TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Heat vs. 76ers: O/U 238.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$130,663
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$132,968

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,663 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc408…c1efbacked Under53c56,706$29,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,9604951%25 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over47c39,694$18,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,006.532,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Under47c18,542$8,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,732.8551844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed Under51c6,395$3,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2898429.8%25 W · 59 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over54c6,184$3,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,869.562,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over48c6,056$2,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,128.315,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over52c5,678$2,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,725.646,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over53c5,230$2,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,471.051,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over52c4,483$2,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,147.613,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5e0b…97f5backed Over76c4,301$3,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.09825%2 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-65.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Over52c4,000$2,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,926.4645850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Under48c3,817$1,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,832.1571547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Over52c3,317$1,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,592.2229352.6%154 W · 139 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over58c2,802$1,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.292,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under33c2,442$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.0240243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under48c2,405$1,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.495651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under22c2,262$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.611,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb19f…dd0ebacked Under48c2,100$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007365.8%48 W · 25 L+8.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+24%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Over48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04048054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under32c1,800$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5763,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under30c1,796$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.738,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over50c1,671$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8404,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over51c1,526$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.29,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Under49c1,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73514448.6%70 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over46c1,500$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8051,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over50c1,090$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.712,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Over52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48026149.4%129 W · 132 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Over52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48029149.5%144 W · 147 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aa1…fd2dbacked Over51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.391241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf98c…bf06backed Under49c980$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.41861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+48.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over53c943.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.391,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Over54c936.8$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.4541553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over48c800$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.453,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over49c738$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.2826839.2%105 W · 163 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a43…1405backed Over76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1202572%18 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+22.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Under13c489.99$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.11,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Under46c489.79$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22515543.2%67 W · 88 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcdb…e141backed Over52c463$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.24475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over78c454.55$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.213,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f46…8882backed Under48c433$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked Under48c420.1$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-29.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xea95…4730backed Over68c420$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.8757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x605d…cec3backed Over52c392.54$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.3715450.6%78 W · 76 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over52c385$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.81,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over48c375$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1952,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over49c372.65$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.25,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce3e…2f24backed Under56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20025056.8%142 W · 108 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31f4…7ad4backed Under48c355$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2660…3fe1backed Over52c355$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x02fa…6ac4backed Under48c330$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2d8…480bbacked Over77c329.87$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.871478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick60cpaid+39.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3507…8c02backed Under48c315$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4de7…59ecbacked Over52c315$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd985…146dbacked Over52c305$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1405…5aaebacked Under48c305$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over51c300$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14891148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0718…274abacked Over52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+31.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Under37c296.01$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.8488057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over51c292.58$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.364,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked Under50c202$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017035.9%61 W · 109 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9453951.6%278 W · 261 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Over52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9630641.8%128 W · 178 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under33c198.25$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.61,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Over52c192.74$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.7268645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over53c176.76$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.292,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Over51c164.59$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.6119435.1%68 W · 126 L-13.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ccc…585fbacked Over51c155$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.955141.2%21 W · 30 L-5.6wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-25.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Under47c138.17$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9421637.5%81 W · 135 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67d6…b04bbacked Over55c137.18$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.733268.8%22 W · 10 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Under49c120.39$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9941649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over49c110$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.92,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over50c105.68$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.233,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over47c99.99$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5335739.8%142 W · 215 L-25.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under49c98.39$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.212,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b06…10a7backed Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.048558.8%50 W · 35 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over54c92.9$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.091,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over46c86.86$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.831,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Over60c82.93$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9350351.5%259 W · 244 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f53…d57bbacked Over56c82.69$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.516735.8%24 W · 43 L-7.8wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-25.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Under26c80.79$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.738937.1%33 W · 56 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under41c78.02$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.633,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Over48c66$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0232352.6%170 W · 153 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9fa…222bbacked Over51c63.42$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3118250%91 W · 91 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc554…00adbacked Over51c62.56$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.375038%19 W · 31 L-5.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-28.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb7d3…25f8backed Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under49c55.24$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0749246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf01e…aed4backed Over52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242540%10 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-22.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Over50c47.55$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8623350.6%118 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under25c43.35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8430151.8%156 W · 145 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92aa…0341backed Under47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015949.7%79 W · 80 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Over54c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.437253.5%199 W · 173 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6894…59d8backed Over68c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.824645.9%113 W · 133 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Under48c39$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7251354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Over50c38.83$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2348852%254 W · 234 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f5…3047backed Over52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4612661.1%77 W · 49 L-0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Over50c37.88$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1392750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7253…9190backed Over53c37.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4412841.4%53 W · 75 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xabbf…0758backed Under35c32.69$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3139047.7%186 W · 204 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under47c30.76$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.462,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d26…0635backed Under49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153438.2%13 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.