NBA · resolved market
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5cdb9fbde207d0431af3396cec212b693348d17490d288d156db44c3d2982fae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Celtics, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $515,225
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $537,894
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $515,225 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Kings | 52c | 200,000$104,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103,999.95 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Celtics | 49c | 161,168$78,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82,198.88 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Kings | 49c | 101,068$49,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,028.1 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Celtics | 48c | 98,506$47,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,223.2 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Kings | 49c | 42,509$20,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,829.54 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Kings | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83b6…9dbdbacked Celtics | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Celtics | 52c | 14,513$7,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,011.56 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Kings | 50c | 13,042$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Celtics | 49c | 12,391$6,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,380.46 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Celtics | 52c | 11,538$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,538.46 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe36b…26f4backed Celtics | 51c | 10,980$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,380.39 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.38per pick | 52cpaid | -72%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Kings | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a43…565fbacked Celtics | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Celtics | 51c | 9,751$4,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,778 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Celtics | 50c | 8,886$4,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,440.5 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Kings | 50c | 8,000$3,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,995.12 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Celtics | 50c | 5,314$2,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,647.94 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Celtics | 51c | 5,294$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,594.12 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Celtics | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Celtics | 50c | 4,982$2,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,510.82 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x899a…2a22backed Kings | 50c | 4,463$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Celtics | 50c | 3,985$1,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,994.75 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Kings | 52c | 3,480$1,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,815.04 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Celtics | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Kings | 43c | 3,033$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.19 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Kings | 51c | 2,951$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Celtics | 51c | 2,920$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.61 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Celtics | 52c | 2,835$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.46 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Celtics | 48c | 2,808$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.7 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Kings | 48c | 2,352$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.96 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Celtics | 50c | 2,288$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.17 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Celtics | 51c | 2,180$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.39 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Celtics | 51c | 2,149$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.26 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Kings | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Celtics | 51c | 1,949$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.01 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Celtics | 49c | 1,807$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.69 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Celtics | 18c | 1,756$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.9 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x486f…b325backed Celtics | 52c | 1,512$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.58 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kings | 37c | 1,460$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.8 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Celtics | 51c | 1,392$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.16 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Celtics | 52c | 1,289$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.86 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Celtics | 52c | 1,155$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.4 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Celtics | 49c | 1,087$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.45 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed Kings | 48c | 1,050$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 348 | 55.2%192 W · 156 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe667…898fbacked Kings | 1c | 1,032$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Celtics | 57c | 970.01$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.32 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcad4…c108backed Celtics | 49c | 965.54$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.43 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Celtics | 52c | 862.57$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.85 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Kings | 40c | 851.72$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.27 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Kings | 50c | 702.72$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.88 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Kings | 47c | 668.63$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.22 | 146 | 34.9%51 W · 95 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Celtics | 52c | 640$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.2 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Celtics | 48c | 633.67$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.51 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Celtics | 51c | 589$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.61 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Kings | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…3438backed Kings | 51c | 499.9$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.95 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Celtics | 49c | 499.9$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.95 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1d…6567backed Celtics | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Celtics | 50c | 472.19$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.57 | 260 | 43.8%114 W · 146 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Kings | 49c | 417$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.33 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Kings | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce3e…2f24backed Kings | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 250 | 56.8%142 W · 108 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Celtics | 51c | 313.73$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.73 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Kings | 7c | 300.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3277…be5fbacked Kings | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Celtics | 49c | 298.25$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.44 | 216 | 45.8%99 W · 117 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a7…a2f0backed Kings | 38c | 276.32$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Kings | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Kings | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Celtics | 51c | 247.82$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.63 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aab…8d40backed Celtics | 49c | 241.19$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.02 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x137e…20d7backed Celtics | 49c | 234.57$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.54 | 150 | 40%60 W · 90 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Celtics | 50c | 234.05$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.37 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Kings | 40c | 217.68$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.13 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Kings | 49c | 209.47$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.64 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…8d92backed Kings | 27c | 209.15$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Celtics | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7280…fbd1backed Kings | 9c | 208.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…3248backed Kings | 50c | 201.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…c871backed Kings | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Kings | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Kings | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Kings | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 178 | 45.5%81 W · 97 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Celtics | 48c | 196.4$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.13 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Celtics | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa87f…68d1backed Celtics | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Celtics | 52c | 175.21$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.57 | 219 | 48.9%107 W · 112 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Kings | 51c | 168.63$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 213 | 52.1%111 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Celtics | 51c | 159$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.07 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Celtics | 50c | 156.49$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.85 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a24…545dbacked Kings | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed1b…4045backed Celtics | 50c | 149.85$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.31 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked Celtics | 52c | 141.31$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.85 | 139 | 45.3%63 W · 76 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd84…9f62backed Celtics | 50c | 138.06$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.48 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c54…da2cbacked Celtics | 52c | 136.9$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.71 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Celtics | 72c | 128.81$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Celtics | 51c | 123.17$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.17 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Celtics | 52c | 116.01$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc82a…cc74backed Celtics | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Celtics (-11.5)this page
- DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Domantas Sabonis: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Domantas Sabonis: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Kings vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Kings vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Kings vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Kings vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5Under won
- Kings vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5Under won
- Kings vs. Celtics: O/U 218.5Under won
- Kings vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5Under won
- Kings vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5Under won
- Kings vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5Under won
- Kings vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5Under won
- Russell Westbrook: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Russell Westbrook: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Celtics (-10.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-12.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-9.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.