NHL · resolved market
Lightning vs. Blackhawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90f36a3c7b4ac0a1101ebfe08ff05a87cf90eb20f9670741cb00e906f1ca7011
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Lightning, Blackhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,572
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,572 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Lightning | 68c | 16,425$11,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,295.9 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Blackhawks | 33c | 10,055$3,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,318.22 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Blackhawks | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.95 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62dd…869abacked Lightning | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blackhawks | 61c | 2,956$1,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,793.67 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Blackhawks | 49c | 2,725$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Blackhawks | 57c | 2,389$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.81 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Lightning | 67c | 1,900$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Lightning | 67c | 1,731$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.71 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15c9…e725backed Blackhawks | 42c | 1,210$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Blackhawks | 31c | 1,200$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…2acabacked Blackhawks | 59c | 1,160$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.42 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Blackhawks | 63c | 1,034$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.45 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Blackhawks | 31c | 1,000$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.16 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b52…6ea2backed Blackhawks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Blackhawks | 31c | 922.65$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.5 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Lightning | 62c | 879.05$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.59 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1396…b149backed Lightning | 36c | 833.28$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.3 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…e364backed Blackhawks | 46c | 790.59$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Blackhawks | 32c | 755.4$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.84 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Blackhawks | 32c | 740$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.8 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Blackhawks | 31c | 593.33$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.1 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1665…a0bebacked Blackhawks | 3c | 517.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Lightning | 69c | 516.55$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.13 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Lightning | 51c | 500$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.06 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Lightning | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Lightning | 70c | 426.64$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.64 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…f170backed Lightning | 40c | 357.6$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.56 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b98…1b3cbacked Blackhawks | 32c | 268.75$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…66d8backed Lightning | 65c | 263.62$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.27 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Blackhawks | 50c | 252.12$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.18 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Lightning | 40c | 250.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.31 | 205 | 40.5%83 W · 122 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…151abacked Lightning | 50c | 222$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.11 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Lightning | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Blackhawks | 48c | 200$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.3 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Lightning | 68c | 185.78$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.45 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Lightning | 65c | 170$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Blackhawks | 28c | 166.34$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.58 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | +29.4wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +202.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x30b9…9b83backed Blackhawks | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Blackhawks | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 380 | 40.5%154 W · 226 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2235…d67fbacked Blackhawks | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8bff…e03abacked Lightning | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa92e…bcc3backed Blackhawks | 33c | 142.61$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcadf…2fc2backed Blackhawks | 33c | 141.82$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe4…ba20backed Blackhawks | 34c | 135.38$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x504e…9e5cbacked Blackhawks | 33c | 134.42$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x766f…3115backed Lightning | 35c | 131.02$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…11b5backed Lightning | 39c | 122.78$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5930…f3fdbacked Blackhawks | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6a…81d6backed Blackhawks | 33c | 105$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc647…efa0backed Lightning | 68c | 103$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Lightning | 49c | 101.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.56 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…3413backed Lightning | 70c | 101$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9747…2823backed Lightning | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Blackhawks | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Blackhawks | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Lightning | 23c | 85.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3605…e60ebacked Blackhawks | 33c | 85.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…e87fbacked Lightning | 67c | 84.2$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.79 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b68…795bbacked Blackhawks | 33c | 81.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccc9…7a15backed Lightning | 63c | 80.88$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.93 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…6e1dbacked Lightning | 68c | 80.25$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf852…38a8backed Lightning | 68c | 80.25$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Lightning | 68c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…bfd3backed Blackhawks | 33c | 79.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +64%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd29…55ccbacked Blackhawks | 33c | 79.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…f3fbbacked Blackhawks | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…eb92backed Blackhawks | 33c | 77.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7139…f965backed Lightning | 68c | 76.71$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c8…0656backed Lightning | 68c | 76.18$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe15e…2c15backed Lightning | 69c | 75.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea2…f05dbacked Blackhawks | 33c | 75.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Blackhawks | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 459 | 54.2%249 W · 210 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e76…7ecbbacked Lightning | 68c | 74.75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8177…492bbacked Lightning | 68c | 73.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b30…6a04backed Lightning | 68c | 73.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7524…2149backed Lightning | 25c | 72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe563…0da8backed Lightning | 68c | 69.1$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d3…5005backed Lightning | 68c | 69.01$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x542d…706abacked Lightning | 68c | 67.93$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa22b…6a60backed Lightning | 68c | 67.63$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81d7…4e4fbacked Lightning | 68c | 67.12$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…94e9backed Lightning | 68c | 66.34$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94b4…7fa0backed Lightning | 68c | 66$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…f310backed Lightning | 68c | 65.15$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe273…a047backed Blackhawks | 33c | 65.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7262…6c5cbacked Blackhawks | 33c | 64.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Blackhawks | 34c | 60.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc067…c09dbacked Blackhawks | 33c | 58.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…f241backed Blackhawks | 79c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd28a…6bdcbacked Blackhawks | 60c | 46.21$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1b…7d60backed Lightning | 68c | 41.18$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf330…f779backed Lightning | 51c | 40.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Lightning | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…8643backed Blackhawks | 39c | 38.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 182 | 59.9%109 W · 73 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd24e…9441backed Lightning | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…9bcbbacked Lightning | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x960e…8b43backed Lightning | 68c | 35.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd75…8cfebacked Lightning | 68c | 32.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Blackhawks | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.