…a572backed Stars	68c	50$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	42	54.8%23 W · 19 L	-3.3wins	-0.08per pick	63cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Stars	67c	50$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.5	419	54.4%228 W · 191 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x53c1…0be8backed Predators	32c	48.61$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.25	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5c0…e68cbacked Predators	34c	47.47$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.49	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Stars	67c	46.46$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.13	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.9wins	-0.19per pick	49cpaid	-48.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x24f4…61b1backed Stars	68c	45.81$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.97	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	62cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f4…2c3dbacked Predators	33c	39.62$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.41	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+2.6wins	+0.52per pick	48cpaid	+119.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7b51…a452backed Predators	33c	38.49$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.88	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.30per pick	50cpaid	+61.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21a2…866dbacked Stars	68c	36.76$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	92	60.9%56 W · 36 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	65cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x30bb…315dbacked Predators	30c	36.46$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.52	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0206…82b5backed Stars	69c	36.23$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	42	66.7%28 W · 14 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	67cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xece0…2b56backed Stars	67c	36.1$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.03	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.17per pick	51cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9797…4e3dbacked Stars	71c	35.21$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	39	61.5%24 W · 15 L	-3.7wins	-0.10per pick	71cpaid	-14%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0aa1…29afbacked Stars	68c	35.09$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.86	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.6wins	+0.27per pick	57cpaid	+63.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda3d…2628backed Predators	32c	35.09$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.86	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd18…5183backed Stars	66c	34.9$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.16	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-2.0wins	-0.28per pick	56cpaid	-54.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5166…46febacked Predators	30c	34.86$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.4	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.16per pick	44cpaid	+46%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4da…81e9backed Stars	67c	34.75$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.29	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc315…2fb0backed Stars	68c	34.18$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.24	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.21per pick	54cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe87c…74e7backed Stars	67c	32.79$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.97	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdef0…be98backed Predators	33c	32.6$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.85	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d09…d2dbbacked Predators	34c	32.6$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.51	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.4wins	+0.27per pick	53cpaid	+62.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa29…5ef0backed Stars	67c	32.29$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.69	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.8wins	-0.20per pick	53cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9807…e27ebacked Predators	34c	31.85$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.03	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.17per pick	43cpaid	+48.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ebd…2937backed Stars	66c	31.85$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.03	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.25per pick	59cpaid	-46.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbcc0…77dbbacked Stars	66c	31.72$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.94	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	65cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Stars	64c	31.7$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.29	1,025	40.8%418 W · 607 L	+15.6wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x99ce…6095backed Predators	32c	31.33$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.3	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+2.5wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+111.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4e8e…1488backed Stars	67c	31.1$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.75	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.16per pick	56cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Stars	68c	31$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.08	244	57.4%140 W · 104 L	-4.9wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2716…1ff7backed Stars	66c	30.93$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.41	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x81cb…2041backed Predators	34c	30.93$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.41	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.18per pick	53cpaid	+43.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b51…b419backed Predators	62c	30.76$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.76	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.38per pick	62cpaid	+61.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Predators vs. Stars

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market