TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: 76ers (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
76ersof 76ers, Heat
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$84,318
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,189

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,318 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe20a…e469backed Heat48c50,000$24,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,999.982,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed 76ers52c33,191$17,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,931.7292753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked 76ers52c9,239$4,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,434.7248352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66cc…7135backed 76ers54c6,266$3,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,863.4321250.5%107 W · 105 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed 76ers52c5,269$2,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,529.2315141.1%62 W · 89 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Heat48c2,786$1,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,333.511,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked 76ers51c2,510$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,230.049,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed 76ers53c2,177$1,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,013.8651354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8eb…3c59backed Heat46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2ec…4c7fbacked 76ers53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.99771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.31per pick41cpaid+49.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Heat49c1,873$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.7795651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Heat45c1,595$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.394,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Heat47c1,574$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.9287144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed 76ers52c1,550$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.961,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Heat47c1,253$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.542,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Heat46c1,212$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.256,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf606…440abacked 76ers52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4808754%47 W · 40 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xabd3…591dbacked 76ers53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb622…db01backed Heat46c999.97$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Heat48c949.99$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.9949852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Heat48c900$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4323,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Heat49c837.05$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.1587451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Heat41c693.57$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.9826839.2%105 W · 163 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked 76ers53c660.99$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.6631354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Heat48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09e3…48acbacked 76ers54c600$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27814746.9%69 W · 78 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed45…3de8backed Heat48c599.97$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.997454.1%40 W · 34 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked 76ers52c576.78$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.8564944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x89f3…1ea6backed Heat47c502$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4c4…cde2backed 76ers53c455$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.85250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed 76ers53c447$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.331,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a0d…640fbacked Heat47c444$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5c…d4c0backed 76ers53c427$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.69250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f28…6724backed Heat47c424$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.28450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8d6…bdf6backed 76ers53c402$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.94837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a7c…c52fbacked Heat47c402$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7f6…9259backed 76ers67c386.54$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.65683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick67cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x300b…e032backed 76ers52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6219045.8%87 W · 103 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed 76ers53c358.85$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.664,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed 76ers55c327.15$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.2280653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79ec…4bfdbacked 76ers53c304$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.882100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x814d…5c93backed 76ers77c300$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692055%11 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc522…ec3cbacked 76ers53c291$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.772100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Heat45c270$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.545646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Heat47c255.31$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Heat47c248.94$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11771449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9184…6048backed 76ers56c215.3$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.35147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Heat44c206.37$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.891148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f43…c0c2backed 76ers53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9423435.9%84 W · 150 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed 76ers51c197.89$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.963,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed 76ers54c185.35$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.351,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x434e…a62ebacked 76ers52c184.77$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6921748.4%105 W · 112 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Heat43c169.05$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.098,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea4b…dedebacked 76ers53c162.82$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.538055%44 W · 36 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed 76ers70c161.63$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.993,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Heat46c149.68$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.561,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed 76ers51c148.4$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.722,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2886…9bb2backed Heat33c140$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.210945%49 W · 60 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcba8…11a2backed 76ers55c135.25$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.611668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Heat45c135$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.7556547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4a3…bce8backed 76ers53c131$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.5712538.4%48 W · 77 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb87…4611backed 76ers53c128.3$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.312151.2%62 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed 76ers59c118.25$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2595452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9325…adafbacked 76ers52c116.46$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.911754.7%64 W · 53 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Heat48c115.41$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.833,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Heat44c113.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa332…7fc1backed Heat47c107$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.29250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Heat48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5068542.6%292 W · 393 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed 76ers54c102.67$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.231,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed 76ers59c100.1$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4990357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed 76ers59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed 76ers56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4450351.5%259 W · 244 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed 76ers51c95.9$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9940243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3008…5cb6backed Heat49c95.9$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.996446.9%30 W · 34 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Heat48c94.44$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked 76ers52c94.36$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.134,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…bb62backed 76ers53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3411045.5%50 W · 60 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed 76ers63c86.85$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.573,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked 76ers52c83.38$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0252246.6%243 W · 279 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Heat44c79.32$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.92,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05c4…a4f2backed 76ers50c76.02$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.0112045%54 W · 66 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed 76ers67c70$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.11,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked 76ers59c66$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.061,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x635b…195dbacked Heat50c65$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.538252.4%200 W · 182 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22c1…0df7backed Heat47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301315.4%2 W · 11 L-3.9wins-0.30per pick45cpaid-62.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked 76ers52c62.99$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2450841.7%212 W · 296 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8eb7…d529backed Heat48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3029351.9%152 W · 141 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked 76ers52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.691,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71ea…1ff9backed Heat48c57.69$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.69616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick49cpaid-73.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6fad…374cbacked Heat48c52.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4618644.1%82 W · 104 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd766…5eb1backed Heat48c52.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.465431.5%17 W · 37 L-6.5wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-30.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6436…aa37backed Heat46c51.02$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.476841.2%28 W · 40 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Heat48c51$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.481,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked 76ers52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f53…d57bbacked Heat47c43.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.386735.8%24 W · 43 L-7.8wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-25.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked 76ers53c43$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2546940.3%189 W · 280 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe584…85d4backed 76ers52c41.46$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.93966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Heat30c41.18$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.383,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb43b…2394backed 76ers57c40.35$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.351586.7%13 W · 2 L+4.5wins+0.30per pick56cpaid+50.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Heat48c36.65$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5962844.9%282 W · 346 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.