NBA · resolved market

Spread: Raptors (-3.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c8dced88701996afa2556dcc4c8306b65b94dbcef1912a2a5882625fd077586

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Raptorsof Raptors, Hawks
Resolved: Jan 6, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,073,450
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,076,297

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,073,450 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4924…3782backed Raptors	47c	645,250$302,689 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$342,560.83	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Hawks	53c	400,000$212,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212,000	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2643…39aebacked Hawks	55c	324,922$178,848 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178,848.3	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-2.2wins	-0.10per pick	57cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Raptors	45c	156,020$70,209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85,811.12	1,045	49%512 W · 533 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Hawks	54c	60,000$32,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32,400	404	46.8%189 W · 215 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb889…a430backed Hawks	53c	45,000$23,850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,850	92	63%58 W · 34 L	+9.8wins	+0.11per pick	52cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Raptors	45c	31,210$14,045 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,165.54	44	52.3%23 W · 21 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Raptors	45c	17,506$7,878 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,628.17	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab0c…3026backed Hawks	53c	12,000$6,360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,360	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Raptors	51c	9,747$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,747.33	767	46.4%356 W · 411 L	-16.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hawks	51c	9,029$4,630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,630.16	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Raptors	46c	8,606$3,941 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,665.22	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Raptors	47c	7,899$3,731 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,168.08	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Raptors	44c	6,449$2,837 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,611.36	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Hawks	53c	6,000$3,180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,180	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Hawks	53c	5,971$3,162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,161.72	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked Hawks	54c	5,455$2,946 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,945.69	158	55.7%88 W · 70 L	-9.8wins	-0.06per pick	62cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Hawks	54c	4,500$2,430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,430	477	48.8%233 W · 244 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Hawks	53c	4,499$2,381 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,381.46	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Hawks	53c	3,386$1,798 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,797.54	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Hawks	53c	3,000$1,590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,589.96	762	49.5%377 W · 385 L	-8.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0500…6158backed Raptors	46c	2,959$1,361 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,597.7	121	51.2%62 W · 59 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Raptors	47c	2,918$1,370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,548.06	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Hawks	55c	2,918$1,603 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,603.3	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Raptors	47c	2,518$1,171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,346.49	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Hawks	53c	2,500$1,325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,325	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Hawks	35c	2,098$729 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$728.68	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Hawks	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	415	53.3%221 W · 194 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4667…cab0backed Raptors	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	133	55.6%74 W · 59 L	+8.7wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd702…2052backed Raptors	49c	2,000$980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,020	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-1.7wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x81c2…5ca2backed Raptors	49c	2,000$980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,020	25	60%15 W · 10 L	+2.4wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x710a…ed6cbacked Hawks	49c	2,000$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$980	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa75d…1246backed Raptors	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$980	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-2.0wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed Raptors	46c	2,000$920 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,080	177	44.1%78 W · 99 L	-7.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x42e9…80a8backed Raptors	49c	2,000$980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,020	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+1.5wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+15%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2e5…eec3backed Hawks	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,020	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-1.7wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37f1…d157backed Hawks	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,020	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8caf…13d0backed Hawks	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,020	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Hawks	53c	2,000$1,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,059.99	753	47.5%358 W · 395 L	+10.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Raptors	47c	1,887$885 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,002	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Hawks	53c	1,887$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	489	57.5%281 W · 208 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Raptors	58c	1,738$1,008 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$730	503	47.9%241 W · 262 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Raptors	44c	1,591$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$890.96	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Hawks	50c	1,498$749 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$749	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Hawks	1c	1,286$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.86	1,055	49.9%526 W · 529 L	+29.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hawks	52c	1,167$608 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$607.53	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2c7…2e93backed Hawks	53c	1,132$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	211	52.6%111 W · 100 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Raptors	45c	1,015$457 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$558.25	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Raptors	48c	1,000$483 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$516.91	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Hawks	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	456	47.1%215 W · 241 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Raptors	47c	970.7$456 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$514.47	101	38.6%39 W · 62 L	-6.6wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Hawks	54c	825.86$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	476	51.7%246 W · 230 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Hawks	51c	774$395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$394.74	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe09…7acebacked Raptors	50c	714.4$357 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$357.2	122	57.4%70 W · 52 L	+6.4wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked Raptors	51c	684.58$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$334.58	498	52.4%261 W · 237 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x92d1…8a29backed Hawks	50c	662.14$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331.07	63	44.4%28 W · 35 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ee8…6c2ebacked Raptors	47c	637.77$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$338.02	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.28per pick	42cpaid	-69.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcea6…67adbacked Hawks	50c	600$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	284	48.2%137 W · 147 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46bd…37e8backed Hawks	50c	571.6$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285.8	168	37.5%63 W · 105 L	-20.6wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-25%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Hawks	52c	570.17$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.49	384	34.9%134 W · 250 L	+7.0wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hawks	48c	563$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.24	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Hawks	54c	555.56$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	462	58.2%269 W · 193 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Hawks	54c	555$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.7	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+3.6wins	+0.18per pick	42cpaid	+43%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xebc9…6786backed Raptors	47c	523.4$246 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$277.4	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Hawks	51c	500$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255	841	50.3%423 W · 418 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c56…269fbacked Hawks	55c	432.73$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-2.5wins	-0.11per pick	57cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Hawks	54c	404.58$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.51	572	50%286 W · 286 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Raptors	47c	399.99$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212	890	50.4%449 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Hawks	7c	398.07$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.76	248	46.8%116 W · 132 L	+8.7wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d84…aa68backed Hawks	53c	329.86$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.83	110	60%66 W · 44 L	+9.5wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9acb…d2c7backed Raptors	47c	319.15$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$169.15	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	-4.7wins	-0.14per pick	54cpaid	-23%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa35b…0eccbacked Raptors	48c	312.5$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162.5	245	56.3%138 W · 107 L	+10.5wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Raptors	49c	303.71$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.55	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Hawks	54c	300$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162	910	50.9%463 W · 447 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Hawks	53c	226.46$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.02	433	48.5%210 W · 223 L	+11.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf873…1d26backed Raptors	47c	223.4$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.4	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf6a3…1259backed Raptors	51c	211$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.39	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-2.1wins	-0.15per pick	51cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2146…4279backed Hawks	50c	211$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.5	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-2.1wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b54…3b6ebacked Hawks	50c	201$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.5	12	75%9 W · 3 L	+3.0wins	+0.25per pick	50cpaid	+48.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x97e2…a6b1backed Raptors	51c	201$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.49	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Hawks	54c	200$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	516	51%263 W · 253 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd4d…575dbacked Raptors	47c	200$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+2.3wins	+0.23per pick	47cpaid	+66.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5fde…66b2backed Hawks	53c	188.42$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	57	56.1%32 W · 25 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Hawks	54c	186$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.44	617	47.8%295 W · 322 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd6d…8a40backed Hawks	55c	182.95$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	18	50%9 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd54…3ffebacked Hawks	55c	181.82$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x92ab…7376backed Raptors	50c	181$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.5	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35ae…e071backed Hawks	51c	181$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.31	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.19per pick	53cpaid	+32.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xebb1…e7afbacked Hawks	55c	180$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	368	54.1%199 W · 169 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xbe05…b5a5backed Raptors	49c	163.27$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.27	332	46.1%153 W · 179 L	-12.1wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Raptors	52c	162.71$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.6	1,444	58.1%839 W · 605 L	+13.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Raptors	47c	160$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.8	344	51.5%177 W · 167 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c1…18c7backed Hawks	52c	149.86$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.05	140	42.9%60 W · 80 L	-9.1wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-13%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x10f7…26f0backed Hawks	52c	149$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.48	74	51.4%38 W · 36 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e27…2988backed Raptors	47c	146.21$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.21	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Raptors	46c	144$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.48	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x70df…bca8backed Raptors	48c	139.58$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.58	327	50.2%164 W · 163 L	-10.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Raptors	48c	135.01$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.82	1,294	48.1%623 W · 671 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaed5…981dbacked Hawks	53c	132.08$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	85	55.3%47 W · 38 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4534…f6e5backed Hawks	35c	128.04$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.37	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Raptors (-3.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event