NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Celtics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b5af4a5a0ccabd73488b24bf185366a4991503a9ef823341d45bcf784291d01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Kings, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,532,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,329,082
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,532,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 457 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Kings | 19c | 492,122$94,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94,881.87 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Kings | 18c | 368,897$68,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,139.37 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Kings | 18c | 368,399$67,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,684.31 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6211…b89ebacked Kings | 19c | 263,167$50,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,001.81 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Kings | 18c | 126,008$22,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,676.33 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab44…d88ebacked Kings | 9c | 118,503$10,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,417.9 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Kings | 18c | 94,930$17,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,087.36 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Kings | 20c | 75,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Kings | 18c | 63,176$11,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,212.84 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Kings | 19c | 59,936$11,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,622.58 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Kings | 18c | 50,000$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Kings | 4c | 37,260$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.48 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Kings | 18c | 33,000$5,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,940 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Kings | 0c | 31,746$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65e3…76bdbacked Kings | 18c | 30,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Kings | 18c | 29,078$5,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,166.44 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Kings | 18c | 27,800$5,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,004 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Kings | 19c | 26,111$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Kings | 20c | 25,579$5,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,005.1 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Kings | 19c | 20,247$3,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,766.04 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Kings | 20c | 20,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ab…0fe6backed Kings | 18c | 20,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…53a9backed Kings | 18c | 15,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed Kings | 18c | 13,000$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 129 | 38.8%50 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Kings | 1c | 11,598$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Kings | 18c | 10,538$1,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,896.9 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kings | 2c | 10,129$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.04 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Kings | 18c | 10,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Kings | 19c | 9,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Kings | 0c | 8,983$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Kings | 19c | 8,263$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Kings | 19c | 8,100$1,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Kings | 13c | 7,382$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.97 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x899a…2a22backed Kings | 18c | 6,944$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44d4…1970backed Kings | 18c | 6,667$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Kings | 2c | 6,414$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.19 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Kings | 18c | 6,270$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c0…427bbacked Kings | 20c | 6,066$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.63 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Kings | 19c | 6,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 352 | 51.1%180 W · 172 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Kings | 18c | 6,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Kings | 18c | 5,965$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.47 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Kings | 18c | 5,594$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007 | 337 | 35.3%119 W · 218 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kings | 9c | 5,588$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.51 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Kings | 19c | 5,263$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…3d34backed Kings | 19c | 5,250$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.5 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…90c0backed Kings | 19c | 5,103$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.49 | 284 | 39.8%113 W · 171 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Kings | 19c | 5,100$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.49 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6d…4ad5backed Kings | 19c | 5,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8f…a7bbbacked Kings | 18c | 4,935$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.23 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Kings | 19c | 4,746$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.92 | 206 | 51%105 W · 101 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Kings | 20c | 4,399$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895 | 613 | 36.1%221 W · 392 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Kings | 19c | 4,211$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Kings | 11c | 4,025$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.74 | 98 | 28.6%28 W · 70 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Kings | 18c | 4,000$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.8 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Kings | 18c | 4,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c9…0f2bbacked Kings | 19c | 3,776$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.44 | 135 | 43.7%59 W · 76 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e04…0fa9backed Kings | 18c | 3,632$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.73 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Kings | 18c | 3,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…3fb0backed Kings | 19c | 3,500$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Celtics | 80c | 3,400$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked Kings | 13c | 3,222$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Kings | 18c | 3,056$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x653d…b3a7backed Kings | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Kings | 1c | 3,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 420 | 0.7%3 W · 417 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaa…c090backed Kings | 19c | 3,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48c8…72a4backed Kings | 19c | 2,640$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.4 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed Kings | 19c | 2,633$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.2 | 123 | 24.4%30 W · 93 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Kings | 19c | 2,632$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.08 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f85…bd8cbacked Kings | 18c | 2,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 129 | 57.4%74 W · 55 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Kings | 19c | 2,500$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccb4…bb54backed Kings | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…0c0cbacked Kings | 2c | 2,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 306 | 19.9%61 W · 245 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Kings | 19c | 2,493$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.77 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03a9…37babacked Kings | 19c | 2,470$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.3 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Kings | 11c | 2,446$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.48 | 146 | 34.9%51 W · 95 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Kings | 19c | 2,442$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.4 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb8…af40backed Kings | 19c | 2,400$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Kings | 18c | 2,300$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed Kings | 18c | 2,214$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.24 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ea…4ce1backed Kings | 18c | 2,200$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Kings | 18c | 2,178$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.13 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2745…a5fbbacked Kings | 19c | 2,144$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.79 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Kings | 19c | 2,105$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fd…9499backed Kings | 18c | 2,094$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab3…12b2backed Kings | 20c | 2,079$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.84 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Kings | 14c | 2,023$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.31 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…075ebacked Kings | 3c | 2,008$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.47 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Kings | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 315 | 38.1%120 W · 195 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Kings | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.97 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kings | 11c | 1,994$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.33 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…d6c9backed Kings | 17c | 1,891$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Celtics | 80c | 1,886$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.25 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb31d…0586backed Kings | 19c | 1,815$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.83 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd482…b402backed Kings | 1c | 1,806$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…09bfbacked Kings | 19c | 1,800$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Kings | 19c | 1,650$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.33 | 731 | 31.1%227 W · 504 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…9d85backed Kings | 19c | 1,624$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.48 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb858…7dc3backed Kings | 19c | 1,500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Kings | 14c | 1,465$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 161 | 30.4%49 W · 112 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Kings | 1c | 1,460$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Celticsthis page
- DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Domantas Sabonis: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Domantas Sabonis: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Kings vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Kings vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Kings vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5Under won
- Kings vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5Under won
- Kings vs. Celtics: O/U 218.5Under won
- Kings vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5Under won
- Kings vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5Under won
- Kings vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5Under won
- Kings vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5Under won
- Russell Westbrook: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Russell Westbrook: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Celtics (-10.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-11.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-12.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-9.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.