NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. 76ers: O/U 237.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46a9b2c7f8e37d7b32817d86ca4471b161f39681e2d3dba50667e7b090543558
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,715
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,715 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x79b0…ea3bbacked Over | 55c | 1,090$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.48 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…6405backed Over | 61c | 823.57$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.57 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 492.73$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.9 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 41c | 487.73$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.02 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Over | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Under | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.93 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Under | 48c | 367.57$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18b2…9141backed Over | 58c | 189.66$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.66 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Over | 54c | 185.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.82 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 17c | 147$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 58c | 138.23$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.23 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Under | 10c | 116.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 46c | 115$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.9 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Under | 44c | 111.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 46c | 108.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 45c | 100.34$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.15 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Over | 59c | 97.56$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.97 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | +15.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 53c | 91.85$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.04 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 34c | 91.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f4…5107backed Over | 66c | 91.18$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x220e…3b20backed Over | 59c | 84.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.54 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…f66ebacked Over | 60c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 39c | 63.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 50c | 60.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.43 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 41c | 54.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 36c | 53.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…aa37backed Under | 43c | 52.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 47c | 46.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 45c | 44.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Under | 48c | 38.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 123 | 31.7%39 W · 84 L | -17.0wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Under | 43c | 35.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Under | 47c | 34.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked Under | 45c | 33.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7715…ada4backed Over | 52c | 29.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heat vs. 76ers: O/U 237.5this page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-0.5)76ers won
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-1.5)76ers won
- Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Heat vs. 76ers76ers won
- Heat vs. 76ers: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- Heat vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 123.5Over won
- Heat vs. 76ers: O/U 238.5Over won
- Heat vs. 76ers: O/U 240.5Over won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Joel Embiid: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Norman Powell: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Norman Powell: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Quentin Grimes: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Spread: 76ers (-1.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-3.5)76ers won
- Tyler Herro: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.