NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Thunder: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70f6082eb8a3a4cb9110401ee351f8eab17624a45d9d970529139499462bdbb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,085
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,348
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,085 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 46c | 3,485$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,882.13 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Over | 51c | 2,526$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.64 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 13c | 1,911$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.65 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 50c | 1,484$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.18 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Over | 15c | 1,074$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.85 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 51c | 1,022$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.57 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 19c | 783$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.4 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 14c | 444.65$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.15 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Over | 51c | 417.65$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 197 | 56.3%111 W · 86 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 370.46$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.29 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed Under | 47c | 303$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.59 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 45c | 236.32$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.14 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 14c | 231.96$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Over | 14c | 230.91$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 15c | 186$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7289…8d16backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 133 | 54.1%72 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c6…762abacked Under | 46c | 153.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 42c | 149.7$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.77 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78e5…de63backed Over | 51c | 137$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.87 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 30c | 128$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.29 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…606ebacked Under | 42c | 120$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 49c | 99.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.98 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 96.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.65 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 26c | 95.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0352…3292backed Over | 53c | 87$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.11 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 14c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 53c | 73.93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.18 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18b2…9141backed Under | 54c | 73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x206c…06b3backed Under | 47c | 71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ed…9a71backed Under | 47c | 66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c6…9211backed Under | 59c | 62.2$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 58.75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6995…c072backed Under | 43c | 53.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 47c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa75d…1d45backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 223 | 47.1%105 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11e7…6d5cbacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 58c | 34.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed Under | 44c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 182 | 46.7%85 W · 97 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97b8…0f5dbacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 57c | 20.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5d…b99abacked Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b51…7292backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | +12.3wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Thunder: O/U 232.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Hornets won
- Hornets vs. ThunderHornets won
- Hornets vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Hornets vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Thunder: O/U 233.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Thunder: O/U 234.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Thunder: O/U 235.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Thunder: O/U 236.5Under won
- Spread: Thunder (-13.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.