TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Mavericks (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Mavericks, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$474,196
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$475,263

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $474,196 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Kings50c325,477$162,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162,894.8487451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Mavericks50c150,000$75,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75,0002,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Mavericks50c100,000$50,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,0001,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Kings50c59,239$29,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,619.5226753.2%142 W · 125 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Mavericks50c59,091$29,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,520.532,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Mavericks50c31,250$15,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,62551844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Mavericks50c23,304$11,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,625.651,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Kings50c15,000$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,5001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Mavericks52c10,425$5,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,420.9959646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Mavericks50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00035450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Kings50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00012639.7%50 W · 76 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Kings49c8,390$4,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,296.8459347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Kings50c7,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,50041649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Mavericks50c6,957$3,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,465.013,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Mavericks51c4,082$2,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,078.3551354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ea3…72c8backed Mavericks50c4,040$2,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,020366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+24.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Kings50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Mavericks51c3,699$1,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,886.4515549.7%77 W · 78 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Mavericks50c3,333$1,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,666.514753.1%78 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Mavericks50c3,002$1,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,504.794,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Mavericks50c2,500$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25048054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Mavericks50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00032051.9%166 W · 154 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Mavericks52c2,000$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,035.4889050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Mavericks52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04046145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Kings50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00026648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62e6…70dabacked Mavericks50c1,430$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Mavericks51c1,151$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.7782442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Mavericks51c1,100$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.1550653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Mavericks48c1,030$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.6172241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Kings49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51062948.6%306 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf606…440abacked Mavericks50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008754%47 W · 40 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Kings50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50024050.8%122 W · 118 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed Kings49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51023938.1%91 W · 148 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Kings49c989.31$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.943,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Kings49c815$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.6554443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Kings50c700$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35064944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Kings14c687.63$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.6729810.4%31 W · 267 L+22.5wins+0.08per pick3cpaid+230.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kings49c666.36$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.54,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6450…9547backed Kings49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.248439.3%33 W · 51 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Mavericks50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30049345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1748…a816backed Kings51c597.29$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.7917344.5%77 W · 96 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kings48c594.29$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.035,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Kings54c551.87$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.8790957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Kings54c530.79$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.7947651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Kings50c530$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26549246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Mavericks36c494.69$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.231,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Mavericks47c468.84$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.543,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Kings53c435.9$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.0548845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf0c…2265backed Kings69c408.22$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8842241%173 W · 249 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Mavericks50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20027052.6%142 W · 128 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Kings48c327.99$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.551,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b2c…dac5backed Kings54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13842348.5%205 W · 218 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Mavericks46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13891148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Kings52c299.99$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.9952242.7%223 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Kings50c296$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14838946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Kings54c278.8$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.2517144.4%76 W · 95 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Mavericks50c259.74$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.8792753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3502…7057backed Kings54c220.91$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.9118256.6%103 W · 79 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Mavericks50c220.57$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.532,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Kings49c199.99$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10228348.8%138 W · 145 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Kings55c182$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8228046.8%131 W · 149 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Mavericks50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7564139%250 W · 391 L+2.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Mavericks50c119.29$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6587453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Kings48c116.52$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.591,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Mavericks47c112.36$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.442,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51ce…44c1backed Kings49c101$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5111451.8%59 W · 55 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb4…d481backed Kings53c100.96$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.455754.4%31 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Kings50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5053453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Kings70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6261957.5%356 W · 263 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Mavericks51c99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.491,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b06…10a7backed Mavericks51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508558.8%50 W · 35 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Mavericks51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016450%82 W · 82 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Kings55c95.48$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.841,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe05…b5a5backed Kings54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5933246.1%153 W · 179 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x45d2…22fbbacked Kings54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5911348.7%55 W · 58 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Mavericks50c87$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.51,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b2b…1477backed Mavericks51c85.69$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4412749.6%63 W · 64 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd8…5cdbbacked Kings52c84.96$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.786058.3%35 W · 25 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6cf…faaabacked Mavericks50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403847.4%18 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x86d9…b214backed Kings50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4021854.6%119 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Mavericks50c79.31$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9162844.9%282 W · 346 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Mavericks30c78.18$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6690357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Mavericks38c70$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.561,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Kings51c68.63$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6325752.5%135 W · 122 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd61…ebbdbacked Kings51c66.9$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.91942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x635b…195dbacked Mavericks52c66$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3238252.4%200 W · 182 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Mavericks47c64.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.582440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd62d…5992backed Kings49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2237852.9%200 W · 178 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Mavericks49c59.63$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.992,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Mavericks51c59.06$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1292750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b4b…688dbacked Mavericks51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304353.5%23 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Mavericks51c58.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5948852%254 W · 234 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf8b…bff8backed Mavericks49c58.15$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.499958.6%58 W · 41 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x666f…9860backed Mavericks51c58$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.586055%33 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9675…6bf3backed Mavericks45c55.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258944.9%40 W · 49 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a50…09f4backed Mavericks47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257152.1%37 W · 34 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Mavericks51c52.94$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2762450%312 W · 312 L-2.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3008…5cb6backed Kings50c52$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266446.9%30 W · 34 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4a3…bce8backed Mavericks50c50.96$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4812538.4%48 W · 77 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Mavericks49c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4296956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.