NHL · resolved market
Red Wings vs. Senators
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f11e60b29541800f406e47a64667f74fee153bc743db362f82eb3fbc771d434
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Wingsof Red Wings, Senators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $753,167
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $801,964
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $753,167 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 445 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Senators | 59c | 250,000$147,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147,499.98 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Red Wings | 41c | 242,669$99,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143,247.23 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Red Wings | 41c | 119,293$49,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,012.09 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Senators | 59c | 103,492$60,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,699.25 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Senators | 59c | 50,000$29,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,499.87 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb78…5206backed Red Wings | 46c | 32,871$15,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,867.17 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 42cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Red Wings | 41c | 28,433$11,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,775.32 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Senators | 58c | 25,862$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Red Wings | 42c | 13,023$5,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,535.05 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Red Wings | 42c | 12,843$5,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,433.44 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebbb…4214backed Red Wings | 51c | 11,927$6,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,828.19 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Red Wings | 41c | 10,647$4,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,267.04 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Senators | 36c | 7,216$2,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,621.99 | 215 | 55.3%119 W · 96 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Senators | 58c | 7,011$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,099.63 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Senators | 59c | 7,000$4,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,154.95 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Senators | 77c | 6,080$4,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,681.85 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Red Wings | 41c | 6,000$2,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,540 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Senators | 56c | 5,970$3,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,359.49 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Senators | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Senators | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.99 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Red Wings | 41c | 4,594$1,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,710.46 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Senators | 58c | 4,500$2,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,630 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Senators | 58c | 4,500$2,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,609.98 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Red Wings | 41c | 4,435$1,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,616.7 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Red Wings | 41c | 4,290$1,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,531.06 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Senators | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Red Wings | 48c | 3,983$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,085.4 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Senators | 53c | 3,716$1,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,951.22 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Senators | 56c | 3,600$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,015.96 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Red Wings | 23c | 3,433$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,642.66 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked Senators | 59c | 3,390$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Red Wings | 26c | 3,292$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,436.31 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Senators | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Senators | 54c | 2,864$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,544.84 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb91e…b045backed Senators | 2c | 2,700$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Senators | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Senators | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Red Wings | 42c | 2,459$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.99 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Senators | 77c | 2,402$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,847.74 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Senators | 57c | 2,313$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.35 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Senators | 57c | 2,139$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.24 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Red Wings | 43c | 2,106$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.42 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Senators | 78c | 2,085$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625.19 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe1…ea1abacked Red Wings | 41c | 2,076$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.81 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Senators | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Senators | 58c | 1,900$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Senators | 55c | 1,709$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Red Wings | 42c | 1,668$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.36 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Red Wings | 41c | 1,659$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.54 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Senators | 58c | 1,604$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.77 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Red Wings | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Red Wings | 40c | 1,488$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.5 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Red Wings | 43c | 1,274$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.35 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Senators | 60c | 1,257$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Red Wings | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.8 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Senators | 78c | 1,208$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.84 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Senators | 74c | 1,159$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.67 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Red Wings | 42c | 1,150$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1193…bbc7backed Red Wings | 45c | 1,149$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.89 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b7…5f1abacked Senators | 58c | 1,100$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Red Wings | 29c | 1,086$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.49 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Senators | 2c | 1,079$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 331 | 54.1%179 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df3…53d7backed Senators | 39c | 1,002$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.18 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa105…da58backed Red Wings | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.32per pick | 46cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Red Wings | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd344…6862backed Red Wings | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…ccfdbacked Red Wings | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Senators | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Senators | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Red Wings | 41c | 999.96$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.98 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Red Wings | 32c | 938.47$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.13 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Red Wings | 43c | 930$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.1 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f0…cbb1backed Red Wings | 41c | 924.39$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.39 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Red Wings | 42c | 902.24$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.28 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf70…14f9backed Red Wings | 42c | 900$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ca…5d8dbacked Senators | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Senators | 60c | 871.16$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Senators | 48c | 863.47$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.01 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b9…41a9backed Red Wings | 44c | 861$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.08 | 231 | 59.3%137 W · 94 L | +22.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Senators | 60c | 837.96$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73b…3128backed Senators | 59c | 819$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.21 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Red Wings | 44c | 817.18$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.62 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Senators | 56c | 809.72$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.54 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Red Wings | 41c | 800$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Senators | 59c | 780.89$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.17 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Red Wings | 40c | 774$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.4 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39e6…d92fbacked Senators | 59c | 770$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Senators | 57c | 767.9$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.44 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Senators | 56c | 762.95$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.25 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Senators | 58c | 757.36$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.27 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Senators | 59c | 752.54$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Red Wings | 43c | 727.22$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.72 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Red Wings | 42c | 700$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Senators | 57c | 700$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.42 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Red Wings | 40c | 682$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.47 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed Red Wings | 43c | 669$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.5 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Senators | 58c | 658.44$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.46 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Senators | 69c | 624.09$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.62 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…0453backed Senators | 59c | 619$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.21 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Senators | 56c | 602.85$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.55 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Wings vs. Senatorsthis page
- Red Wings vs. Senators: O/U 4.5Under won
- Red Wings vs. Senators: O/U 5.5Under won
- Red Wings vs. Senators: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)Red Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.