NFL · resolved market
Texans vs. Seahawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc9d529e735c24bf33e33403d10a70484b44281db5e42a625440a1e16271629e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seahawksof Texans, Seahawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,809,847
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,343,338
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,809,847 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 715 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed Texans | 39c | 952,339$371,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371,412.19 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…6b14backed Seahawks | 61c | 531,441$325,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206,440.69 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Seahawks | 61c | 409,067$249,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159,536.02 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Texans | 33c | 132,048$43,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,736.72 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Texans | 40c | 100,000$40,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,000 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9481…4931backed Texans | 39c | 69,800$26,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,989.3 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Seahawks | 68c | 67,452$45,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,618.66 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576d…767dbacked Seahawks | 62c | 65,000$40,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,700 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Seahawks | 63c | 50,000$31,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,500 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Texans | 30c | 49,857$15,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,022.63 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Texans | 38c | 45,793$17,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,449.32 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Texans | 25c | 43,707$10,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,815.89 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Seahawks | 62c | 43,095$26,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,376.09 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Texans | 38c | 43,043$16,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,356.41 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Texans | 25c | 41,741$10,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,444.63 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Texans | 38c | 40,847$15,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,479.7 | 181 | 56.9%103 W · 78 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…bba6backed Seahawks | 62c | 40,377$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,376.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Texans | 13c | 40,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Texans | 18c | 36,184$6,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,608.82 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Seahawks | 69c | 31,972$22,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,849.38 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Texans | 3c | 31,124$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.93 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Seahawks | 61c | 30,000$18,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,700 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Seahawks | 62c | 29,773$18,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,402.79 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Texans | 21c | 28,650$5,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,887.73 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Seahawks | 61c | 26,520$16,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,342.8 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Seahawks | 60c | 26,235$15,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,493.97 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Texans | 11c | 25,270$2,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,903.23 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Seahawks | 61c | 25,000$15,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,750 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db7…7e1fbacked Seahawks | 61c | 25,000$15,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,750 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Texans | 7c | 20,249$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.89 | 149 | 26.2%39 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa455…4ebabacked Texans | 22c | 20,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Seahawks | 60c | 20,000$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,000 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Texans | 5c | 18,785$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.93 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc98d…05d3backed Texans | 2c | 18,071$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.24 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x132a…abe8backed Texans | 12c | 17,403$2,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,139.35 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Seahawks | 60c | 15,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Seahawks | 61c | 15,000$9,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,850 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Texans | 37c | 15,000$5,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,549.85 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Texans | 2c | 14,795$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.49 | 196 | 9.2%18 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Texans | 1c | 14,339$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.85 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Texans | 37c | 14,000$5,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,179.95 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Texans | 15c | 13,449$2,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.06 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcfeb…620bbacked Texans | 38c | 12,815$4,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,869.71 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Seahawks | 61c | 12,550$7,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,920.07 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Seahawks | 62c | 10,847$6,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,131.65 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…c53ebacked Texans | 4c | 10,530$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.01 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Seahawks | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Texans | 20c | 10,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a35…c104backed Seahawks | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,800 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bc…9dc9backed Texans | 20c | 10,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa440…a2d1backed Texans | 38c | 9,502$3,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,647.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Seahawks | 80c | 9,189$7,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,837.8 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +4.2wins | +0.27per pick | 55cpaid | +147.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d2…d6d2backed Texans | 1c | 9,045$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Texans | 20c | 8,939$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,787.8 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Texans | 0c | 8,748$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 112 | 8%9 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +413.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb7…05f6backed Texans | 24c | 8,684$2,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,060.13 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Texans | 1c | 8,274$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.51 | 148 | 6.8%10 W · 138 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +296.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Seahawks | 64c | 7,273$4,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,588.68 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Texans | 38c | 7,000$2,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,660 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked Seahawks | 63c | 6,716$4,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,516.84 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Texans | 38c | 6,630$2,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.4 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8d…f2c7backed Texans | 43c | 6,516$2,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,793.27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -46%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbf…3155backed Texans | 4c | 6,444$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Texans | 39c | 6,422$2,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,504.69 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…d0d0backed Seahawks | 64c | 6,382$4,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,285.9 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked Seahawks | 77c | 6,000$4,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Seahawks | 62c | 5,900$3,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e7…d506backed Texans | 17c | 5,700$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Seahawks | 62c | 5,500$3,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,090 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10bf…c877backed Texans | 3c | 5,433$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.08 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Texans | 24c | 5,304$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.51 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Texans | 15c | 5,279$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.82 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | -12.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…0848backed Seahawks | 60c | 5,143$3,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,074.23 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd6…23f8backed Texans | 39c | 5,128$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Texans | 12c | 5,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked Texans | 26c | 4,804$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.47 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Texans | 41c | 4,802$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.75 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x220c…43c8backed Seahawks | 63c | 4,800$3,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,776 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Seahawks | 62c | 4,766$2,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,811.04 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…bc18backed Seahawks | 63c | 4,761$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.66 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +46%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Texans | 38c | 4,755$1,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,807 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…a9f2backed Seahawks | 61c | 4,700$2,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,832.96 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20c4…d5a1backed Texans | 35c | 4,407$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.51 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Texans | 37c | 4,328$1,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,612.8 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c96…abc5backed Texans | 4c | 4,120$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80f0…1ebebacked Seahawks | 63c | 4,101$2,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.44 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…1778backed Texans | 12c | 3,939$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf500…73acbacked Texans | 19c | 3,837$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.01 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Texans | 39c | 3,624$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.35 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Seahawks | 61c | 3,600$2,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.97 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x409c…7cd0backed Seahawks | 62c | 3,582$2,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +87%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5847…c1bdbacked Texans | 38c | 3,582$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Seahawks | 62c | 3,500$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Texans | 1c | 3,450$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 101 | 3%3 W · 98 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…366bbacked Seahawks | 63c | 3,365$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.08 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Texans | 16c | 3,279$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.56 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…6790backed Seahawks | 65c | 3,254$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.77 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Texans | 1c | 3,241$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0886backed Texans | 11c | 3,200$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 151 | 32.5%49 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Texans | 8c | 3,073$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.27 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texans vs. Seahawksthis page
- Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)Seahawks won
- Texans vs. Seahawks: O/U 40.5Over won
- Texans vs. Seahawks: O/U 41.5Over won
- Texans vs. Seahawks: O/U 42.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.