NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Raptors: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00036e6388cd14313a031a761cd5f6b29c873298ba9eee22001927e6259480e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,964
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,122
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,964 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0352…3292backed Under | 53c | 16,750$8,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,870.91 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 16,251$8,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,131.92 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 47c | 8,584$4,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,005.89 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Over | 48c | 7,002$3,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,361 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab0c…3026backed Under | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Over | 50c | 2,176$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 52c | 2,132$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.64 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c85…f893backed Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.32per pick | 48cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xce2f…aa56backed Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 52c | 1,922$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.44 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 1,574$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.92 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 50c | 1,355$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.5 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 1,126$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.1 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 400 | 35.5%142 W · 258 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 47c | 868$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.96 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 859$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.28 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Over | 48c | 763$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.24 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 53c | 570$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.9 | 206 | 51%105 W · 101 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe8…fe1abacked Over | 48c | 450$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.5 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 54c | 374.43$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.24 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9acb…d2c7backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91f3…0d57backed Over | 52c | 275$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0742…39a7backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 46c | 160$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Under | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Under | 54c | 142$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.32 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Under | 54c | 139$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.94 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 47c | 106.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.27 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce65…6759backed Under | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -16.1wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -30%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 32c | 95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 48c | 76.78$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.49 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 46c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 54c | 65.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.56 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 49c | 61.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 317 | 54.6%173 W · 144 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 342 | 54.1%185 W · 157 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad2…d17fbacked Over | 46c | 56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Under | 54c | 53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97b8…0f5dbacked Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…5646backed Over | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 46c | 48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed Over | 46c | 47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaa…80cdbacked Over | 46c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.8wins | -0.28per pick | 52cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…491cbacked Over | 53c | 32.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Over | 50c | 32.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 222 | 47.3%105 W · 117 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed Over | 46c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5b7dbacked Over | 46c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Over | 46c | 30.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 273 | 53.8%147 W · 126 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 51c | 28.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 53c | 28.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd7f…0d6cbacked Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked Under | 54c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 51c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Over | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked Over | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Under | 50c | 21.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 302 | 44%133 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8e…7fe3backed Under | 61c | 18.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 45 | 80%36 W · 9 L | +12.1wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawks vs. Raptors: O/U 235.5this page
- Dyson Daniels: Rebounds Over 5.5Yes won
- Hawks vs. RaptorsRaptors won
- Hawks vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Raptors: O/U 233.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Raptors: O/U 234.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Raptors: O/U 236.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Raptors: O/U 237.5Under won
- Spread: Raptors (-2.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-3.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-9.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.