TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,524
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,951

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,524 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa6a8…5009backed Under47c8,260$3,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,397.613,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over53c7,137$3,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,766.041,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under46c4,151$1,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,223.178,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over54c3,663$1,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,961.912,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1fc…1754backed Over48c2,833$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,359.84560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…9be6backed Under52c2,622$1,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,258.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcade…c708backed Over48c2,612$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,253.7630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2183…8a3cbacked Under52c2,536$1,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8af1…b272backed Under52c2,421$1,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,162.082100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95a5…50e6backed Over48c2,418$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,160.6430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b75…67dcbacked Over48c2,321$1,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,114.0820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc326…119dbacked Under52c2,247$1,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe353…d910backed Over48c2,155$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.4425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under53c2,083$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978.971,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5aaf…e5f9backed Over48c2,025$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe428…d8acbacked Under52c2,018$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8b3…a641backed Over48c2,012$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.7630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa40…57adbacked Under52c2,011$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5dfb…891dbacked Under52c2,011$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.282100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd03a…a2d8backed Under52c2,001$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfafa…5b33backed Under52c1,987$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x702a…4b01backed Over48c1,921$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a53…3934backed Under52c1,921$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.085100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x044f…8653backed Under52c1,899$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5d…c37bbacked Over48c1,877$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.9620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ff9…ecdfbacked Over48c1,851$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe54f…9b42backed Under52c1,823$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eda…7652backed Under52c1,785$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.8450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x538e…d080backed Under52c1,777$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6afb…4a59backed Under52c1,766$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08bd…c18abacked Over48c1,699$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f24…620cbacked Under52c1,684$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfd2…3a65backed Over48c1,622$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.56450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75fd…351cbacked Under52c1,521$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb326…a921backed Over48c1,456$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908b…7040backed Under52c1,421$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.08560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ff…85f4backed Over48c1,411$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cd4…d002backed Over48c1,386$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa64…b7cabacked Over48c1,364$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.7230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b92…9df8backed Over48c1,354$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92ab…f3babacked Under52c1,321$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.082100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0c6…b8d8backed Under52c1,235$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89f3…a218backed Under52c1,201$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d12…1e98backed Over48c1,189$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.7230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x46fd…ae46backed Over48c1,177$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over50c1,172$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.293,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29dc…281fbacked Over48c1,135$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.8450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03d7…9d82backed Over48c1,121$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f1a…bc3cbacked Over48c1,121$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.0830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Over45c1,110$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.522143%95 W · 126 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ecd…7a87backed Under52c1,077$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x543b…333bbacked Under52c1,055$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b16…6c3ebacked Over48c1,055$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under53c1,047$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.599,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d98…579dbacked Over48c961$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.28450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac7d…94c8backed Under52c952$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over51c946$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.462,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0486…3fc9backed Over48c927$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.9630%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…ba7cbacked Over48c925$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5416…51c5backed Over48c877$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.9620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over47c777$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.191,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefee…8954backed Under52c622$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.56560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a74…de59backed Over58c555$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.911048.2%53 W · 57 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3e5…59bebacked Over48c471$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…2f4ebacked Under52c466$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.68450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe01e…38aebacked Under52c444$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca72…2881backed Over48c411$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4d0…2df5backed Over48c411$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8d2…5761backed Over48c411$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.2830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb46c…8084backed Under52c364$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.72666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf732…1c73backed Under56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.143100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Over47c335$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.4519647.4%93 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x663f…dedbbacked Under52c321$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over44c320.89$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.323,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Under57c313.11$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.3514634.9%51 W · 95 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Under59c293$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.3324549%120 W · 125 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over43c232.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over54c227.45$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.161,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x939a…2f45backed Under55c227.27$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.273455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70d1…3a20backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb60…fb30backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8d…55c5backed Over59c180.41$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.661250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over47c178.23$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.772,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under60c165$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Over48c139.2$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.8243244%190 W · 242 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c6c…ce09backed Over73c136.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012865.6%84 W · 44 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over48c131.5$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.124,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over48c129.94$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.722,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over52c113.99$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2254549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over55c108.24$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.853,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Over62c99.89$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.8131144.4%138 W · 173 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over46c99.22$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.994,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba68…39d7backed Under48c93.12$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0916354%88 W · 75 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b60…9c7ebacked Over42c87$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5422643.8%99 W · 127 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under44c81.92$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.235,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7081…2d9cbacked Under50c81.46$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9810857.4%62 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfb0…466fbacked Over55c80.9$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.746230.6%19 W · 43 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-40.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xad6b…1fdebacked Over53c70.26$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.062138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed Over59c65.11$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1612747.2%60 W · 67 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed Over67c65$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.394755.3%26 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.