NFL · resolved market
Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde1b69ea39e63a73dee2c18c58b5ce5806c20fc36b6af761c5345a0fd6157335
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seahawksof Seahawks, Texans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $373,603
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $380,910
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $373,603 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Seahawks | 48c | 161,367$76,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84,584.35 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Texans | 53c | 60,335$31,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,963.34 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Texans | 54c | 54,935$29,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,558 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Texans | 54c | 37,366$20,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,177.39 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Texans | 52c | 36,479$18,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,969.27 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Texans | 53c | 19,193$10,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,242.19 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Texans | 53c | 18,350$9,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,725.5 | 181 | 56.9%103 W · 78 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb1…8455backed Texans | 55c | 16,488$9,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,139.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Texans | 54c | 15,211$8,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,175.59 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Seahawks | 47c | 15,056$7,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,979.79 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Texans | 54c | 10,516$5,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,678.64 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Seahawks | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Seahawks | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,499.99 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Seahawks | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,299.97 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Texans | 53c | 9,824$5,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,206.7 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Seahawks | 46c | 7,500$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,049.99 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Seahawks | 23c | 6,261$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,849.18 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Texans | 55c | 6,167$3,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,370 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Seahawks | 45c | 5,352$2,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,918.08 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Seahawks | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Texans | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9481…4931backed Seahawks | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Texans | 52c | 4,662$2,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,424.24 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b8…606fbacked Texans | 53c | 3,382$1,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,792.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa51d…3d7ebacked Seahawks | 47c | 3,382$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,792.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x667a…f924backed Texans | 53c | 3,179$1,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,684.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3b…f822backed Seahawks | 47c | 3,179$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,684.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…d446backed Texans | 53c | 3,072$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234d…a1cdbacked Seahawks | 47c | 3,072$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,627.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Seahawks | 45c | 2,906$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.85 | 313 | 50.2%157 W · 156 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Seahawks | 44c | 2,524$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.36 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Texans | 52c | 2,450$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.3 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0856…4d95backed Seahawks | 47c | 2,256$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb322…2a3abacked Texans | 53c | 2,256$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc59…0b35backed Texans | 53c | 2,147$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…f540backed Seahawks | 47c | 2,147$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Seahawks | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Seahawks | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -7.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Seahawks | 45c | 1,636$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.7 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Texans | 52c | 1,577$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.23 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Seahawks | 46c | 1,521$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.18 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Seahawks | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23b…24f9backed Seahawks | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Texans | 2c | 1,446$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | +13.9wins | +0.13per pick | 10cpaid | +428.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Texans | 53c | 1,325$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.25 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Texans | 52c | 1,292$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.84 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8156…27c2backed Texans | 55c | 1,272$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.63 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1c…440cbacked Seahawks | 47c | 1,170$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3079…b3a3backed Texans | 53c | 1,170$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…6e84backed Texans | 57c | 1,067$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Seahawks | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 106 | 24.5%26 W · 80 L | -12.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Texans | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…366bbacked Seahawks | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Seahawks | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.99 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Texans | 23c | 783$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.36 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Texans | 53c | 755$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.15 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81d6…bec9backed Texans | 53c | 750$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3230…9cfcbacked Seahawks | 47c | 697$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x561b…837ebacked Texans | 53c | 697$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf5…6638backed Seahawks | 46c | 652.72$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.47 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…b852backed Texans | 53c | 640$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x206b…2370backed Seahawks | 47c | 640$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Seahawks | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.83 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Seahawks | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9925…e33ebacked Seahawks | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d7…c17bbacked Texans | 56c | 443.78$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Texans | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2a…3141backed Texans | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -7.1wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbecd…9df4backed Seahawks | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.09 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Texans | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…534cbacked Seahawks | 48c | 266.71$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.69 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…e115backed Seahawks | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Seahawks | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Seahawks | 44c | 228.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.87 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x808a…be63backed Texans | 54c | 220$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Texans | 53c | 219.94$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.57 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Seahawks | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x369e…d016backed Seahawks | 48c | 206.25$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.25 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e3…68b9backed Seahawks | 47c | 205$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.65 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Texans | 49c | 200$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…6539backed Seahawks | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Texans | 54c | 190$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1498…a10bbacked Texans | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Seahawks | 56c | 187$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.28 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…8b1fbacked Seahawks | 46c | 184.78$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Texans | 50c | 177$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 151 | 45.7%69 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf35…b327backed Seahawks | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Seahawks | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 280 | 47.5%133 W · 147 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7555…ce17backed Seahawks | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4091…726abacked Seahawks | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc96f…d46bbacked Texans | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f55…535dbacked Texans | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Seahawks | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 242 | 43.4%105 W · 137 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65d3…d153backed Texans | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5340…5e2bbacked Seahawks | 48c | 87.6$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.25 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ff…f464backed Seahawks | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed Texans | 54c | 82.08$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Texans | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…b17abacked Texans | 54c | 65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b3…f97cbacked Seahawks | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)this page
- Texans vs. SeahawksSeahawks won
- Texans vs. Seahawks: O/U 40.5Over won
- Texans vs. Seahawks: O/U 41.5Over won
- Texans vs. Seahawks: O/U 42.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.