NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Thunder: O/U 234.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3086ece6fa2d42febb2225d84e195c7184e12835834460b1fd48d117c93bea2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,698
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,718
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,698 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Over | 51c | 69,902$35,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,963.83 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 49c | 40,253$19,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,665.27 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 11,099$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,699.48 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 9,359$4,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,842.4 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0352…3292backed Under | 51c | 8,095$4,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,984.06 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Over | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.99 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 51c | 4,352$2,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205.85 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Under | 48c | 2,550$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.83 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4466…9ad1backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +5.3wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Under | 48c | 1,525$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.79 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Over | 51c | 1,373$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa841…5167backed Over | 52c | 1,260$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Under | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 1,005$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.6 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 48c | 729$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.08 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Under | 50c | 582$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 48c | 392$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.84 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Over | 48c | 383.5$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.08 | 304 | 52.6%160 W · 144 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 48c | 380$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.17 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Under | 50c | 375$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 47c | 339.62$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.62 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Under | 53c | 339.62$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.62 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 48c | 285$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.2 | 206 | 51%105 W · 101 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Under | 49c | 240$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.4 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Under | 47c | 213.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.24 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92ae…a7b0backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb539…7c32backed Over | 63c | 159.87$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.72 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 146.9$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.68 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Under | 50c | 112.5$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 51c | 105$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.08 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…3f14backed Under | 50c | 93.74$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.87 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20b…502cbacked Over | 52c | 89$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Under | 48c | 81.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcb…9fdcbacked Under | 50c | 53.64$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.82 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 50c | 52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 50c | 52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 50c | 47.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5582…c174backed Under | 48c | 47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 250 | 58.4%146 W · 104 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 50c | 39.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 327 | 43.4%142 W · 185 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Under | 37c | 37.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5373…e46bbacked Under | 50c | 36.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db2…9289backed Under | 50c | 29.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdee4…0a86backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x884c…851fbacked Over | 59c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -10.7wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Thunder: O/U 234.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Hornets won
- Hornets vs. ThunderHornets won
- Hornets vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Hornets vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Thunder: O/U 232.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Thunder: O/U 233.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Thunder: O/U 235.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Thunder: O/U 236.5Under won
- Spread: Thunder (-13.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.