TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Avalanche vs. Kings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Avalancheof Avalanche, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$749,645
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$775,879

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $749,645 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xed88…f3c4backed Kings48c445,637$215,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215,144.159340.9%38 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Avalanche55c174,594$95,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79,039.0626344.5%117 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Avalanche52c85,000$43,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,2005745.6%26 W · 31 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Avalanche53c63,232$33,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,406.4958841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked Avalanche51c40,000$20,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,600650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaefe…1e4abacked Avalanche52c32,850$17,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,725.89922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick52cpaid-57.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Avalanche52c28,432$14,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,647.430848.4%149 W · 159 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Avalanche52c27,919$14,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,442.8938844.6%173 W · 215 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Avalanche51c25,000$12,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,2506737.3%25 W · 42 L-9.5wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-27.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Kings43c20,613$8,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,853.2531546.3%146 W · 169 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fb9…ce7ebacked Avalanche71c18,406$12,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,426.151369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Kings48c15,096$7,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,245.9916743.1%72 W · 95 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Avalanche50c12,221$6,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,110.51,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Kings16c11,797$1,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,848.553345.5%15 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+46.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Kings6c10,752$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.7589547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Kings50c10,672$5,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,315.8456649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Avalanche51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,899.9813049.2%64 W · 66 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Avalanche62c8,509$5,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,246.342,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98b1…d855backed Avalanche70c8,077$5,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,423.13425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-64.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Avalanche64c7,006$4,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,502.151,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Avalanche52c7,000$3,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3601060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Avalanche51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4504450%22 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kings47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,349.991,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5df…2f2dbacked Kings12c4,167$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66c5…85b2backed Avalanche71c4,095$2,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,187.54475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Kings48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9201,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Avalanche50c3,936$1,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,964.0137847.4%179 W · 199 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Avalanche51c3,400$1,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,66611950.4%60 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Kings46c3,284$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50051045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Kings1c2,205$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.581458.3%12 W · 133 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick5cpaid+135.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Avalanche52c2,136$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.6442847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Avalanche52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9605549.1%27 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Avalanche55c1,518$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.24936.7%18 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Avalanche50c1,464$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.4310158.4%59 W · 42 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf341…d026backed Avalanche52c1,346$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.15887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.35per pick53cpaid+83.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Kings48c1,300$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62420751.2%106 W · 101 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x70bc…4e16backed Avalanche52c1,163$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.171526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-38.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x194f…3d95backed Kings45c1,120$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x10fb…c66cbacked Avalanche52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Avalanche52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4808134.6%28 W · 53 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Kings48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48034845.4%158 W · 190 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Avalanche50c989.19$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.61,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e20…f8e2backed Avalanche52c960$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Avalanche51c887$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.6315448.1%74 W · 80 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ed…adddbacked Kings49c816.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa59f…3ce9backed Kings49c740$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2800…2081backed Kings50c726.88$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.44425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-41.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0944…6771backed Kings47c700$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32910145.5%46 W · 55 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Kings48c651$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.181,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Kings47c646.32$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.7740550.9%206 W · 199 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Avalanche63c623.89$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2331,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8520…2a3cbacked Kings50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fbc…3099backed Avalanche52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.924450%22 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+32.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Avalanche53c472.45$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.455648.2%27 W · 29 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+40.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Avalanche50c461$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.557453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Avalanche61c456.94$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.992,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5693…71fdbacked Kings49c448.98$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2202653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Avalanche51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1967054.3%38 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a77…54d7backed Avalanche53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1881070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+35.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x60a1…1485backed Kings51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001540%6 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Avalanche52c384.6$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6123653.8%127 W · 109 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Avalanche53c380$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.631257.4%179 W · 133 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Kings41c369.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Kings49c360.52$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.6564242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Avalanche56c334.19$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.295049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb2a…ffa1backed Kings30c323.33$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9161…622ebacked Avalanche51c322.47$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.56031.7%19 W · 41 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0e1…81d5backed Kings25c295.58$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd02a…c712backed Kings48c281.95$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.0238744.2%171 W · 216 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Avalanche51c280$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.274951.8%388 W · 361 L+18.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2c…4c9bbacked Kings49c278.02$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.7320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xddfe…c5a6backed Kings50c272$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Avalanche52c269.23$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.236262.9%39 W · 23 L+7.2wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+26.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Avalanche53c250$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.51861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+31%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Kings13c226.25$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4193953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d2d…853dbacked Kings49c219.99$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Kings49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Avalanche49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.081,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Kings50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd31d…7ca4backed Kings5c195.22$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Avalanche53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6825258.3%147 W · 105 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8714…4750backed Avalanche53c187.04$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.04580%4 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.43per pick37cpaid+136.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1a03…47c1backed Kings11c176.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.163043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Kings49c161.97$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3710343.7%45 W · 58 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Kings49c131.96$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.6616750.9%85 W · 82 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1406…eb4fbacked Kings32c125$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick60cpaid-72.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x84b4…cec5backed Kings49c122.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-65.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x41e3…1962backed Avalanche53c118.93$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.461346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781e…2484backed Avalanche50c110$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551020%2 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-44.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7381…5b63backed Avalanche51c110$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.860042.8%257 W · 343 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcae1…5fb0backed Avalanche52c103.85$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.851369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+31.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Avalanche53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4726136%94 W · 167 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Kings39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3937254.3%202 W · 170 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Kings11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1118750.3%94 W · 93 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc26d…63f2backed Kings50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504015%6 W · 34 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick27cpaid-51.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Kings47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4743944.6%196 W · 243 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Avalanche52c99.99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4817644.9%79 W · 97 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb395…159cbacked Avalanche52c98.08$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.083100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+134.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Avalanche52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1530951.1%158 W · 151 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5340…5e2bbacked Avalanche52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.