TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Bruins vs. Capitals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bruinsof Bruins, Capitals
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$148,289
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$155,356

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,289 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1117…3532backed Capitals62c73,393$45,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,537.4156649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b3d…7422backed Bruins38c69,138$26,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,865.2614057.9%81 W · 59 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Capitals64c7,813$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00010356.3%58 W · 45 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Capitals30c6,846$2,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,073.7531546.3%146 W · 169 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2745…17b3backed Bruins36c5,555$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,555.21662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+50.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bruins36c5,023$1,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,214.851,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Bruins37c5,000$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,149.9919451.5%100 W · 94 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Capitals63c5,000$3,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,148.535745.6%26 W · 31 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf137…a557backed Capitals63c4,863$3,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,063.43237.5%12 W · 20 L-4.5wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Bruins48c3,398$1,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,755.2858467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Bruins60c3,317$1,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,326.917448.9%85 W · 89 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Bruins43c2,848$1,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,612.1195049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Capitals42c2,641$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,115.72,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d70…f478backed Capitals64c1,883$1,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,205.24616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.8wins-0.47per pick63cpaid-76.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Bruins41c1,737$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,032.0212955.8%72 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Capitals61c1,701$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.784450%22 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5395…9ea1backed Bruins37c1,686$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.31225%3 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-45.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe788…1938backed Capitals63c1,683$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060.29966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac97…ba57backed Capitals63c1,635$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.791637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe01a…d527backed Bruins37c1,632$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.16875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+47.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcec6…47c1backed Capitals64c1,563$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001250%6 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed Bruins68c1,471$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.595655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+37.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Bruins40c1,433$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.5458841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Bruins37c1,351$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.355648.2%27 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf341…d026backed Bruins38c1,320$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.4887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.35per pick53cpaid+83.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Capitals33c1,249$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.621,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Capitals51c1,192$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.792,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Capitals59c1,174$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.961,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Bruins37c1,080$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.450049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fbc…3099backed Bruins39c1,026$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.644450%22 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+32.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a77…54d7backed Bruins39c1,026$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.641070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+35.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0944…6771backed Bruins36c1,000$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64010145.5%46 W · 55 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Capitals62c999.88$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.9363249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Bruins37c889$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.0715448.1%74 W · 80 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1334…3c35backed Capitals64c781.25$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005054%27 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Capitals63c762.49$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.371127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Capitals57c713$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.941,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7412…0ccbbacked Bruins37c623$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.492642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Capitals62c593$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.661,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Bruins37c500$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31538046.6%177 W · 203 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6674…865ebacked Bruins40c490$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Bruins61c478.64$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.3140550.9%206 W · 199 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Bruins36c431.7$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.2951044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Bruins36c420.21$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.931,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Bruins36c400$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25618750.3%94 W · 93 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Bruins38c397$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.1486649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Capitals62c375$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.530848.4%149 W · 159 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Capitals62c374.05$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.8916743.1%72 W · 95 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Capitals61c350$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.57157.7%41 W · 30 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Bruins37c349.99$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.496648.5%32 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0057…0932backed Bruins37c316.85$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.09757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+36.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Capitals39c294.99$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.451,05442.5%448 W · 606 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Capitals63c293.97$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.21,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5693…71fdbacked Capitals64c288.67$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.752653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Capitals36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x483b…abf9backed Bruins37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.2712348.8%60 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20e5…d3bcbacked Capitals13c260$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.69545.3%43 W · 52 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x267c…7041backed Bruins37c243.24$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.24850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Bruins73c242.96$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.634100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+79.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe3e9…3e8fbacked Capitals64c239.44$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.24850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbf3…8bd3backed Bruins38c210.53$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.53580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick42cpaid+100.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d03…369abacked Capitals62c210.53$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.532835.7%10 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Capitals64c200$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12870249%344 W · 358 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27e3…d605backed Capitals63c181.72$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Capitals62c177.42$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2230…a66cbacked Bruins54c175.87$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.92965.5%19 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x56db…171cbacked Capitals64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008360.2%50 W · 33 L+7.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Capitals46c137.92$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.8682043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Bruins37c137.73$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.2637847.4%179 W · 199 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Capitals28c135.17$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.231,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Bruins37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.141,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41e3…1962backed Bruins37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.141346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28b6…4eddbacked Bruins40c122.88$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.156936.2%25 W · 44 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7b95…6141backed Capitals17c120.71$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Bruins37c110$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.357453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1bb…c285backed Bruins38c105.26$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.263164.5%20 W · 11 L+4.5wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+36.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Bruins38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6226136%94 W · 167 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5c3…032fbacked Capitals63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x89f8…a939backed Capitals64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Bruins36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8714…4750backed Bruins37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63580%4 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.43per pick37cpaid+136.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x758b…73e2backed Bruins38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x290b…6729backed Bruins37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+151.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Capitals63c99.99$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6338857.2%222 W · 166 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7381…5b63backed Capitals32c99.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0960042.8%257 W · 343 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Bruins36c99.96$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9743944.6%196 W · 243 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Bruins37c81.08$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0845149.4%223 W · 228 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51cb…b68ebacked Bruins37c81.08$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.082564%16 W · 9 L+4.7wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+48.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Bruins38c77$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.743,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1d1…d284backed Capitals64c70.31$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdad3…7044backed Bruins37c70.27$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.271250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Capitals58c68.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4040340.9%165 W · 238 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bb2…0f00backed Capitals64c62.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Bruins37c60$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.89048.9%44 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b8a…d4d8backed Capitals62c56.45$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353250%16 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadc3…6371backed Bruins37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.052948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x41e0…3be6backed Bruins37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.051353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+38.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Capitals64c54.01$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4715646.2%72 W · 84 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Bruins37c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.541847.8%200 W · 218 L+11.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1da7…2e56backed Bruins38c49.97$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.98837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.