NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84db4d6d2bdfa11442e561caabc0903352269a48da353b72110cbdbfd4efd44f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Thunder, Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $547,335
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $549,057
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $547,335 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Thunder | 48c | 492,335$236,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236,168.84 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Hornets | 52c | 249,272$129,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119,650.74 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Hornets | 52c | 182,137$94,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87,425.94 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Hornets | 79c | 21,860$17,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,497.28 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hornets | 52c | 14,225$7,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,756.93 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Thunder | 47c | 9,622$4,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,522.18 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hornets | 52c | 6,944$3,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,302.39 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Hornets | 52c | 6,379$3,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,061.84 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab0c…3026backed Hornets | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 12c | 5,360$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.94 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Hornets | 54c | 4,653$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,153.02 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Hornets | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Hornets | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.19 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Hornets | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Hornets | 53c | 2,266$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.19 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Hornets | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Hornets | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Hornets | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.04 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Hornets | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Thunder | 46c | 886.06$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.69 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Thunder | 43c | 728.02$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.77 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Hornets | 53c | 723$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.81 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1428…017cbacked Hornets | 53c | 705.66$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.66 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Hornets | 52c | 698.16$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.43 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91df…e5d7backed Hornets | 53c | 599.98$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.99 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…72cfbacked Thunder | 47c | 566$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.02 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Hornets | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefe8…fe1abacked Hornets | 53c | 427.25$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.81 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Thunder | 47c | 415.68$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.37 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Hornets | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce65…6759backed Thunder | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -16.1wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -30%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Hornets | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Hornets | 52c | 392$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.16 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…4588backed Thunder | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.4wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Thunder | 46c | 291.04$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.88 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Thunder | 4c | 274.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Thunder | 46c | 274.34$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.2 | 243 | 30.9%75 W · 168 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9827…6c61backed Hornets | 53c | 251.23$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.08 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Thunder | 45c | 249.98$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.49 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f5…7b42backed Thunder | 47c | 244.53$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.93 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Hornets | 53c | 243.99$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.68 | 135 | 63%85 W · 50 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…ea4abacked Hornets | 53c | 227.72$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.03 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…66abbacked Thunder | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Hornets | 53c | 207.53$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.54 | 217 | 53%115 W · 102 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Hornets | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fba…1404backed Hornets | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Hornets | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Hornets | 52c | 160$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc69f…85fdbacked Hornets | 66c | 142.5$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Thunder | 34c | 142.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Thunder | 32c | 128$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.66 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | +19.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x911d…2438backed Hornets | 55c | 114.55$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.55 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Hornets | 54c | 110.82$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.98 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Hornets | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Hornets | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5718…24d4backed Thunder | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Hornets | 53c | 96.23$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.23 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x177d…88cfbacked Hornets | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Hornets | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Hornets | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4320backed Thunder | 48c | 92$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Hornets | 53c | 87$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Hornets | 54c | 86$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.56 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed Hornets | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Hornets | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Hornets | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Hornets | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Hornets | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…901bbacked Hornets | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 100 | 60%60 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Hornets | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Hornets | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 342 | 54.1%185 W · 157 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0435…cf1dbacked Hornets | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Thunder | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97b8…0f5dbacked Hornets | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Hornets | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Hornets | 52c | 48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…86b2backed Thunder | 48c | 45.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1d…8d17backed Thunder | 27c | 43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…09debacked Thunder | 47c | 40.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 154 | 40.3%62 W · 92 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Hornets | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 288 | 52.8%152 W · 136 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Hornets | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91bb…dce3backed Hornets | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Hornets | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 315 | 51.1%161 W · 154 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Hornets | 52c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 204 | 56.4%115 W · 89 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Hornets | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a00…0c93backed Hornets | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Hornets | 52c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 366 | 51.4%188 W · 178 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Hornets | 52c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Hornets | 52c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0539…0529backed Thunder | 47c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Hornets | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 237 | 53.6%127 W · 110 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Hornets | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 273 | 50.9%139 W · 134 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Hornets | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 220 | 48.6%107 W · 113 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Hornets | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Hornets | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Hornets | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Hornets | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 252 | 50.8%128 W · 124 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Hornets | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 318 | 52.2%166 W · 152 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Hornets | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 273 | 53.8%147 W · 126 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Hornets | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Hornets won
- Hornets vs. ThunderHornets won
- Hornets vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Hornets vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Thunder: O/U 232.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Thunder: O/U 233.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Thunder: O/U 234.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Thunder: O/U 235.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Thunder: O/U 236.5Under won
- Spread: Thunder (-13.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.