TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Heat vs. 76ers: O/U 240.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$62,524
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,508

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,524 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under50c15,711$7,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,855.62,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Over50c8,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,00026648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Under51c6,433$3,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,280.9117348.6%84 W · 89 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Over50c5,800$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,90021943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over48c5,754$2,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,964.953,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over49c5,734$2,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,931.572,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over50c5,520$2,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,76070246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Under52c4,855$2,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,518.381,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over50c3,923$1,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,956.681,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd942…f9d3backed Under52c3,279$1,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,705.6421142.7%90 W · 121 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Under52c2,885$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50065750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under47c1,942$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.674,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over48c1,789$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.332,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over50c1,698$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.956,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under52c1,526$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.4440947.7%195 W · 214 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over48c1,509$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.7458347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under40c1,408$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.181,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over48c1,351$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.034,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6002,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Under51c1,101$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.0420147.8%96 W · 105 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over49c997.8$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.479,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under51c977.67$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50046258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Under52c965.5$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.2334855.2%192 W · 156 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under52c790.41$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.2180653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over53c720.08$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.648,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under51c638.47$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.743,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over56c599.07$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.5326839.2%105 W · 163 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6870…5826backed Under54c500.18$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.154853.8%295 W · 253 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x63de…b134backed Over50c496$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2482100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0101…e281backed Over50c480$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x924b…38b0backed Under50c442$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65a3…c257backed Over50c424$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2122100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x605d…cec3backed Over47c416.54$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.5415450.6%78 W · 76 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6331…8391backed Over50c416$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2082100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe36d…33c0backed Under50c408$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over47c399.99$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.9945146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over51c392$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.081,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Under52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013547.4%64 W · 71 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaec0…fbeebacked Under50c370$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa539…9eebbacked Over50c366$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec9c…8887backed Under50c356.87$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17930%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x81ea…8b9abacked Under45c340$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15315650%78 W · 78 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over49c318.23$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.664,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01d1…2fa2backed Under50c316$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Over47c302.88$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.568645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15028348.8%138 W · 145 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over48c300$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15591148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d04…ff70backed Under50c288$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over48c279.26$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.4278648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Under43c255.01$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.4319435.1%68 W · 126 L-13.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x66cc…7135backed Under51c237.44$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.5121250.5%107 W · 105 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Under53c215.99$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.4724151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf09…f56fbacked Under51c205$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.5520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10241052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9816740.1%67 W · 100 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10034849.7%173 W · 175 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Under55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028046.8%131 W · 149 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under54c179.89$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.663,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Over45c160$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8815543.9%68 W · 87 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over48c153.4$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.771,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over47c148.94$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.942,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bf…511dbacked Under54c136.85$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.491566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86a8…d0e7backed Under53c132.08$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010955%60 W · 49 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under55c130.26$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.643,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over45c123.76$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.075,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Under55c123.25$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1953149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ceb…b516backed Over50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606550.8%33 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under52c102.71$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e6d…2b09backed Under52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5214139%55 W · 86 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5142551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Over46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5465855.6%366 W · 292 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5141354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over51c99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.511,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x468d…cf23backed Under51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504546.7%21 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0418150.3%91 W · 90 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a50…09f4backed Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.047152.1%37 W · 34 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over49c94.8$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.351,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa93…0bc7backed Under13c90$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.723047.4%109 W · 121 L+19.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xabbf…0758backed Under31c71.12$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.239047.7%186 W · 204 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…fa34backed Under55c63.64$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356147.5%29 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Under54c63.59$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3433159.2%196 W · 135 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.996956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over50c51$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.51,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251540%6 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x44e4…f624backed Under52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268048.8%39 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Under52c47.92$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9238253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x350e…7528backed Under42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208636%31 W · 55 L-11.0wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-26.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Under51c45.1$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2354854.2%297 W · 251 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbf2…31f0backed Over47c44.68$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.687741.6%32 W · 45 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96a7…f82ebacked Over50c43.4$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.72065%13 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+29.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under28c41.46$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5165630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Over48c40.83$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2353839.4%212 W · 326 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf158…aa4bbacked Under40c40.83$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.333250%16 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Over49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8233442.8%143 W · 191 L-17.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over49c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2788057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3008…5cb6backed Over50c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186446.9%30 W · 34 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.