MLB · resolved market
Tigers vs. Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb596f06ca29853fcd02f728af319f0256ff3eb40dfc16c26056788de8ec15c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marlinsof Tigers, Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,423,803
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,427,491
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,423,803 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Tigers | 65c | 923,860$603,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603,047.98 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Marlins | 35c | 714,352$249,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465,091.34 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Marlins | 35c | 118,661$41,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,129.33 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x823c…0425backed Tigers | 68c | 78,890$54,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,011.57 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Marlins | 35c | 63,711$22,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,633.48 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Tigers | 65c | 52,766$34,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,297.9 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Tigers | 65c | 50,077$32,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,538.55 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Marlins | 31c | 48,227$15,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,204.23 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Marlins | 34c | 43,734$14,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,864.21 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Marlins | 34c | 42,278$14,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,847.89 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf4…43f7backed Tigers | 66c | 37,941$25,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,041.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd16a…7691backed Tigers | 25c | 32,106$7,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,927.45 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -54%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Tigers | 65c | 29,000$18,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,850 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Marlins | 34c | 28,600$9,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,810.97 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Tigers | 66c | 27,522$18,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,093.49 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Marlins | 78c | 26,518$20,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,860.52 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Marlins | 32c | 20,000$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,600 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Marlins | 35c | 17,840$6,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,596 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Marlins | 34c | 15,555$5,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,266.3 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Marlins | 35c | 12,357$4,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,068.07 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Marlins | 35c | 12,240$4,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,956 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Marlins | 71c | 11,588$8,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,355.63 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Marlins | 34c | 11,000$3,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,260 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Marlins | 35c | 10,861$3,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,073.27 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Tigers | 64c | 10,710$6,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,854.67 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Marlins | 35c | 6,979$2,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,536.62 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Marlins | 35c | 6,345$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,124.58 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45ad…7f76backed Marlins | 35c | 5,012$1,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,257.8 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Marlins | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d7…068bbacked Tigers | 65c | 4,700$3,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,062 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Marlins | 35c | 4,508$1,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,930.19 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Marlins | 47c | 4,192$1,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,204.78 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Tigers | 26c | 3,993$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.53 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb61…6d7bbacked Marlins | 36c | 3,970$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,541.03 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Marlins | 68c | 3,836$2,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.87 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Marlins | 36c | 3,827$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.4 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Marlins | 74c | 3,679$2,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.65 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa737…cc88backed Marlins | 35c | 3,499$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,274.43 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…320dbacked Tigers | 65c | 3,355$2,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,180.75 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Marlins | 37c | 3,028$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,892.66 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Marlins | 35c | 2,721$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780.4 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb8…9ab0backed Marlins | 34c | 2,600$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,716 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Marlins | 35c | 2,351$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.33 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Marlins | 76c | 2,296$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.56 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Tigers | 64c | 2,264$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.87 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Marlins | 32c | 2,100$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Marlins | 65c | 2,066$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.99 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…114dbacked Marlins | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Marlins | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Tigers | 62c | 1,993$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.73 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Tigers | 58c | 1,572$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.61 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Tigers | 23c | 1,500$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.88 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Marlins | 37c | 1,489$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.19 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Marlins | 33c | 1,453$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.03 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc89b…451fbacked Tigers | 66c | 1,400$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Marlins | 32c | 1,350$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.5 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Marlins | 34c | 1,334$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.41 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Marlins | 35c | 1,187$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.69 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Marlins | 34c | 999.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Marlins | 35c | 999.98$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.99 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Marlins | 34c | 970.94$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.82 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Tigers | 66c | 942.97$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.36 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Marlins | 35c | 940$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…7188backed Marlins | 35c | 940$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Marlins | 74c | 900$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Marlins | 32c | 800$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1a…bf3abacked Tigers | 66c | 800$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Marlins | 32c | 800$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Marlins | 70c | 800$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Tigers | 63c | 799.99$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.99 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5d…a6e9backed Tigers | 36c | 780$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +158.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Marlins | 34c | 774$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.84 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Tigers | 26c | 720$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.2 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Marlins | 36c | 690.65$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.9 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Marlins | 35c | 684.61$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Tigers | 29c | 679.31$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.28 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Tigers | 65c | 654.89$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.63 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Tigers | 65c | 646.87$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.47 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa251…23ddbacked Tigers | 66c | 628.79$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Tigers | 64c | 625$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Tigers | 64c | 625$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Marlins | 33c | 600$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Marlins | 35c | 599.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Marlins | 36c | 595$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.8 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3e…e822backed Marlins | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.43 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4b…d004backed Tigers | 30c | 561.96$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63dd…c279backed Tigers | 65c | 550.78$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Tigers | 2c | 550$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Marlins | 33c | 538.12$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.54 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Marlins | 34c | 500.29$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.87 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked Marlins | 34c | 500.2$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.23 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Tigers | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Marlins | 32c | 500$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 197 | 47.2%93 W · 104 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5da…d89ebacked Tigers | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Tigers | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed1f…afd7backed Tigers | 66c | 429.35$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.37 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Tigers | 66c | 412.5$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.25 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Tigers | 65c | 380$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Marlins | 36c | 365.9$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.18 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Marlins | 34c | 360$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tigers vs. Marlinsthis page
- NRFI: Tigers vs. MarlinsNo won
- Spread: Tigers (-1.5)Marlins won
- Tigers vs. Marlins: O/U 7.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.