MLB · resolved market
Blue Jays vs. Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b6eac1e3ecb80542a1fdfd6174a095ecd5ce7124c95fa74a7145292fd0c94a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jaysof Blue Jays, Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,244,484
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,247,924
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,244,484 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 502 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Reds | 47c | 492,132$231,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231,302.01 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Blue Jays | 50c | 300,000$149,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150,002.27 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Reds | 50c | 296,515$148,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148,257.38 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Reds | 47c | 200,000$94,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93,999.99 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Blue Jays | 53c | 131,500$69,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,804.98 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Blue Jays | 53c | 75,477$40,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,373.89 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Blue Jays | 53c | 71,280$37,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,501.6 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Blue Jays | 53c | 56,339$29,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,479.31 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Blue Jays | 53c | 43,000$22,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,210 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Reds | 35c | 40,000$13,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,800 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Reds | 47c | 35,555$16,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,710.85 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Blue Jays | 53c | 30,689$16,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,567.99 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Blue Jays | 53c | 28,500$15,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,395 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Blue Jays | 79c | 19,206$15,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,089.28 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Blue Jays | 53c | 17,550$9,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,237.5 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Blue Jays | 53c | 15,709$8,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,383.23 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Blue Jays | 60c | 10,296$6,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,149.78 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Reds | 49c | 10,157$4,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,977.1 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Reds | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Blue Jays | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Reds | 28c | 9,843$2,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,715.33 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Blue Jays | 52c | 9,762$5,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,641.3 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…cb45backed Reds | 15c | 7,297$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.87 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blue Jays | 53c | 5,442$2,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,565.23 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Blue Jays | 52c | 4,944$2,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,373.06 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Blue Jays | 53c | 4,606$2,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,164.7 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Reds | 48c | 4,000$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,939.96 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Blue Jays | 54c | 2,920$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.27 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jays | 74c | 2,548$1,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.95 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Blue Jays | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Reds | 42c | 2,466$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.5 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9f…23f5backed Blue Jays | 50c | 2,190$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5470…7c41backed Blue Jays | 50c | 2,180$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…f6d4backed Reds | 50c | 2,122$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Reds | 50c | 2,099$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.59 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7e…d78fbacked Blue Jays | 50c | 1,960$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb00…528abacked Blue Jays | 53c | 1,833$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7db7…d372backed Blue Jays | 53c | 1,598$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.11 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Reds | 10c | 1,570$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.64 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefca…5d11backed Reds | 50c | 1,472$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Blue Jays | 51c | 1,417$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.76 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Reds | 48c | 1,396$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8613…59f0backed Blue Jays | 51c | 1,372$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.99 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedba…3279backed Reds | 50c | 1,316$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b2…8696backed Reds | 50c | 1,214$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Reds | 16c | 1,212$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.35 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d9…f7ffbacked Reds | 50c | 1,206$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -60%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffbf…0824backed Blue Jays | 50c | 1,202$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Blue Jays | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed Blue Jays | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58a0…0065backed Blue Jays | 50c | 1,198$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ff…0a9ebacked Reds | 50c | 1,194$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 51cpaid | -73%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Blue Jays | 50c | 1,170$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Reds | 50c | 1,145$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.63 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Reds | 7c | 1,110$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.54 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Blue Jays | 50c | 1,095$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.45 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Blue Jays | 51c | 1,027$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.17 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b63…d2cfbacked Blue Jays | 51c | 1,011$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.06 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Blue Jays | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Blue Jays | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Reds | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Reds | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7e…0fbfbacked Blue Jays | 53c | 903.26$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.53 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2209…823ebacked Reds | 48c | 900$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd181…0020backed Reds | 50c | 874$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Reds | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Reds | 48c | 817.92$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.77 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…76ffbacked Blue Jays | 53c | 811.32$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.32 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…a6b9backed Reds | 50c | 746$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x869b…776cbacked Blue Jays | 50c | 743.4$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.7 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bd…8d8dbacked Reds | 51c | 696.08$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 57cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4a…2215backed Reds | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Reds | 38c | 649.96$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.98 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Blue Jays | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Reds | 50c | 625$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.5 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…722bbacked Reds | 40c | 612.44$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Reds | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…93c2backed Reds | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Reds | 34c | 482.35$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.28 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Reds | 50c | 462.98$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.49 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a27…b9ddbacked Reds | 47c | 444$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.68 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…9012backed Blue Jays | 51c | 431.37$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.37 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd64b…483cbacked Reds | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…4768backed Blue Jays | 53c | 416.55$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.78 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Blue Jays | 48c | 406.2$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.23 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ae…a165backed Blue Jays | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Reds | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Reds | 50c | 399.99$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…27f5backed Blue Jays | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Reds | 6c | 390$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Blue Jays | 51c | 386.06$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.17 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Reds | 47c | 350$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.5 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x870b…2181backed Blue Jays | 54c | 319.17$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.82 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab9…4669backed Reds | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Reds | 6c | 311$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Reds | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +30%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9da7…8d0fbacked Blue Jays | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Reds | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Blue Jays | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Reds | 49c | 300$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.71 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blue Jays vs. Redsthis page
- Blue Jays vs. Reds: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Blue Jays (-1.5)Blue Jays won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.