NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a72dff6bd13f0b26b932209cacba988476c3b70eada4530b728dd0d6cf0700d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,225
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,844
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,225 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Over | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.9 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb42…48ccbacked Under | 65c | 1,381$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.54 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Over | 55c | 1,165$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.96 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 35c | 1,122$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.73 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 55c | 1,000$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.78 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 68c | 853.51$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.22 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 813.14$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.86 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Under | 64c | 795.72$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.72 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Over | 48c | 775$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Under | 62c | 709.68$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.68 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 53c | 645.97$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.16 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed Under | 53c | 622.19$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.43 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Under | 55c | 609.26$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.17 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb405…c706backed Over | 36c | 595$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.2 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Over | 55c | 555$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.25 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Under | 62c | 520.96$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.96 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 477.18$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.9 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 38c | 313.51$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.51 | 146 | 34.9%51 W · 95 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 57c | 295.6$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.11 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Over | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3397…f5abbacked Under | 61c | 246.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.38 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 57c | 232.55$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 46c | 231.04$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.61 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 65c | 220.38$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.38 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 53c | 199.96$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.98 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Under | 59c | 159.26$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.04 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 39c | 143.24$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.72 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x955d…1ec5backed Under | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 57c | 139.1$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.81 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 46c | 116.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Over | 51c | 93$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.43 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 88.17$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.97 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 30c | 86.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x974e…c090backed Under | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +4.6wins | +0.24per pick | 55cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 35c | 78.88$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2352…4c5abacked Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 57c | 73.68$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e6…5a30backed Under | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 36c | 57.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Under | 70c | 48.57$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…55c5backed Under | 57c | 46.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5d…5bc8backed Under | 56c | 44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe0…027abacked Under | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd097…40eabacked Under | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Over | 51c | 39.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 289 | 43.3%125 W · 164 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Over | 37c | 37.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…d9cfbacked Under | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…d8e6backed Under | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x911a…dbd3backed Under | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…c195backed Under | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c4…1a9cbacked Under | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…a150backed Under | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb4…567bbacked Under | 62c | 32.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…95e7backed Under | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbe…6030backed Under | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df3…ff6cbacked Under | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ce…5ce8backed Under | 64c | 31.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…c727backed Under | 56c | 29.27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f8…7581backed Under | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.0wins | +0.31per pick | 54cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 47c | 26.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Under | 61c | 25.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…24d2backed Under | 53c | 24.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…59adbacked Under | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…d3bebacked Under | 56c | 22.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Under | 62c | 20.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7797…78d3backed Under | 62c | 19.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a39…bf2abacked Under | 65c | 16.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 27 | 81.5%22 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 65cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5this page
- DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Domantas Sabonis: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Domantas Sabonis: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Kings vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Kings vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Kings vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Kings vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5Under won
- Kings vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5Under won
- Kings vs. Celtics: O/U 218.5Under won
- Kings vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5Under won
- Kings vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5Under won
- Kings vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5Under won
- Russell Westbrook: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Russell Westbrook: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Celtics (-10.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-11.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-12.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-9.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.