NBA · resolved market
Norman Powell: Assists O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc40124f93b61915db21a119b90698f54a6d6825e4f0cfbee182583bf3afdcc55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,083
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,100
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,083 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Yes | 30c | 3,420$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.13 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…9723backed No | 71c | 3,400$2,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986 | 260 | 69.2%180 W · 80 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed No | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed No | 47c | 750$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed No | 64c | 279$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.44 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Yes | 29c | 250$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 74c | 152.61$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.68 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…237dbacked Yes | 27c | 114.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c3…b054backed Yes | 51c | 68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…3377backed No | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 456 | 57%260 W · 196 L | +44.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…4dd4backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…c1d3backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 227 | 74.4%169 W · 58 L | +22.5wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed No | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 1,084 | 42.4%460 W · 624 L | -48.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Norman Powell: Assists O/U 2.5this page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-0.5)76ers won
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-1.5)76ers won
- Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Heat vs. 76ers76ers won
- Heat vs. 76ers: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- Heat vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 123.5Over won
- Heat vs. 76ers: O/U 237.5Over won
- Heat vs. 76ers: O/U 238.5Over won
- Heat vs. 76ers: O/U 240.5Over won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Joel Embiid: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Norman Powell: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Quentin Grimes: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Spread: 76ers (-1.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-3.5)76ers won
- Tyler Herro: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.