NHL · resolved market
Devils vs. Penguins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x318d10e7c04e6fe6d956da7b58591211371b929a6f3efc47f5fea78b6c318dec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penguinsof Devils, Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $656,275
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $675,947
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $656,275 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 382 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Devils | 42c | 419,054$176,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176,002.76 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Penguins | 58c | 278,446$161,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116,937.89 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Penguins | 58c | 64,767$37,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,202.34 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Penguins | 58c | 60,701$35,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,504.62 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Devils | 41c | 60,000$24,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,599.84 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Devils | 41c | 12,345$5,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,059.62 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Devils | 42c | 11,905$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Penguins | 59c | 11,864$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,864.41 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Penguins | 58c | 11,825$6,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,941.91 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Penguins | 58c | 8,557$5,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,551.28 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Penguins | 59c | 7,784$4,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,218.09 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Penguins | 59c | 7,400$4,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,034 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Penguins | 59c | 6,800$4,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,788 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Penguins | 58c | 6,432$3,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,701.44 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Penguins | 60c | 6,342$3,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,560.38 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Penguins | 58c | 6,171$3,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,561.22 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Penguins | 59c | 6,000$3,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Devils | 41c | 5,435$2,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,228.27 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Penguins | 58c | 5,399$3,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,267.59 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Penguins | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Devils | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.95 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Devils | 37c | 4,826$1,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,809.13 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Penguins | 58c | 4,464$2,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.1 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Devils | 36c | 4,444$1,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,622.04 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Devils | 6c | 4,124$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.69 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Penguins | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Penguins | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.96 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Devils | 34c | 3,622$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.31 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Penguins | 59c | 3,403$2,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.05 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Penguins | 61c | 3,380$2,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312.51 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Penguins | 59c | 3,333$1,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.53 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Penguins | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Penguins | 59c | 2,542$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.37 | 182 | 58.2%106 W · 76 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Penguins | 58c | 2,513$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.87 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Penguins | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Penguins | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Devils | 41c | 2,319$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.79 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Devils | 42c | 2,243$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.06 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Penguins | 59c | 2,009$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.54 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Devils | 43c | 2,000$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Devils | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.99 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Penguins | 65c | 1,835$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.08 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62b…844abacked Penguins | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Penguins | 59c | 1,477$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.98 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ff…24e3backed Devils | 41c | 1,341$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Devils | 40c | 1,325$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.34 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Devils | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee0…5233backed Devils | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd54…cd50backed Devils | 43c | 1,161$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.5 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Devils | 34c | 1,089$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.22 | 118 | 33.1%39 W · 79 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Penguins | 55c | 1,052$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.93 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Devils | 42c | 1,034$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.48 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x806b…5cd8backed Penguins | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.48 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x846d…3a71backed Penguins | 60c | 1,028$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.37 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd344…6862backed Devils | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Penguins | 59c | 999.57$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.82 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Penguins | 59c | 986.78$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.67 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Devils | 42c | 950$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Devils | 41c | 937.72$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.85 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Devils | 42c | 906.94$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.92 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe06…d5d5backed Devils | 42c | 865.5$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.51 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce50…b747backed Penguins | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0acc…9dc1backed Penguins | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 250 | 52.8%132 W · 118 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…a5d7backed Penguins | 58c | 833.77$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.38 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Penguins | 59c | 752.54$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.54 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Penguins | 60c | 750$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3395…7c66backed Devils | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 36cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Penguins | 59c | 724.29$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.29 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Penguins | 58c | 723$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.66 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Penguins | 59c | 686.07$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.29 | 211 | 58.8%124 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f3…c300backed Penguins | 60c | 682.05$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.82 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Penguins | 58c | 657.82$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.17 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Devils | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Devils | 41c | 574.88$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.7 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1203…77ddbacked Devils | 43c | 550.72$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60d7…2667backed Devils | 42c | 510.99$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.01 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f25…6f07backed Devils | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Penguins | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc794…7b53backed Penguins | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 121 | 58.7%71 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066b…80f0backed Penguins | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc81f…16f1backed Devils | 43c | 496.03$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.13 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd11f…c0f8backed Devils | 40c | 490$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e77…0368backed Devils | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +8.8wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +40%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…1ce6backed Penguins | 60c | 487.8$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.12 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Penguins | 59c | 474.58$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.58 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Devils | 41c | 467.25$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.09 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Devils | 42c | 432.2$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.52 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Penguins | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.03 | 299 | 46.8%140 W · 159 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ba…e356backed Penguins | 60c | 421.62$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.65 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Penguins | 64c | 412.96$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.98 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2d…40b1backed Devils | 41c | 410.13$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.16 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…8527backed Devils | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Devils | 43c | 399.98$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.99 | 1,220 | 46.1%562 W · 658 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Devils | 40c | 374.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…85b5backed Penguins | 64c | 371.38$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.43 | 23 | 87%20 W · 3 L | +6.4wins | +0.28per pick | 59cpaid | +52%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Devils | 4c | 367.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…7b82backed Devils | 41c | 338.15$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ec…2299backed Devils | 42c | 333.12$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.91 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b9…41a9backed Penguins | 62c | 322$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.88 | 231 | 59.3%137 W · 94 L | +22.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e3…4cc6backed Devils | 43c | 309.53$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.1 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Devils vs. Penguinsthis page
- Devils vs. Penguins: O/U 4.5Over won
- Devils vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5Under won
- Devils vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5Under won
- Devils vs. Penguins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Penguins (-1.5)Penguins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.