TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: 76ers (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
76ersof 76ers, Heat
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$232,992
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$235,821

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $232,992 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked Heat52c140,822$73,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73,224.0187144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed 76ers48c73,773$35,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,147.2351354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed 76ers48c30,000$14,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,60029650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked 76ers47c17,171$8,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,100.397653.9%41 W · 35 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked 76ers48c16,969$8,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,798.494,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked 76ers48c16,948$8,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,813.221,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Heat50c15,615$7,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,786.942,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Heat49c11,746$5,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,797.9687750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed 76ers48c9,717$4,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,052.8371547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16f6…6da5backed Heat49c7,184$3,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,519.99250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66cc…7135backed 76ers50c6,674$3,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,337.6421250.5%107 W · 105 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Heat53c6,000$3,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,18019747.7%94 W · 103 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Heat49c4,851$2,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,365.764,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Heat53c4,000$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,12079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed 76ers51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,959.9812144.6%54 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked 76ers51c3,620$1,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,758.6826640.2%107 W · 159 L+1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52a7…3af8backed 76ers51c3,500$1,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,715250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed 76ers48c3,333$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,733.141,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd05…8c0abacked 76ers51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,470250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Heat52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.9943348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked 76ers48c2,836$1,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,462.946,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc554…00adbacked Heat53c2,236$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,185.095038%19 W · 31 L-5.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-28.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed 76ers52c2,000$1,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.9989050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Heat52c1,964$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.151,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed 76ers52c1,904$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905.9550653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Heat46c1,740$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.464651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Heat45c1,500$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6801,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed 76ers48c1,250$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6502,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79b0…ea3bbacked Heat49c1,220$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.815154.3%82 W · 69 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Heat48c1,200$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57667252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed 76ers51c1,172$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.2858347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked 76ers48c1,040$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.871449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Heat46c1,011$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.065,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked 76ers49c838.3$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.5351146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xffc2…1cc8backed 76ers51c683.66$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Heat49c590.74$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.12,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67d6…b04bbacked 76ers52c579.5$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.163268.8%22 W · 10 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked 76ers53c566.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.0465339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7e…b805backed 76ers48c555.65$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.949958.6%58 W · 41 L+9.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked 76ers51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24540947.7%195 W · 214 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Heat53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26545647.1%215 W · 241 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadf0…00fbbacked 76ers51c499.98$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.992445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Heat53c486.11$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.1429352.6%154 W · 139 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x36c1…deecbacked 76ers53c454.06$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.41850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+51.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Heat49c416.45$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20619756.3%111 W · 86 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03fa…02bbbacked Heat53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007838.5%30 W · 48 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed 76ers53c375.81$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.8123553.6%126 W · 109 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Heat37c367$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.992,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed 76ers54c351.85$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.8514155.3%78 W · 63 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Heat51c340.28$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.123,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed 76ers66c315.1$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.8840243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked 76ers48c312.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.552242.7%223 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Heat50c310.01$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.044,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b2b…1477backed 76ers49c306.21$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.2112749.6%63 W · 64 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked 76ers49c306.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.1262347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61ad…915dbacked 76ers53c304.77$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.244850%24 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Heat46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1383,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Heat48c289$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.3252240%209 W · 313 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Heat53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15025347%119 W · 134 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed 76ers55c276.57$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.738,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf10b…2041backed Heat49c255.1$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12519548.7%95 W · 100 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbde6…764bbacked Heat40c251.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10044052.5%231 W · 209 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4e2…5ec0backed Heat52c249.86$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.936253.2%33 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Heat53c208$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.2436045%162 W · 198 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed 76ers51c206.14$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.5625847.3%122 W · 136 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Heat49c204.7$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029554.6%161 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Heat63c200$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12666645.9%306 W · 360 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09e3…48acbacked 76ers48c199.99$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10414746.9%69 W · 78 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Heat37c197.28$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.6219435.1%68 W · 126 L-13.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked 76ers48c194.23$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1013,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed 76ers50c193.88$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.9438253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65d8…bac6backed Heat52c180.86$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.5838350.4%193 W · 190 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Heat50c171.76$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.1591148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed 76ers67c157.46$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.963,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Heat52c153.85$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8027052.6%142 W · 128 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Heat48c150$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7268645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed 76ers48c145.16$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.41,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Heat47c128.64$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4687453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47c7…85cbbacked Heat53c109.65$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9fe…e4bebacked 76ers52c109.62$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.625738.6%22 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked 76ers55c102.25$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.151,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Heat50c102$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.511,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Heat49c100.63$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1862844.9%282 W · 346 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed 76ers41c100.3$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.281,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Heat50c99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.51,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed 76ers50c95.64$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.592,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed 76ers52c95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.393,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked Heat49c94.78$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4448451.2%248 W · 236 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97a7…ac24backed Heat53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504632.6%15 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid+15.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Heat53c94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8266153.3%352 W · 309 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b15…f827backed Heat55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506944.9%31 W · 38 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe350…61f0backed 76ers52c89.99$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.194650%23 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f53…d57bbacked Heat51c83.97$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.176735.8%24 W · 43 L-7.8wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-25.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa3cc…c029backed Heat53c83.94$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4916250%81 W · 81 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x80da…d26fbacked Heat52c82.38$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.21729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid+75.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Heat51c79.97$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7817148%82 W · 89 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65b6…2108backed Heat53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4035844.1%158 W · 200 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4001…3fb3backed Heat53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402035%7 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed 76ers49c71$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.211,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Heat53c66$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9853945.3%244 W · 295 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.