TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Kings vs. Flames

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Flamesof Kings, Flames
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,233
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,719

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,233 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5c57…5b16backed Flames48c2,178$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,123.861,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Kings45c1,945$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.841,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaf9…4236backed Flames54c1,717$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Kings52c1,464$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.9866951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21bd…ae93backed Flames55c1,314$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.491258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick69cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Kings70c1,071$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.813361.7%82 W · 51 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Kings47c1,066$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.9419438.1%74 W · 120 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Kings51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.321,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Kings54c1,000$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.291,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90f6…b703backed Kings1c999.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-36.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Flames56c999.76$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.0685148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x945e…2acabacked Flames42c836.68$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.038950.6%45 W · 44 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c57…9780backed Kings69c728.11$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Kings54c701.94$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.0529847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Kings50c690$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3451,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x789c…3b85backed Kings51c690$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.91275%9 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+36.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Flames46c527.15$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.4541851.4%215 W · 203 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f5…4850backed Kings49c507.45$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Kings53c463.33$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.328744.8%39 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Flames51c450.98$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.9813457.5%77 W · 57 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Kings52c436.71$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.6184051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Kings55c363.94$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.1775155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Flames36c357.68$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.9244848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb9c…d01bbacked Flames51c294.35$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.354951%25 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Flames39c267.26$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.4131334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Flames46c265.09$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.7347249.2%232 W · 240 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53f8…de10backed Flames47c257$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x851c…f386backed Kings53c257$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.21250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Flames51c254.9$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.912859.4%76 W · 52 L+0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcefa…bef8backed Kings59c235.92$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.036953.6%37 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5065…18f9backed Kings68c225.93$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.63250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31b7…bde1backed Kings67c219.4$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1473641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Kings50c205$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.4850857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Kings48c205$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.1972444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf934…9f73backed Kings42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.25046%23 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62dd…869abacked Kings15c199.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Flames47c191$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.9358346.5%271 W · 312 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Flames51c172.55$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.5515456.5%87 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Kings69c158.94$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11024945.8%114 W · 135 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bce…558cbacked Kings65c153.59$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002572%18 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7524…2149backed Flames53c140.45$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.454245.2%19 W · 23 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3846…3b9abacked Flames55c137.21$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.211566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Kings53c113$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8979251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96e3…83d2backed Flames45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.114647.8%22 W · 24 L+5.3wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+32.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Flames53c100.76$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.367357.5%42 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fb4…2794backed Flames49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Kings47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4781846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Flames47c92.7$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.744045%18 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Kings48c90$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.272448.3%350 W · 374 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87f8…c268backed Kings72c83.38$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Flames42c82.62$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.083,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb72b…2f6cbacked Kings47c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.63336.4%12 W · 21 L-5.5wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-34.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Kings51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4070249%344 W · 358 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf57b…706cbacked Kings55c75.92$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ee8…4356backed Flames52c74.18$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.31475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+60.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52c7…b836backed Kings68c73.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502268.2%15 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c18…8052backed Kings50c70.37$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.19757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2220…3868backed Flames57c70.2$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc357…7b82backed Kings55c68.95$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Kings48c65$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.248654.1%263 W · 223 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe62d…dae3backed Flames51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.822055%11 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf739…e27fbacked Flames45c57.83$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.81250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a15…eac3backed Kings56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307659.2%45 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3c0…4033backed Flames46c53.18$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.78650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1338…0fa9backed Kings51c52.94$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271947.4%9 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b98…1b3cbacked Flames46c52.17$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.171957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe3c…750bbacked Kings48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252958.6%17 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d7a…b0e3backed Kings50c51.56$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.78250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13cb…6351backed Kings50c46.55$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.27666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+23.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5494…6a4fbacked Flames50c46.49$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.24450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd4…8643backed Flames56c44.73$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7318259.9%109 W · 73 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5605…1cd5backed Flames46c44.42$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.77771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+27.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e35…e9dcbacked Flames50c44.28$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.142100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+81.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb389…6bf7backed Flames50c43.14$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.57785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.32per pick54cpaid+69.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x26dd…8a24backed Flames45c42.95$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.633100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+90.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea72…5164backed Flames47c42.8$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b7c…10f6backed Kings48c42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.16540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b14…dd4cbacked Kings55c41.39$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.77540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-39.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a70…baa3backed Kings56c41.27$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.12425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-56.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cd6…5a68backed Flames44c41.27$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.12944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8b7…5825backed Flames44c40.36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+56.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0afd…9671backed Flames44c39.79$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.28580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+46.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cb0…f67bbacked Flames45c38.42$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.13650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1331…cd06backed Flames49c37.74$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe74c…6a07backed Kings49c37.73$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84b3…deccbacked Kings50c37.56$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.78520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-62.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6842…714bbacked Flames50c37.56$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+18.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1281…e2b6backed Flames45c37.55$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.653100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+134.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e5d…4af9backed Kings55c37.55$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.65666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+23.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3222…7732backed Kings53c37.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.75475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+41.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeab4…6899backed Flames54c37.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.13520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-63%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x56ba…49fabacked Kings46c37.25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.13250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69d8…679cbacked Flames45c36.51$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.08742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67b8…2449backed Flames55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3610255.9%57 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a74…88e8backed Kings52c36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.72475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+49.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x82b8…58bbbacked Flames48c36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.72580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+55.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5426…4699backed Kings52c35.76$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.59425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-62.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc48c…b2b2backed Kings45c35.57$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.01757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbce4…fde2backed Kings48c35.43$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fd5…e3b9backed Flames52c35.43$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.01333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.