NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. 76ers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75d975fbacfaed8da75f5f99ba7329dc0655ed929ed440a58e961a9318079cb9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 76ersof Heat, 76ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,559,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,807,790
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,559,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,397 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Heat | 45c | 394,235$177,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177,448.74 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Heat | 46c | 362,330$166,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166,671.62 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Heat | 44c | 258,381$114,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114,450.17 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed 76ers | 54c | 150,000$81,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,000 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed 76ers | 55c | 150,000$81,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,202.43 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked 76ers | 54c | 100,000$54,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,000 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked 76ers | 55c | 75,000$41,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,750 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked 76ers | 57c | 72,142$41,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,974.49 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked 76ers | 57c | 69,128$39,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,732 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed 76ers | 56c | 59,874$33,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,050.4 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed 76ers | 54c | 54,175$29,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,920.55 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked 76ers | 57c | 52,362$29,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,573.95 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed 76ers | 57c | 50,457$28,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,824.43 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…11a0backed 76ers | 59c | 40,305$23,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,436.67 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed 76ers | 55c | 40,000$22,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,000 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed 76ers | 56c | 39,834$22,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,526.83 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Heat | 37c | 37,852$13,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,886.63 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Heat | 43c | 37,554$16,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,223.98 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed 76ers | 70c | 37,468$26,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,353.12 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked 76ers | 55c | 34,999$19,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,749.77 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Heat | 44c | 32,000$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,999.97 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked 76ers | 73c | 31,986$23,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,747 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked 76ers | 55c | 29,998$16,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,499.29 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Heat | 40c | 29,334$11,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,753.77 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Heat | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x646e…3b1dbacked Heat | 41c | 25,000$10,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,249.95 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -9.4wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed 76ers | 54c | 24,000$13,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,960 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Heat | 42c | 22,500$9,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,450 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed 76ers | 55c | 22,000$12,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,900 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked 76ers | 55c | 21,988$11,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,998.26 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed 76ers | 55c | 20,450$11,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,202.5 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc8…0fa2backed 76ers | 59c | 20,000$11,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,200 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b9…6d18backed Heat | 41c | 20,000$8,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,200 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Heat | 31c | 19,916$6,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,103.5 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e9…4044backed 76ers | 57c | 16,148$9,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,943.45 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Heat | 45c | 15,000$6,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,750 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c4…a4f2backed 76ers | 54c | 15,000$8,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,899.91 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…74e9backed 76ers | 56c | 14,280$7,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,283.09 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Heat | 20c | 14,200$2,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,789.98 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ea…bb01backed Heat | 46c | 14,000$6,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,440 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed 76ers | 55c | 13,808$7,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,158.25 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Heat | 43c | 13,803$5,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,888.8 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed 76ers | 65c | 13,441$8,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,688.22 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Heat | 38c | 13,420$5,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,068.06 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed 76ers | 57c | 13,397$7,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,767.16 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fc…099dbacked 76ers | 55c | 13,358$7,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,011.08 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Heat | 42c | 13,098$5,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,506.76 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb5…3fbfbacked 76ers | 59c | 13,000$7,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,390 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Heat | 43c | 13,000$5,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,529.97 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdab4…a27abacked 76ers | 59c | 12,000$7,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,960 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Heat | 40c | 11,690$4,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,675.97 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4180…cf9cbacked Heat | 42c | 11,648$4,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,892 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked 76ers | 68c | 11,527$7,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,701.51 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183d…1270backed 76ers | 59c | 10,847$6,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,487.25 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed 76ers | 55c | 10,837$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,837.17 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed 76ers | 58c | 10,750$6,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,471.62 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed 76ers | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked 76ers | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked 76ers | 56c | 10,000$5,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,447 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Heat | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.94 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked 76ers | 56c | 9,832$5,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,374.69 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f04…73d5backed 76ers | 56c | 9,700$5,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,267.99 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0441…b3aabacked Heat | 44c | 9,700$4,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,267.96 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x221d…e800backed 76ers | 55c | 9,474$5,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,263.16 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed 76ers | 54c | 9,214$4,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,232.08 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed 76ers | 65c | 8,573$5,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,005.59 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed 76ers | 55c | 8,287$4,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,729.27 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed 76ers | 55c | 8,006$4,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,573.94 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed 76ers | 58c | 7,760$4,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,259.18 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…b04bbacked 76ers | 59c | 7,627$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,127.12 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed 76ers | 59c | 7,627$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,127.12 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed 76ers | 64c | 7,623$4,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,766.77 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Heat | 40c | 7,517$3,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,006.79 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Heat | 43c | 7,490$3,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,201.17 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Heat | 41c | 7,479$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19be…2541backed 76ers | 56c | 7,400$4,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,256 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe021…e299backed Heat | 44c | 7,400$3,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,255.95 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Heat | 31c | 7,186$2,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,245.28 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Heat | 44c | 7,095$3,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,157.2 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked 76ers | 56c | 7,050$3,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,102 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22e8…bd44backed 76ers | 56c | 7,000$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,080 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Heat | 45c | 6,667$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7eeebacked Heat | 42c | 6,502$2,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,731 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked 76ers | 71c | 6,105$4,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.9 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed 76ers | 70c | 6,041$4,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,831.62 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…0caabacked Heat | 44c | 6,000$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Heat | 42c | 6,000$2,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,539.99 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fc…050cbacked 76ers | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,639.97 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed Heat | 42c | 5,938$2,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,521 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 42cpaid | +125.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6319…4fd7backed 76ers | 60c | 5,908$3,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,388.91 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38c…1128backed 76ers | 63c | 5,881$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,180.94 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked 76ers | 68c | 5,844$3,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850.47 | 295 | 47.5%140 W · 155 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Heat | 43c | 5,792$2,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,513.42 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Heat | 42c | 5,774$2,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,407.85 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked 76ers | 57c | 5,748$3,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,466.79 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…26a0backed Heat | 42c | 5,500$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Heat | 8c | 5,166$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.16 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Heat | 42c | 5,085$2,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,111.39 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Heat | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Heat | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heat vs. 76ersthis page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-0.5)76ers won
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-1.5)76ers won
- Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Heat vs. 76ers: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- Heat vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 123.5Over won
- Heat vs. 76ers: O/U 237.5Over won
- Heat vs. 76ers: O/U 238.5Over won
- Heat vs. 76ers: O/U 240.5Over won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Joel Embiid: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Norman Powell: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Norman Powell: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Quentin Grimes: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Spread: 76ers (-1.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-3.5)76ers won
- Tyler Herro: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.