TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$303,515
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$303,085

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $303,515 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Under57c125,318$71,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,890.0640446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Over43c103,513$44,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,510.5354539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over43c13,826$5,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,972.539,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0940…3640backed Over43c9,565$4,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,1138748.3%42 W · 45 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x052e…e1e0backed Over50c5,860$2,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,93020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33de…7b8bbacked Under50c4,856$2,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,428250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6de4…06d7backed Under50c4,676$2,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44dd…33ddbacked Under50c4,633$2,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,316.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eaf…559bbacked Under50c4,521$2,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,260.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd2e…ccd8backed Under50c4,521$2,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,260.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+47.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5547…e59cbacked Over50c4,432$2,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,21620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37af…af16backed Under50c4,428$2,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2141100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76af…7a4abacked Over50c4,421$2,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,210.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x253f…d912backed Under50c4,416$2,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d02…4230backed Over50c4,406$2,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c36…7e33backed Over50c4,328$2,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,16420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x039b…d08abacked Under50c4,287$2,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,143.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6326…15b3backed Under50c4,177$2,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,088.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b61…1d66backed Under50c4,100$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0502100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x63d6…5ea2backed Over50c4,077$2,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,038.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8ef…f4dabacked Over50c4,066$2,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,03320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfcb…e639backed Over50c4,053$2,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,026.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0bd…0fa7backed Over50c4,026$2,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,01320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x669c…6290backed Over50c3,928$1,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,96420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fed…b808backed Over50c3,816$1,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Over47c3,800$1,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,791.9935942.1%151 W · 208 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5f7…86f7backed Over50c3,742$1,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,87110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4af…f90ebacked Under50c3,701$1,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,850.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe679…77f5backed Under50c3,688$1,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,844250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0900…44eabacked Over50c3,687$1,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,843.520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x003e…9e6cbacked Under50c3,641$1,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,820.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca2d…b75cbacked Over50c3,622$1,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,811580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+55.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5119…68cebacked Over50c3,492$1,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,74620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a97…3797backed Under50c3,458$1,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdc4…ea7fbacked Over50c3,403$1,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,701.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8ad…1b97backed Over50c3,402$1,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x482b…bc6cbacked Over50c3,321$1,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,660.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8bc…6d04backed Under50c3,274$1,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,637250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4ef…8271backed Over50c3,201$1,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,600.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0d5…6000backed Over50c3,122$1,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc139…32c9backed Under50c3,013$1,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,506.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…270ebacked Over50c3,001$1,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.5450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd03a…a2d8backed Over50c2,893$1,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,446.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf50f…2a67backed Under50c2,860$1,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,430250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb69c…9769backed Under50c2,821$1,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,410.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca72…2881backed Under50c2,800$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,400250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfafa…5b33backed Over50c2,775$1,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,387.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f24…620cbacked Over50c2,748$1,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,374333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…2f4ebacked Over50c2,719$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,359.5450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62e7…c060backed Under50c2,706$1,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,353250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4d0…2df5backed Under50c2,700$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,350333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x663f…dedbbacked Over50c2,659$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,329.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5dfb…891dbacked Under50c2,650$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3252100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d5d…c37bbacked Over50c2,635$1,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,317.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8b3…a641backed Over50c2,602$1,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30130%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa40…57adbacked Under50c2,600$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,300366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b16…6c3ebacked Under50c2,600$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,300333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e5…59bebacked Under50c2,550$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,275333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe54f…9b42backed Over50c2,544$1,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,272333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c6…b8d8backed Over50c2,506$1,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,253333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ff9…ecdfbacked Under50c2,500$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,250333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a53…3934backed Under50c2,500$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2505100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8d98…579dbacked Under50c2,490$1,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,245450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95a5…50e6backed Over50c2,489$1,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,244.530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xefee…8954backed Over50c2,462$1,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,231560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0486…3fc9backed Over50c2,451$1,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225.530%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x911a…4709backed Over50c2,400$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-33%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xac7d…94c8backed Under50c2,400$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f33…2467backed Under50c2,400$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2002100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36cb…a786backed Under50c2,400$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+57.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ce9…ffdcbacked Over50c2,400$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47f8…55ffbacked Under50c2,400$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2002100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa222…ab42backed Under50c2,392$1,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,196250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb46c…8084backed Over50c2,388$1,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,194666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba5e…5c43backed Under50c2,350$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,175366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03d7…9d82backed Under50c2,350$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,175333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfd2…3a65backed Under50c2,350$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,175450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eda…7652backed Over50c2,322$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x543b…333bbacked Under50c2,315$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,157.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5416…51c5backed Over50c2,307$1,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,153.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x92ab…f3babacked Under50c2,305$1,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,152.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75fd…351cbacked Under50c2,261$1,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,130.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe428…d8acbacked Under50c2,261$1,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,130.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cd4…d002backed Under50c2,250$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,125333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x982d…5ef7backed Under50c2,237$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,118.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x702a…4b01backed Under50c2,200$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46fd…ae46backed Under50c2,200$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aaf…e5f9backed Under50c2,200$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x538e…d080backed Under50c2,156$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8af1…b272backed Under50c2,156$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0782100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…ba7cbacked Under50c2,150$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb326…a921backed Under50c2,150$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08bd…c18abacked Under50c2,150$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8d2…5761backed Over50c2,141$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d12…1e98backed Over50c2,138$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06930%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcade…c708backed Over50c2,125$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,062.530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…9be6backed Over50c2,112$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ecd…7a87backed Over50c2,107$1,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,053.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1fc…1754backed Under50c2,100$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b92…9df8backed Under50c2,100$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.