TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hornets vs. Thunder: O/U 233.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$94,979
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,875

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,979 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8f03…64d6backed Over54c46,580$24,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,970.851,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under46c20,612$9,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,050.642,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Over53c19,566$10,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,312.3257950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c15,816$7,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,323.359,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under46c12,033$5,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,475.123,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Under47c5,250$2,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,782.547751.8%247 W · 230 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Under47c5,033$2,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,666.0636351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Over47c3,925$1,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,854.2262347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x41c7…2377backed Over52c3,167$1,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,646.83666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+121.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Under53c2,010$1,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.749938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa841…5167backed Over55c1,606$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f07…0c4abacked Under52c1,300$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6242245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Under45c1,181$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.3142648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under52c1,106$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.428,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under47c1,051$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.12,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5404,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under46c855$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.72,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under46c761$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.942,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32e0…390abacked Over49c700.95$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.472157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c19…3ec0backed Over47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2822343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Under47c522$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.6634654%187 W · 159 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over48c520.83$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25033150.8%168 W · 163 L+1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c486.57$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.284,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over48c475$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2282,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4da6…59fabacked Under45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.441637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cce…5c2fbacked Under45c431.34$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.2416254.3%88 W · 74 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf416…eca5backed Over53c400$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2122236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under47c400$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2121,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21621858.7%128 W · 90 L+17.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe44c…32a5backed Under52c313$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.244353.5%23 W · 20 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over54c300.01$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.0195651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over52c297.83$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.872,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Over54c275$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.515759.9%94 W · 63 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under46c267.3$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.452,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Over53c224.84$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12022953.7%123 W · 106 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Under46c204$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.1654747.5%260 W · 287 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under46c160$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.41,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under46c160$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.434451.5%177 W · 167 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8985…2e25backed Over48c150$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727643.4%33 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under47c140.1$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.7293849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x363a…b79ebacked Over54c135$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.94429.5%13 W · 31 L-8.6wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-40.2%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xc7f2…04bebacked Under53c115$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.053100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+67.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x699c…3600backed Over54c113$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.028052.5%42 W · 38 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb338…606ebacked Under46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545550.9%28 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under46c96$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8434053.8%183 W · 157 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under47c87$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1123153.2%123 W · 108 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under46c80$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.262349.6%309 W · 314 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Under46c80$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.27142.3%30 W · 41 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under46c80$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.271747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50fc…ba9abacked Over54c79$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.664652.2%24 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under53c75.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.471,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over51c74.3$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.032,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under46c72$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8887647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.473445.5%334 W · 400 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.231754.6%173 W · 144 L+16.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.434254.1%185 W · 157 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d10…fc1abacked Under48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.21546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e51…9531backed Under53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.636751.5%189 W · 178 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under47c56.59$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9939756.7%225 W · 172 L+21.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x43e6…bf99backed Under48c55$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Over56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3051651.2%264 W · 252 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x934a…9096backed Under46c51$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.542437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2466143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2733147.4%157 W · 174 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under46c48$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9231250.3%157 W · 155 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cb5…6a69backed Under46c48$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.923040%12 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under46c48$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9247948%230 W · 249 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd645…d9f0backed Under47c45$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.852548%12 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Under45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4426553.2%141 W · 124 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Under46c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.628852.8%152 W · 136 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under46c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.623348.9%114 W · 119 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under46c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.631551.1%161 W · 154 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under46c38$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5220456.4%115 W · 89 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x06d5…0417backed Under53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7434050.3%171 W · 169 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under46c36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4436651.4%188 W · 178 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under46c36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4415051.3%77 W · 73 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa032…9b15backed Under46c35$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.96157.4%35 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x41ae…bdfcbacked Under46c34$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.362948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5e2…0dcdbacked Under46c32.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.611729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5bc…a233backed Under46c32.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.516953.6%37 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x608b…6e88backed Under46c32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.283956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9fc…c985backed Under46c31$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.741656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6db2…9289backed Under49c30.16$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.382657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Under46c30.13$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2750648%243 W · 263 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under46c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.223753.6%127 W · 110 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under46c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.227350.9%139 W · 134 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under46c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.222048.6%107 W · 113 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under46c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.232649.7%162 W · 164 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under46c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.223850.8%121 W · 117 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under46c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.227251.1%139 W · 133 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under46c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.225250.8%128 W · 124 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under46c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.231852.2%166 W · 152 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under46c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.227353.8%147 W · 126 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under46c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.227150.2%136 W · 135 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Under46c29$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.663959%23 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x581b…f083backed Under45c28.58$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.724257.1%24 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Under47c27.43$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5430244%133 W · 169 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under46c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9624552.7%129 W · 116 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.