TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb6cf…faaa

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
63
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Lol, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST3847.4%18 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$95.88
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$19.5
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$36.18
Spread: Mavericks (-7.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Heat vs. 76ersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$13.51
Spread: Rockets (-2.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Rockets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$42.25
Spread: Hawks (-10.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+108.3%+$38.68
Spurs vs. Nets: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Pistons vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15.76
Nets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$24.21
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+108.3%+$21.66
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Nets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+80.5%+$10.08
Clippers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Nuggets vs. Celticsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+244.4%+$29.33
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11.98
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11.94
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+112.8%+$20.27
Spread: Pistons (-1.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+121.4%+$14.44
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$11.44
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11.95
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+56.3%+$31.43
Cavaliers vs. Bullsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+61.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+92.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+129.5%+$31.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+103.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15.24
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+307.6%+$40.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.84
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$12.24
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+197.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+197.2%+$23.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+178.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+178.8%+$32.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+123.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pisa SC vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+123.1%+$14.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rider Broncs vs. Fairfield Stags: O/U 142.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$13.85
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.