NHL · resolved market
Golden Knights vs. Sharks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e9ba07f8add6457e0a7d89b6a00d04fe10dcf125b7d623a0adb2f32ee5b0052
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden Knightsof Golden Knights, Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $360,183
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $368,818
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $360,183 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed Golden Knights | 66c | 89,021$58,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,267.43 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Sharks | 34c | 40,235$13,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,817.63 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Sharks | 53c | 28,985$15,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,273.39 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Sharks | 34c | 22,222$7,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,455.48 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Golden Knights | 50c | 22,043$10,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,057.33 | 105 | 65.7%69 W · 36 L | +15.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Sharks | 34c | 20,000$6,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,800 | 167 | 43.1%72 W · 95 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Golden Knights | 67c | 20,000$13,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,599.99 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Sharks | 75c | 15,000$11,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,250 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Golden Knights | 56c | 13,976$7,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,118.21 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Sharks | 33c | 12,029$3,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,969.63 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Sharks | 41c | 7,880$3,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,229.65 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Golden Knights | 30c | 6,922$2,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,839.08 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Golden Knights | 37c | 6,149$2,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,901.93 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe655…0bb4backed Sharks | 68c | 5,884$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Sharks | 34c | 5,625$1,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912.56 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Sharks | 34c | 4,900$1,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,662.99 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Golden Knights | 40c | 4,336$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,586.68 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Golden Knights | 64c | 4,270$2,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.28 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Golden Knights | 62c | 3,093$1,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.41 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Sharks | 40c | 3,031$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +66%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…741dbacked Sharks | 36c | 3,001$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.36 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Sharks | 34c | 2,946$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.18 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Sharks | 68c | 2,925$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Sharks | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked Sharks | 77c | 2,346$1,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,803.03 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed Sharks | 42c | 2,242$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.39 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Sharks | 78c | 2,221$1,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,724.09 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Sharks | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Golden Knights | 56c | 1,812$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.38 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Golden Knights | 62c | 1,697$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.01 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Sharks | 39c | 1,669$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Golden Knights | 67c | 1,578$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.73 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Sharks | 34c | 1,544$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.96 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Sharks | 35c | 1,517$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.44 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Sharks | 37c | 1,415$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.1 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Golden Knights | 66c | 1,358$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.72 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Golden Knights | 64c | 1,236$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.11 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Sharks | 44c | 1,236$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.29 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Sharks | 34c | 1,164$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.87 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d86…537abacked Sharks | 34c | 1,135$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9391…8154backed Golden Knights | 63c | 1,111$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.07 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Golden Knights | 49c | 1,103$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.28 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Sharks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…7607backed Sharks | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Sharks | 36c | 999.97$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Sharks | 36c | 999.97$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Sharks | 34c | 999.95$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.98 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Golden Knights | 63c | 999.2$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.7 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Sharks | 34c | 992.65$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.5 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Golden Knights | 54c | 978.43$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.64 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Golden Knights | 32c | 948.09$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.71 | 369 | 48%177 W · 192 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Golden Knights | 51c | 917.5$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.97 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Golden Knights | 31c | 888.31$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.41 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Sharks | 35c | 872.56$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.39 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Golden Knights | 65c | 818.75$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.76 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb020…d974backed Golden Knights | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…2081backed Sharks | 72c | 697.36$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Sharks | 49c | 693.83$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.72 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Golden Knights | 33c | 643$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.11 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Sharks | 34c | 629.41$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Sharks | 40c | 624.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.88 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Golden Knights | 68c | 617.23$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.1 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Golden Knights | 51c | 604$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.2 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…d4d8backed Golden Knights | 56c | 584.69$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.69 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…4c44backed Sharks | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Sharks | 52c | 540$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.8 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9a…5b99backed Golden Knights | 62c | 522.39$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Golden Knights | 27c | 516$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.21 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Sharks | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Sharks | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Golden Knights | 41c | 475.79$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.95 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Sharks | 35c | 416.07$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.64 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc39d…ef20backed Golden Knights | 66c | 392.09$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e1…4fd3backed Sharks | 34c | 350.73$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbb…4433backed Sharks | 37c | 324.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9b…5722backed Golden Knights | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 48cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…5862backed Sharks | 40c | 309.83$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Sharks | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Sharks | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Sharks | 35c | 299.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x483b…abf9backed Sharks | 35c | 297.14$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf5…6638backed Sharks | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2b…aa95backed Sharks | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Golden Knights | 66c | 238$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.92 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Golden Knights | 22c | 227.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.24 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…b883backed Golden Knights | 27c | 202.44$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.78 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Golden Knights | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Sharks | 33c | 199.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Sharks | 65c | 195.69$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.16 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sharks | 50c | 193.39$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.54 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Golden Knights | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Sharks | 36c | 161.74$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.59 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Sharks | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -6.6wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Golden Knights | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…f776backed Sharks | 35c | 137.34$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0057…0932backed Sharks | 51c | 137.16$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Golden Knights | 51c | 131$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.58 | 421 | 44.4%187 W · 234 L | -28.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…2e8fbacked Sharks | 76c | 127.96$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.35 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Sharks | 74c | 125.51$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f71…6bacbacked Sharks | 35c | 114.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden Knights vs. Sharksthis page
- Golden Knights vs. Sharks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Sharks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.