TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Norman Powell: Points O/U 20.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,122
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,100

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,122 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5b45…9723backed No70c4,000$2,798 inWon+$1,201.9926069.2%180 W · 80 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9970…1651backed Yes30c2,539$750 inLost-$75060%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No65c1,964$1,278 inWon+$686.084,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d3d…a3e8backed Yes31c1,514$471 inLost-$471.492352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+20.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9719…6ffabacked No70c1,241$869 inWon+$372.446669.7%46 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked No47c763.97$360 inWon+$404.331,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x043f…ca25backed No70c599.99$420 inWon+$1806361.9%39 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xef66…f839backed Yes30c557.6$165 inLost-$1651233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf226…9c0fbacked Yes28c412.21$117 inLost-$117.115836.2%21 W · 37 L-6.4wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked Yes29c362.63$106 inLost-$105.73528.6%10 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-35.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x51bc…f2fabacked Yes29c359.57$105 inLost-$1052321.7%5 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-40%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x40b3…9ef3backed Yes29c352.9$101 inLost-$100.584742.6%20 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcaac…008fbacked Yes29c341.72$99 inLost-$991513.3%2 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick36cpaid-67%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xce3f…489bbacked Yes30c333.33$100 inLost-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd060…a966backed Yes30c183.41$55 inLost-$54.9760%0 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d0e…8d7dbacked Yes29c180.34$52 inLost-$52.21315.4%2 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.23per pick38cpaid-54.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Yes30c133.33$40 inLost-$409245.7%42 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Yes53c100$53 inLost-$5340053.5%214 W · 186 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No47c100$47 inWon+$532,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33ce…1c8abacked Yes30c76.67$23 inLost-$23520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-45.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed No72c50$36 inWon+$14.296956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3043…2cbbbacked No50c50$25 inWon+$253966.7%26 W · 13 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed No46c48.05$22 inWon+$25.9583158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No67c42$28 inWon+$13.9665630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked No46c21.97$10 inWon+$11.8692058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.