TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Mavericks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Kings, Mavericks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,171,704
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,229,103

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,171,704 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 842 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a57…2afabacked Kings27c80,778$21,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,968.238944.9%40 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Mavericks73c50,000$36,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,499.9519653.6%105 W · 91 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Kings28c49,980$13,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,985.5330845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Mavericks8c25,161$1,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,955.741,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Mavericks0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252270%0 W · 227 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Mavericks71c25,000$17,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,829.91,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Mavericks20c23,943$4,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7134,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e9…4044backed Mavericks72c21,859$15,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,671.369053.3%48 W · 42 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Mavericks70c20,000$13,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,959.1377348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Mavericks71c19,999$14,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,199.551,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Mavericks72c17,900$12,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,88828554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Mavericks74c16,973$12,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,559.7714358.7%84 W · 59 L+12.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Kings27c16,615$4,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,145.5159347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks34c16,552$5,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,645.68,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Kings29c13,793$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,793.116640.4%67 W · 99 L-14.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Kings70c12,621$8,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,771.251,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Mavericks72c10,847$7,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,807.94,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Mavericks71c10,000$7,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,099.9935450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Kings74c9,999$7,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,553.463,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Mavericks27c8,679$2,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,357.243,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Kings73c8,333$6,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,222.712,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7517…0353backed Kings56c8,330$4,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,62727865.8%183 W · 95 L+25.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+10.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7cde…b97dbacked Mavericks73c8,226$5,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,992.7512251.6%63 W · 59 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Kings29c7,777$2,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,521.6736741.4%152 W · 215 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f6d…4ad5backed Mavericks74c7,712$5,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,683.797943%34 W · 45 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+26.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Mavericks72c7,667$5,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,558.3737557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Kings62c7,634$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,934.2642348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19be…2541backed Mavericks72c7,600$5,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,4729758.8%57 W · 40 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe021…e299backed Kings28c7,600$2,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,471.7910035%35 W · 65 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Kings69c7,194$4,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,197.321,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kings79c6,697$5,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,404.661,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Kings33c5,661$1,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,791.962,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Kings29c5,499$1,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,927.9886641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Kings27c5,166$1,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,771.3841832.8%137 W · 281 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bfe…0736backed Mavericks20c5,142$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.451136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x46bc…2d14backed Mavericks18c5,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90018931.2%59 W · 130 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Mavericks2c5,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029810.4%31 W · 267 L+22.5wins+0.08per pick3cpaid+230.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6f6…6d85backed Kings65c4,825$3,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,695.0215252%79 W · 73 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dd8…bf59backed Kings28c4,600$1,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,312580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+91.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Mavericks72c4,551$3,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,276.7228649.7%142 W · 144 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Kings26c4,543$1,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,356.2329650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d4d…fe4abacked Kings80c4,252$3,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.494372.1%31 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Mavericks28c4,203$1,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,176.861,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Mavericks73c4,186$3,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,054.981,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Mavericks18c4,167$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.7744821.4%96 W · 352 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e29…5baebacked Mavericks74c4,054$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-42.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Mavericks18c4,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72024252.5%127 W · 115 L+18.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Mavericks74c4,000$2,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,96038649.7%192 W · 194 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa3b…d6b7backed Kings28c4,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,879.945658.9%33 W · 23 L+7.1wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+21.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Kings49c3,933$1,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,014.635942.1%151 W · 208 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Mavericks30c3,916$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,176.0428929.4%85 W · 204 L-13.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x02ee…6605backed Mavericks23c3,909$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.8711251.8%58 W · 54 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Kings27c3,818$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,779.173,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Mavericks35c3,575$1,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,251.243729.7%11 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa803…2949backed Kings28c3,571$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,571.439345.2%42 W · 51 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Kings28c3,505$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,506.4765939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Mavericks31c3,473$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.9826640.2%107 W · 159 L+1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Mavericks4c3,400$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1513179.5%30 W · 287 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcaff…f689backed Mavericks72c3,301$2,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,376.722231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa31…924fbacked Kings29c3,300$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3432070%14 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+22.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe7a0…aee2backed Mavericks16c3,147$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49013146.6%61 W · 70 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Mavericks23c3,138$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73410952.3%57 W · 52 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b69…e094backed Mavericks33c3,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+51.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdebc…c36dbacked Mavericks30c2,980$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8941457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+21.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe48f…4c0cbacked Mavericks72c2,900$2,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,088425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick68cpaid-41.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x890b…6afebacked Kings68c2,781$1,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.351136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3619…a62fbacked Kings29c2,759$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,958.621353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+19.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Kings28c2,751$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,980.7271547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Mavericks40c2,664$1,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,076.292,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Kings28c2,548$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,834.3438046.6%177 W · 203 L-1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Mavericks73c2,500$1,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8251,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb3a…4c1abacked Kings28c2,500$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,800850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Mavericks8c2,455$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.391,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6f8…fe4dbacked Mavericks71c2,451$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,740.21338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd246…95d8backed Kings29c2,444$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,735.231172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.26per pick47cpaid+60.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xabdf…9fe6backed Mavericks24c2,359$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.441435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Mavericks73c2,331$1,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,701.6323257.8%134 W · 98 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdab7…24ecbacked Kings74c2,299$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.1416065%104 W · 56 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c75…b299backed Kings27c2,278$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,662.784438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Kings27c2,277$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,652.521,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Kings29c2,263$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,609.361,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kings55c2,222$1,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.445,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Kings27c2,148$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564.863,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d65…e347backed Kings32c2,098$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,417.351833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ff…805cbacked Kings29c2,069$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,468.9742827.3%117 W · 311 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Mavericks22c2,057$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4551,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f85…bd8cbacked Mavericks72c2,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44012957.4%74 W · 55 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x157f…032fbacked Mavericks72c2,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4401233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfac7…2086backed Kings28c2,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.991070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+34.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Mavericks1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2067921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x54b4…f93bbacked Mavericks35c1,955$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.931060%6 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+64.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Mavericks50c1,916$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.6489444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed Kings26c1,904$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,408.85683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.42per pick42cpaid+125.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Mavericks27c1,893$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.9846940.3%189 W · 280 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db0…f397backed Mavericks30c1,892$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.274348.8%21 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Kings28c1,832$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,318.8655346.8%259 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Mavericks28c1,791$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.436718.5%68 W · 299 L-36.8wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-38%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa330…bd47backed Mavericks72c1,700$1,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Mavericks53c1,674$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.212,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Kings28c1,667$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.4893543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.