TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Celtics (-12.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Celticsof Celtics, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,881
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,795

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,881 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfce1…9ce7backed Celtics48c8,294$3,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,312.7735450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Kings53c7,401$3,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,922.3127747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kings53c6,252$3,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,305.399,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Kings52c6,000$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1201,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6442…aa08backed Celtics47c5,304$2,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,811.26825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-47.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Celtics47c4,186$1,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,218.7815141.1%62 W · 89 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Celtics56c3,726$2,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,631.198,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Kings52c3,075$1,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5991,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Celtics48c2,836$1,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,474.6177348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Kings52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04090957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf1d…6567backed Celtics47c1,277$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Celtics47c1,022$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.2518343.7%80 W · 103 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xef04…9ef0backed Kings28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Celtics49c965$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.152,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Celtics45c810$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.0592753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a8c…0294backed Celtics45c786$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Kings53c754.72$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad40…a697backed Kings54c742.43$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.434454.5%24 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Kings39c598.23$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.714634.9%51 W · 95 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Kings53c532.87$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.183,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Celtics47c343.75$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.194,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Kings55c337.32$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.841,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3277…c442backed Kings55c305$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Celtics46c303.76$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.943,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1f25…16e7backed Kings55c245$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x893d…b174backed Kings55c236$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Celtics44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2715649.4%77 W · 79 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Celtics44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2763447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Celtics47c199.99$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10689050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Kings54c190$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.682440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Kings53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063142%265 W · 366 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Kings55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023553.6%126 W · 109 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d89…e466backed Kings54c164$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.566241.9%26 W · 36 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-22.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Celtics57c152.2$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.43,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Kings54c119.31$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Celtics46c110$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.443244%190 W · 242 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Kings56c107.14$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6036453%193 W · 171 L-17.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Celtics44c107.14$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Kings53c103.77$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Kings52c99.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5251651%263 W · 253 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Celtics47c97.79$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.239736.3%144 W · 253 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x974e…c090backed Kings52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501978.9%15 W · 4 L+4.6wins+0.24per pick55cpaid+43.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x46df…b057backed Kings53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5021164.5%136 W · 75 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Kings53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503834.2%13 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Kings53c91.27$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.371,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabf6…129dbacked Kings52c79.81$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.519951.8%103 W · 96 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Celtics47c75.43$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.981,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Celtics46c68.04$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.034,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe63b…b7c9backed Celtics50c62.43$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.42360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+30%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3da1…c13bbacked Celtics47c53.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6142146.1%194 W · 227 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Kings53c51.43$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2615849.4%78 W · 80 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x635b…195dbacked Celtics49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.538252.4%200 W · 182 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Kings35c45.77$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.023,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc244…c06fbacked Kings55c45.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3bc5…7ac4backed Celtics45c44.13$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.137452.7%39 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Celtics44c44$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.646,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e5d…5bc8backed Kings56c44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.647545.3%34 W · 41 L-9.2wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-22.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x42e2…3d27backed Kings57c43.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251540%6 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c55…7071backed Kings52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201560%9 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1bd…9895backed Kings52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb762…3d4abacked Kings52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+33.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc711…d8e6backed Kings52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202055%11 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2669…5824backed Kings52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+35%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b79…a150backed Kings52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+33.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb52…f6e4backed Kings52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-30.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x66ff…c93fbacked Kings53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6eb4…5c6bbacked Kings57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Celtics47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.939041%160 W · 230 L-32.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Celtics50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0635049.4%173 W · 177 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ed4…620ebacked Celtics50c28.95$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4831155%171 W · 140 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9579…3738backed Kings52c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6235…9297backed Kings52c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-46.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0463…6976backed Kings52c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151553.3%8 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x117d…6542backed Kings53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1556454.3%306 W · 258 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc27f…59adbacked Kings52c26.92$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00cb…6b5dbacked Kings57c26.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-38%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd535…978abacked Kings52c23.08$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Celtics53c22.13$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.43,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7280…fbd1backed Celtics46c21.74$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.746240.3%25 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Kings53c20.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1149358.6%289 W · 204 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67bc…4d94backed Kings53c20.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1121051.4%108 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Celtics50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1045651.1%233 W · 223 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Kings52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.447045.1%212 W · 258 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5f1…790bbacked Kings54c18.52$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101618.8%3 W · 13 L-4.2wins-0.26per pick45cpaid-60.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.