MLB · resolved market
Padres vs. Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabeeec06bf0567b3610d3cead97630c1334047a848747ae8c4e37f0038c409e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Padresof Padres, Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $822,423
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $946,953
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $822,423 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 474 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Giants | 56c | 516,080$286,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286,482.7 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Padres | 44c | 122,600$53,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,656 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Padres | 45c | 117,023$52,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,362.58 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Padres | 45c | 50,000$22,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,500 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Padres | 44c | 35,943$15,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,086.18 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Padres | 44c | 34,598$15,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,283 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Padres | 44c | 31,800$14,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,749.3 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Padres | 44c | 27,032$11,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,040.97 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Padres | 45c | 23,292$10,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,810.59 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37be…c646backed Padres | 71c | 17,943$12,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,196.12 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Padres | 44c | 12,500$5,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,985 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Padres | 45c | 10,500$4,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,775 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Padres | 45c | 9,893$4,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,447.6 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Padres | 53c | 9,195$4,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,307.33 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Giants | 32c | 8,571$2,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,782.37 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Padres | 45c | 8,024$3,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,413.31 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Giants | 45c | 6,346$2,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,855.15 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Padres | 45c | 6,306$2,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,468.54 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Giants | 32c | 5,947$1,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,895.13 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Giants | 56c | 5,817$3,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,246.61 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Giants | 10c | 5,719$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.96 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Padres | 45c | 5,314$2,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,925.36 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Padres | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Giants | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Giants | 54c | 4,174$2,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,268.55 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec6…47c1backed Padres | 37c | 4,161$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,621.6 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -10.5wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Padres | 53c | 3,980$2,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,876.25 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Padres | 42c | 3,796$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,185.68 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea7b…09fbbacked Padres | 45c | 3,200$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Giants | 44c | 3,000$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.13 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Padres | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Padres | 45c | 2,712$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.13 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Padres | 63c | 2,444$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.26 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Padres | 65c | 2,315$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.68 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Padres | 45c | 1,918$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.97 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Padres | 44c | 1,910$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.6 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd05…edf7backed Giants | 55c | 1,900$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Giants | 55c | 1,883$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.58 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f75…f4a3backed Padres | 45c | 1,800$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…e5e9backed Padres | 45c | 1,600$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4950…0031backed Giants | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3674…77d5backed Giants | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa17b…d7a7backed Giants | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c92…1897backed Giants | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffb8…c079backed Giants | 55c | 1,400$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c11…02c8backed Padres | 61c | 1,351$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.25 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x207f…91b7backed Giants | 55c | 1,309$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0823…b085backed Padres | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd06…73a2backed Padres | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6043…0c7bbacked Padres | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3219…4f05backed Padres | 46c | 1,176$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.95 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Giants | 4c | 1,129$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.43 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e9…b124backed Giants | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.05 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe951…8df2backed Padres | 45c | 1,082$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.1 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6b…c3dabacked Giants | 55c | 1,078$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Padres | 47c | 1,070$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.21 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b5…fe69backed Giants | 55c | 1,022$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.1 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fb…1d77backed Padres | 45c | 1,018$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Giants | 54c | 999.97$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.98 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked Padres | 46c | 994.57$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.07 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Giants | 61c | 991.82$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.4 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Padres | 46c | 941.96$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.53 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…380dbacked Padres | 46c | 895.11$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d57…d7ffbacked Giants | 54c | 888$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.52 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Padres | 43c | 813.95$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.95 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Padres | 47c | 804.09$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.17 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Padres | 46c | 698.91$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.41 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Padres | 45c | 660$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Padres | 47c | 640.43$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.43 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Padres | 45c | 618.47$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.75 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Giants | 65c | 523.08$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Padres | 46c | 505.15$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.86 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Padres | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcab0…4cd3backed Padres | 40c | 500$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.5 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…0151backed Padres | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Padres | 44c | 499.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.99 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Giants | 55c | 493.07$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Padres | 45c | 490.7$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.21 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Giants | 54c | 475.76$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.91 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Giants | 37c | 441.44$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.14 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Padres | 46c | 434$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.36 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Padres | 47c | 415.62$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.28 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Giants | 55c | 405$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5356…ea31backed Padres | 42c | 343$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.39 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…0b77backed Giants | 53c | 339$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.67 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…0c8fbacked Giants | 34c | 315.15$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Padres | 40c | 310$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.2 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Padres | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Padres | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec0…40dabacked Giants | 6c | 299.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Padres | 45c | 298.22$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.37 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Giants | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Padres | 52c | 286.4$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.4 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Padres | 50c | 273.16$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.18 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Giants | 29c | 266.53$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.89 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Padres | 45c | 265.22$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.84 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Giants | 55c | 259.89$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.94 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Giants | 39c | 247.44$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.5 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Giants | 52c | 239.96$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.78 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Giants | 41c | 232$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.12 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.